NFL · resolved market
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa34dc7caae6145816ddb30f0d80eaf49fd7dd2381494b95f44863a38da96d316
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seahawksof Seahawks, Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $169,538
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $179,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,538 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Falcons | 55c | 50,679$27,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,639.69 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f9…e310backed Falcons | 56c | 43,182$24,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,181.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Seahawks | 44c | 39,000$17,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,840 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Seahawks | 48c | 37,335$18,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,240.85 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Seahawks | 45c | 28,900$12,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,963.96 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Falcons | 52c | 20,072$10,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,437.44 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Falcons | 50c | 13,848$6,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,947.04 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Seahawks | 46c | 8,370$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,519.91 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Seahawks | 43c | 7,500$3,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,275 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Seahawks | 44c | 6,979$3,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,894.35 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Falcons | 57c | 6,071$3,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,447.38 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Seahawks | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b48…050cbacked Seahawks | 40c | 3,100$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.15 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Falcons | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x21d8…ad91backed Seahawks | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Falcons | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Seahawks | 43c | 1,382$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.03 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2135…f305backed Seahawks | 45c | 1,289$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.89 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Falcons | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.99 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Falcons | 56c | 1,173$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.88 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Seahawks | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.16 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Seahawks | 45c | 1,134$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.85 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Seahawks | 44c | 884.79$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.48 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +14.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Falcons | 56c | 807.99$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.47 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Falcons | 56c | 611.36$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.98 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Falcons | 54c | 599.98$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.99 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Seahawks | 44c | 570.4$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.04 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Seahawks | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Falcons | 56c | 484.9$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.01 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Seahawks | 44c | 449.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.49 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95bc…9f00backed Seahawks | 45c | 336$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.8 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Seahawks | 43c | 317.51$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.12 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Falcons | 68c | 312.23$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.32 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Seahawks | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed Seahawks | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Falcons | 68c | 299$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.32 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Falcons | 55c | 294$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.7 | 314 | 50%157 W · 157 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Falcons | 56c | 285.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.16 | 304 | 42.4%129 W · 175 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…8416backed Seahawks | 46c | 271.74$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.74 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…fe48backed Falcons | 56c | 231.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.91 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Seahawks | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…837dbacked Seahawks | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Seahawks | 44c | 227$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.12 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | +12.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Seahawks | 43c | 213.6$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.75 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…18debacked Falcons | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Falcons | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 243 | 52.7%128 W · 115 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Falcons | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Falcons | 57c | 192$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.44 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…5909backed Seahawks | 44c | 180$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Falcons | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…b17abacked Falcons | 57c | 150$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Falcons | 55c | 149.92$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.46 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Falcons | 55c | 143$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.65 | 356 | 48%171 W · 185 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0232…9391backed Seahawks | 43c | 133.42$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.05 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…cfe5backed Seahawks | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…b051backed Seahawks | 45c | 110$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…9748backed Falcons | 61c | 105.3$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.25 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Falcons | 56c | 104.95$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.32 | 363 | 41.9%152 W · 211 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Falcons | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Seahawks | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 278 | 35.3%98 W · 180 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Seahawks | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb317…1893backed Falcons | 58c | 95.3$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Falcons | 55c | 90.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Falcons | 56c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2203…e5a1backed Falcons | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Seahawks | 54c | 85.51$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.05 | 294 | 39.5%116 W · 178 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Falcons | 57c | 85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Seahawks | 45c | 83.05$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.68 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8f…a3dcbacked Falcons | 57c | 80.7$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Seahawks | 71c | 80.25$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Seahawks | 46c | 74.07$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 346 | 52.9%183 W · 163 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…835dbacked Falcons | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 220 | 53.2%117 W · 103 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Seahawks | 43c | 72$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a52…9ad6backed Falcons | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Seahawks | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 82 | 74.4%61 W · 21 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad5…6169backed Falcons | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Seahawks | 44c | 56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Falcons | 67c | 51.3$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.28 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Seahawks | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 297 | 51.5%153 W · 144 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f8…79a8backed Seahawks | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Falcons | 55c | 49.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Seahawks | 44c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Seahawks | 44c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +12.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Seahawks | 44c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 155 | 56.8%88 W · 67 L | +13.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Seahawks | 44c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 163 | 60.1%98 W · 65 L | +16.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…d3e6backed Falcons | 57c | 43.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7848…5f80backed Seahawks | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…82e5backed Seahawks | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf492…29c2backed Seahawks | 44c | 39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Seahawks | 41c | 36.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Falcons | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Falcons | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd095…3116backed Falcons | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb5…0a49backed Falcons | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Seahawks | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Falcons | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Seahawks | 44c | 28.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 114 | 63.2%72 W · 42 L | +14.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Falcons | 45c | 25.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -11.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20bb…f5a3backed Seahawks | 55c | 25.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Falcons | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 320 | 43.8%140 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)this page
- Kirk Cousins: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5Under won
- Seahawks vs. FalconsSeahawks won
- Seahawks vs. Falcons: O/U 43.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Falcons: O/U 44.5Over won
- Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)Seahawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.