NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Nets: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0e9cb2e1c1f7d1ecc755fa901701ff707d7bc957ffe2de967159f679b43109b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,460
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,742
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,460 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 15,736$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500.21 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…3cccbacked Over | 51c | 8,200$4,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,182 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…6ee5backed Under | 49c | 8,200$4,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,182 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1d…1e31backed Under | 52c | 8,200$4,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,936 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d30…c94fbacked Over | 48c | 8,200$3,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,936 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Under | 52c | 5,783$3,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,776 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 50c | 3,594$1,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,797 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Under | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.99 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Under | 53c | 1,415$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.09 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee7…0ba8backed Under | 54c | 838.57$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.57 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4517…f700backed Over | 50c | 600.62$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.31 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 52c | 502$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.96 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 52c | 492$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.16 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…4035backed Over | 37c | 355.35$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.96 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 43cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd87…decabacked Under | 54c | 345$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.7 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…c5dcbacked Over | 47c | 289.32$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 48c | 277.25$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.08 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b4…1014backed Over | 50c | 234$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 38c | 203.76$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.55 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Over | 52c | 200.39$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 170 | 35.9%61 W · 109 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4556…2b35backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Over | 67c | 185.52$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.3 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15a3…718ebacked Under | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6611…17e7backed Under | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 146.52$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.4 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x722c…1011backed Under | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 46c | 98.45$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.29 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Under | 54c | 95.2$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…bbabbacked Under | 54c | 92.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.87 | 328 | 53%174 W · 154 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2599…9218backed Under | 55c | 91.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.18 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 91.08$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.58 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ca…0d75backed Over | 48c | 86.15$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.35 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -12.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b8…e54fbacked Over | 48c | 82.77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.73 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf632…02aabacked Over | 16c | 80$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Under | 53c | 71.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…25debacked Under | 53c | 61.81$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.39per pick | 50cpaid | -79%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2078…2d66backed Over | 56c | 53.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…59c4backed Over | 49c | 52.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 47c | 41.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0bb…1918backed Under | 53c | 37.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b5…e049backed Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a42…6aa2backed Under | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 50c | 25.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb630…00edbacked Under | 53c | 21.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…afaabacked Under | 55c | 20.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +6.8wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Nets: O/U 228.5this page
- 1H Spread: Nets (-0.5)Nets won
- 1H Spread: Nets (-1.5)Nets won
- Pelicans vs. NetsNets won
- Pelicans vs. Nets: 1H MoneylineNets won
- Pelicans vs. Nets: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Nets: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Nets: O/U 226.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Nets: O/U 227.5Under won
- Spread: Nets (-1.5)Nets won
- Spread: Nets (-2.5)Nets won
- Spread: Nets (-3.5)Nets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.