NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nets (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x607e548471d778e017bf4fac578c4e3bf719e5ea80971db93633305f536a9adb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Netsof Nets, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $449,248
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $507,622
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $449,248 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82a1…e03abacked Nets | 52c | 210,021$110,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,021.32 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Pelicans | 48c | 134,762$65,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,143.55 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd43c…04e8backed Nets | 51c | 50,821$25,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,902.23 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -12.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Pelicans | 48c | 50,000$24,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,000 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Pelicans | 49c | 39,998$19,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,599.12 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Pelicans | 48c | 33,472$15,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,991.26 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans | 48c | 20,397$9,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,723.46 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Pelicans | 47c | 12,916$6,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,070.46 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Nets | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Pelicans | 48c | 10,000$4,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,850 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ae…56d9backed Pelicans | 50c | 8,280$4,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Pelicans | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee86…e302backed Nets | 51c | 7,862$4,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,852.37 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6caf…7ef6backed Nets | 51c | 7,634$3,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,743.57 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nets | 51c | 7,063$3,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,482.32 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Nets | 50c | 6,176$3,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,088 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8567…514cbacked Nets | 51c | 4,784$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,344.31 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Pelicans | 49c | 4,079$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.77 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Nets | 51c | 4,008$2,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,964 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Nets | 51c | 3,525$1,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,727.27 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5945…67cabacked Nets | 52c | 3,487$1,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,673.7 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Pelicans | 48c | 3,419$1,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,646.11 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Nets | 51c | 3,235$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.29 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Nets | 51c | 2,802$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.96 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Pelicans | 48c | 2,200$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nets | 59c | 2,085$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.14 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Pelicans | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…6f34backed Nets | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…abddbacked Nets | 52c | 1,901$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.3 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2195…16f9backed Nets | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01a1…88f3backed Nets | 55c | 1,125$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.25 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Pelicans | 37c | 1,023$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.7 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…ab4dbacked Nets | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Pelicans | 31c | 687.6$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.26 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Nets | 80c | 642.6$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.56 | 238 | 45%107 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf70a…541dbacked Pelicans | 46c | 600$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Nets | 50c | 503.64$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.82 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Nets | 52c | 430.76$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.13 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Pelicans | 49c | 400$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Pelicans | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 207 | 54.1%112 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6870…5826backed Nets | 52c | 346.52$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.83 | 548 | 53.8%295 W · 253 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c72…9b30backed Pelicans | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Pelicans | 49c | 197.72$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Pelicans | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Nets | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Nets | 52c | 166.92$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.2 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…85a1backed Pelicans | 50c | 149$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 195 | 56.9%111 W · 84 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21b4…e064backed Nets | 52c | 115.94$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…532bbacked Pelicans | 49c | 114.6$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.58 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Pelicans | 51c | 104.24$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.72 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Nets | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Pelicans | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736b…a18dbacked Nets | 52c | 97.85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…c132backed Nets | 52c | 92.77$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.53 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…e898backed Nets | 52c | 88.46$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.46 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa2…1531backed Nets | 51c | 85.87$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.08 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Pelicans | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Pelicans | 50c | 65.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -11.0wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc84e…f10abacked Nets | 51c | 59.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +140.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Pelicans | 49c | 59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b8…68a5backed Nets | 50c | 53.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf66d…bd4cbacked Nets | 52c | 48.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…4d94backed Nets | 50c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pelicans | 49c | 42.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…79f9backed Nets | 52c | 42.23$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…d786backed Nets | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8f…a3dcbacked Pelicans | 51c | 34.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3698…7160backed Nets | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pelicans | 49c | 30.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pelicans | 50c | 26.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Nets | 51c | 22.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a6…a17ebacked Nets | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 121 | 48.8%59 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nets (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Nets (-0.5)Nets won
- 1H Spread: Nets (-1.5)Nets won
- Pelicans vs. NetsNets won
- Pelicans vs. Nets: 1H MoneylineNets won
- Pelicans vs. Nets: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Nets: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Nets: O/U 226.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Nets: O/U 227.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Nets: O/U 228.5Under won
- Spread: Nets (-1.5)Nets won
- Spread: Nets (-2.5)Nets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.