NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nets (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ceeb69b0c006d3dbed46f038e31cf470a53702dd6e24c81363e8aabbbb75343
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Netsof Nets, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,288
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,980
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,288 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Nets | 53c | 5,669$3,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660.61 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans | 43c | 3,639$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.32 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb97…a686backed Pelicans | 41c | 2,776$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.22 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Pelicans | 46c | 2,775$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.73 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pelicans | 42c | 2,306$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.72 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf70d…ef69backed Nets | 59c | 2,055$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.55 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6caf…7ef6backed Pelicans | 49c | 1,694$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pelicans | 43c | 1,342$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.85 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Nets | 53c | 1,238$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.65 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Nets | 56c | 928.94$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.73 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Pelicans | 49c | 908.35$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.63 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans | 38c | 810.03$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.13 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a81…aa82backed Nets | 58c | 720$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.4 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Nets | 59c | 533$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.53 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Nets | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nets | 56c | 322.98$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.13 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Nets | 52c | 182.69$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.69 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Nets | 58c | 180.61$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.39 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Nets | 60c | 127$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.97 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Nets | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pelicans | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Nets | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 199 | 57.8%115 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pelicans | 47c | 67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Nets | 58c | 55.77$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Pelicans | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Pelicans | 42c | 44.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0bb…1918backed Nets | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Nets | 56c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb83d…140fbacked Nets | 58c | 25.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nets (-1.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Nets (-0.5)Nets won
- 1H Spread: Nets (-1.5)Nets won
- Pelicans vs. NetsNets won
- Pelicans vs. Nets: 1H MoneylineNets won
- Pelicans vs. Nets: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Nets: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Nets: O/U 226.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Nets: O/U 227.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Nets: O/U 228.5Under won
- Spread: Nets (-2.5)Nets won
- Spread: Nets (-3.5)Nets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.