NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Nets: O/U 226.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf774e4cac327147411fa0eaf7a4bf0a898ab4e7f1aac563960ff21d0f6773193
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,365
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,972
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,365 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 45c | 3,688$1,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,023.69 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Over | 55c | 3,611$1,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,986.25 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Under | 70c | 1,546$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.32 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 29c | 1,434$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.64 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e22…88a5backed Under | 72c | 821$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.88 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 29c | 715$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.82 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Under | 47c | 442.06$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.41 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 47c | 305.93$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.14 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 45c | 238.46$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.34 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 53c | 236.33$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.25 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 20c | 225$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.37 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 54c | 185.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf88…3ed6backed Over | 15c | 185.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6caf…7ef6backed Over | 52c | 182.69$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Over | 52c | 182$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.64 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 48c | 178.76$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.96 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87d5…fe30backed Over | 55c | 175.45$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.5 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -6.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 46c | 170.74$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.2 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 150.59$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 111.24$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.81 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ce…14b4backed Over | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdb…6404backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 531 | 41.8%222 W · 309 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 50c | 86.52$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.26 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 12c | 84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf632…02aabacked Over | 42c | 83.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.35 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf237…46edbacked Over | 24c | 65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70df…bca8backed Over | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 31c | 41.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…f9a1backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 350 | 52%182 W · 168 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9549…b936backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 244 | 52.5%128 W · 116 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…4c7abacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 710 | 44.6%317 W · 393 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 54c | 30.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Over | 53c | 28.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Under | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…bbe6backed Over | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 482 | 55%265 W · 217 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424b…ed19backed Under | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Nets: O/U 226.5this page
- 1H Spread: Nets (-0.5)Nets won
- 1H Spread: Nets (-1.5)Nets won
- Pelicans vs. NetsNets won
- Pelicans vs. Nets: 1H MoneylineNets won
- Pelicans vs. Nets: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Nets: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Nets: O/U 227.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Nets: O/U 228.5Under won
- Spread: Nets (-1.5)Nets won
- Spread: Nets (-2.5)Nets won
- Spread: Nets (-3.5)Nets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.