NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Nets: 1H O/U 110.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1da989fb8f2513776435c85f44548e78286b339b6c30d00aa988e37ad47d6b26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,743
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,751
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,743 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 46c | 1,887$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.61 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 55c | 1,832$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 885.75$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.16 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Over | 54c | 869.96$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.89 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 45c | 311$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.05 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…0e32backed Over | 55c | 267.27$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a60…e1debacked Under | 48c | 205$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +121.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d5…f618backed Over | 52c | 190$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…3fccbacked Over | 54c | 187.04$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f89…c6b4backed Under | 47c | 187$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5904…89d7backed Over | 53c | 178$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcf…3cc7backed Under | 48c | 173$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…9c8cbacked Under | 48c | 171$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180e…4d55backed Under | 48c | 171$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…de1dbacked Under | 47c | 166$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.98 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc40c…09afbacked Over | 52c | 166$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…ea6fbacked Over | 52c | 166$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb4…e187backed Over | 52c | 160$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x277e…1cfabacked Over | 53c | 153$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.09 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf632…02aabacked Over | 54c | 105$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.48 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0564…82fdbacked Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Under | 47c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8e…1ef0backed Over | 55c | 23.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Nets: 1H O/U 110.5this page
- 1H Spread: Nets (-0.5)Nets won
- 1H Spread: Nets (-1.5)Nets won
- Pelicans vs. NetsNets won
- Pelicans vs. Nets: 1H MoneylineNets won
- Pelicans vs. Nets: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Nets: O/U 226.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Nets: O/U 227.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Nets: O/U 228.5Under won
- Spread: Nets (-1.5)Nets won
- Spread: Nets (-2.5)Nets won
- Spread: Nets (-3.5)Nets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.