NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Nets: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfef9f4c443b0ea9d4b6cb8d69f972942da76b036029db03e8505191d7ef97c82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,377
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,878
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,377 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,080 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Under | 51c | 7,799$4,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,793.52 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Under | 51c | 2,922$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.44 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9136…8e9dbacked Under | 51c | 2,588$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.24 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Over | 49c | 2,524$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.76 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 50c | 1,604$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 49c | 1,511$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.5 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b4…e861backed Over | 51c | 1,483$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.52 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee86…e302backed Under | 51c | 1,428$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.94 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Under | 51c | 883.76$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.04 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Over | 49c | 812.41$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.22 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 47c | 769.23$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.65 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Under | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.72 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 43c | 689.89$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.65 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Over | 52c | 607.69$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 50c | 472$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 48c | 376$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.48 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 50c | 371$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.5 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 352.86$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.33 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf70a…541dbacked Under | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 50c | 259$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.5 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d55…e1e7backed Over | 54c | 258.64$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 26c | 233$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.58 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x722c…1011backed Under | 74c | 233$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.58 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f27…6ea7backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c57…1178backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa294…ebd7backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Under | 71c | 190$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.1 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…a03dbacked Under | 66c | 164$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.76 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Under | 51c | 164$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.36 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 54c | 112.4$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.22 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 45c | 92.4$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.82 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 57.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Over | 36c | 49.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 52c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd323…64acbacked Over | 52c | 44.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…9724backed Over | 36c | 44.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5490backed Over | 52c | 42.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 288 | 56.9%164 W · 124 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Over | 53c | 40.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 55c | 35.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…81e0backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29bd…80c9backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd905…29debacked Under | 72c | 14.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Nets: O/U 227.5this page
- 1H Spread: Nets (-0.5)Nets won
- 1H Spread: Nets (-1.5)Nets won
- Pelicans vs. NetsNets won
- Pelicans vs. Nets: 1H MoneylineNets won
- Pelicans vs. Nets: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Nets: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Nets: O/U 226.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Nets: O/U 228.5Under won
- Spread: Nets (-1.5)Nets won
- Spread: Nets (-2.5)Nets won
- Spread: Nets (-3.5)Nets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.