Fifa International · resolved market
Will Faroe Islands win on 2025-11-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45a3883121261dec24f63ac4cdf545c40d2c6fc87113f518ccb66ef86b2a839c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,256
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,586
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,256 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Yes | 7c | 14,584$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.31 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b3…442cbacked Yes | 7c | 11,935$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 4c | 11,670$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.05 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes | 2c | 8,167$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.67 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…904abacked Yes | 4c | 5,325$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.02 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Yes | 5c | 4,014$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe910…a9b8backed Yes | 4c | 4,009$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ea…6254backed Yes | 9c | 3,000$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.85 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 31cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 3c | 2,855$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.13 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 3c | 2,521$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.14 | 203 | 22.7%46 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…79f7backed Yes | 3c | 2,357$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 2,249$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.52 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d6…00d5backed Yes | 3c | 2,200$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…593dbacked Yes | 3c | 2,156$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 6c | 1,516$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.93 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,400$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 250 | 19.6%49 W · 201 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…af75backed Yes | 3c | 1,034$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 224 | 21%47 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 3c | 999.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked No | 50c | 905.04$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.52 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +11.0wins | +0.16per pick | 23cpaid | +69%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcd…9293backed Yes | 3c | 673.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ec…2ec6backed Yes | 9c | 624.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.39 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 4c | 550.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 116 | 60.3%70 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 3c | 512.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…0af2backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 12.9%8 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 2c | 499.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 481 | 40.1%193 W · 288 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x560b…85d7backed Yes | 3c | 483.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b22…c776backed Yes | 5c | 416.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c72…9b30backed Yes | 3c | 365.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9659…f19abacked Yes | 3c | 361.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 3c | 313$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 4c | 311.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 69c | 300$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 326 | 29.1%95 W · 231 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd365…4568backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…3adbbacked Yes | 8c | 239.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…c103backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Yes | 7c | 208.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 9c | 155.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 33c | 64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Faroe Islands win on 2025-11-14?this page
- Will Croatia vs. Faroe Islands end in a draw?No won
- Will Croatia win on 2025-11-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.