NBA · resolved market
1H Spread: Nets (-0.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e48e234c4dddad72a36a1328843a7aa3b06f2a15cc023e9bd121c8a8c813e54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Netsof Nets, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,174
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,174
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,174 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc91e…11c8backed Pelicans | 43c | 192$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c58…0f7ebacked Pelicans | 43c | 191$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59a6…edc4backed Nets | 57c | 186$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2742…ad13backed Pelicans | 44c | 182$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…8d5ebacked Pelicans | 43c | 180$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9c…f8dcbacked Pelicans | 44c | 176$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…f708backed Nets | 57c | 176$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff3a…f8e9backed Nets | 56c | 174$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd879…0831backed Nets | 56c | 170$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…de1dbacked Nets | 57c | 165$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.95 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Pelicans | 41c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 1H Spread: Nets (-0.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Nets (-1.5)Nets won
- Pelicans vs. NetsNets won
- Pelicans vs. Nets: 1H MoneylineNets won
- Pelicans vs. Nets: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Nets: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Nets: O/U 226.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Nets: O/U 227.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Nets: O/U 228.5Under won
- Spread: Nets (-1.5)Nets won
- Spread: Nets (-2.5)Nets won
- Spread: Nets (-3.5)Nets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.