Fifa International · resolved market
Will Croatia vs. Faroe Islands end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8f33ce07944c0865d4bf865ff489b37051ee0a3a5931080c932cbf754014083
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,805
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,805 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 0c | 3,500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 16c | 2,426$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.86 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f2…f486backed Yes | 9c | 2,005$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.39 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +156.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 10c | 1,917$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.07 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 10c | 1,257$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 142 | 46.5%66 W · 76 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 9c | 1,000$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.58 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 224 | 21%47 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Yes | 8c | 999.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Yes | 8c | 999.97$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 2c | 898.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 96 | 33.3%32 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…593dbacked Yes | 15c | 898.67$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 9c | 862.49$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.78 | 203 | 22.7%46 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe910…a9b8backed Yes | 9c | 563.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e5…092ebacked Yes | 6c | 516.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1166…a8e1backed Yes | 10c | 506.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9659…f19abacked Yes | 10c | 357.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcd…9293backed Yes | 9c | 337.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes | 10c | 282.93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ec…2ec6backed Yes | 14c | 277.77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…ad31backed Yes | 9c | 269.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 8c | 233.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5032…d300backed Yes | 16c | 218.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 16c | 213.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd729…d97ebacked Yes | 9c | 210.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 17c | 205.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…0af2backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 62 | 12.9%8 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…b699backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 8c | 180$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes | 9c | 180$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 169 | 25.4%43 W · 126 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 8c | 176.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 360 | 38.1%137 W · 223 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21b6…bfd5backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c93bbacked Yes | 9c | 112.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -68%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 9c | 109.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11a1…34b2backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 16c | 67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d1…ad22backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed No | 68c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Croatia vs. Faroe Islands end in a draw?this page
- Will Croatia win on 2025-11-14?Yes won
- Will Faroe Islands win on 2025-11-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.