Fifa International · resolved market
Will Croatia win on 2025-11-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2cbabf694ea8a6ae1d6577783efdae3c7e1ddf648621abd4bf2cdb21350ce5ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $255,851
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $254,366
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $255,851 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 13c | 100,000$12,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,992.26 | 270 | 39.6%107 W · 163 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab19…4876backed No | 11c | 50,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,499.99 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 11c | 8,652$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.77 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +124.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 123 | 10.6%13 W · 110 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 12c | 3,375$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.99 | 168 | 35.1%59 W · 109 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 13c | 3,050$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.5 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…ee34backed No | 25c | 2,701$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 10c | 2,190$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.99 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 211 | 40.3%85 W · 126 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…794cbacked No | 12c | 1,999$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.88 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed No | 13c | 1,923$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 74c | 1,302$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.98 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 14c | 1,274$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.06 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed No | 25c | 1,190$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.54 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed No | 12c | 1,000$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.64 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 224 | 21%47 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab6…bf68backed No | 12c | 749.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +173.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked No | 11c | 714$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.54 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…0af2backed No | 15c | 700$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 62 | 12.9%8 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb3…c770backed No | 13c | 600$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 2c | 542$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 96 | 33.3%32 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe931…138bbacked No | 13c | 484.62$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x518b…c850backed Yes | 77c | 331$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 12c | 314.26$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.71 | 125 | 25.6%32 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 13c | 297.88$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.71 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 12c | 288.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.38 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63aa…c5c8backed Yes | 77c | 271.43$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.43 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 23c | 265.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.12 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6341…227bbacked No | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 11c | 222$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 465 | 25.4%118 W · 347 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 12c | 208$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 218 | 50%109 W · 109 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed No | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked No | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ad…80f6backed No | 23c | 199.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked No | 12c | 199.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf547…9ebbbacked No | 10c | 177.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 12c | 166.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 109 | 54.1%59 W · 50 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 10c | 149.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89cb…574cbacked No | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab43…f82cbacked Yes | 77c | 131.14$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53a8…96d2backed No | 12c | 115.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb1…1129backed No | 13c | 112.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b4…2df7backed No | 12c | 105$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03bc…530cbacked Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…6beabacked No | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b8…3539backed No | 12c | 99.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 23c | 91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2edc…4a7abacked No | 12c | 90$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb1…4df1backed Yes | 73c | 82.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed No | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 13c | 77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef7…ae5cbacked Yes | 76c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11a1…34b2backed Yes | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 229 | 59.4%136 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d3…5ee5backed Yes | 76c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2de…07b6backed Yes | 79c | 22.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a96…e12fbacked Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Croatia win on 2025-11-14?this page
- Will Croatia vs. Faroe Islands end in a draw?No won
- Will Faroe Islands win on 2025-11-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.