TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Will Top Esports win LoL Worlds 2025?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,708,239
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$994,615

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,708,239 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 383 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7449…65ebbacked Yes1c118,208$1,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,401.111717.6%3 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick11cpaid-36.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Yes4c103,424$4,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,120.8243539.5%172 W · 263 L-24.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Yes6c51,234$3,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,247.771,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60cc…ff9bbacked Yes1c46,534$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.27944.4%4 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick17cpaid+81.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Yes11c45,534$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0005628.6%16 W · 40 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Yes6c41,674$2,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,336.327751.9%40 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes5c39,143$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,899.69110%0 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e8…6e04backed Yes6c35,635$2,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,234.536347.6%30 W · 33 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+3.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Yes10c30,767$3,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,08575630%227 W · 529 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b1a…b29fbacked Yes6c29,437$1,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,682.65366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick21cpaid+232.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed Yes4c28,280$1,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054.012548%12 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d5d…91d8backed Yes4c26,884$1,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,147.775149%25 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa314…b3aebacked Yes3c25,565$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.69616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-72.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5793…f9d5backed Yes2c22,349$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.213441.2%14 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes4c22,128$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.4489810.7%96 W · 802 L+2.6wins0.00per pick10cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cc6…a3bcbacked Yes6c20,021$1,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,228.071662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Yes4c20,000$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.861,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88b9…0fc9backed Yes5c18,663$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.9334837.4%130 W · 218 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bd5…81b0backed Yes4c18,297$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.8410924.8%27 W · 82 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Yes9c18,044$1,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,663.277131.8%245 W · 526 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d3b…c46bbacked Yes4c17,928$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.071428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-37%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Yes6c17,012$1,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,091.084134.1%14 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-43.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x809c…8cfdbacked Yes6c15,978$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+118.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x43d4…13a2backed Yes5c14,534$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.147839.7%31 W · 47 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x413b…2f8dbacked Yes12c12,250$1,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,438.75650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f41…0c00backed Yes10c11,566$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,155.38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf778…2f09backed Yes2c10,998$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.9112042.5%51 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65ac…c114backed Yes6c10,982$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c71…afbdbacked Yes3c10,609$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-52%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ed0…6250backed Yes5c10,374$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.1240%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82f9…3950backed Yes6c10,200$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.22123.8%5 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Yes6c10,089$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.3910533.3%35 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e9f…7d7fbacked Yes1c10,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1409535.8%34 W · 61 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3c2…26aabacked Yes4c10,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4402544%11 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-22.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8383…faa8backed Yes10c10,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.99812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick22cpaid-54%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x00bf…3a0ebacked Yes10c9,957$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdba4…2662backed Yes2c9,494$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d9d…e979backed Yes4c9,274$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.128016.3%13 W · 67 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-39.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd45…c05ebacked Yes3c8,782$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.461963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick58cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda5b…1ce2backed Yes6c8,337$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.64633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+54.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x16f0…a28dbacked Yes1c7,160$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.727544%33 W · 42 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes9c7,138$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.4144128.1%124 W · 317 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa36f…72b8backed Yes10c7,111$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.71353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+63.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x25ab…84f7backed Yes5c6,501$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.52520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-66.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x597e…cd70backed Yes5c6,481$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002433.3%8 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa77b…29a8backed Yes4c6,457$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.492445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Yes5c6,371$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.2813137.4%49 W · 82 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xddfb…a9d6backed Yes7c6,000$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick18cpaid+48.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x405f…45cebacked Yes8c5,996$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.25per pick52cpaid+72.3%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xd8bf…c6e3backed Yes9c5,810$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+41.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes8c5,770$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.731,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Yes5c5,751$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.432,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9af6…2d43backed Yes11c5,620$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bf0…459dbacked Yes4c5,278$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.17850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x220d…da32backed Yes4c5,080$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.51323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-56.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7ff…14c3backed Yes9c5,028$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.13425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-57.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes5c5,000$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2451,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6437…5012backed Yes3c4,868$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16170%0 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes4c4,737$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.44137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-58.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b37…de68backed Yes8c4,727$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.54333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid-33.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe0…eceebacked Yes4c4,722$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.06560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8944…41d5backed Yes10c4,689$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.866540%26 W · 39 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaef…a883backed Yes5c4,635$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.381435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8355…80d4backed Yes4c4,410$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.7333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick24cpaid-29.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed Yes9c3,997$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.4920035%70 W · 130 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+3.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c3d…6373backed Yes6c3,884$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.9530%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ed6…5e0dbacked Yes10c3,867$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40050%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93ed…59e8backed Yes4c3,852$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.22416.7%4 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick16cpaid+24.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf3e…dc7dbacked Yes10c3,834$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef41…2473backed Yes4c3,804$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.56836.8%25 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes1c3,750$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-59.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3613…d3dabacked Yes11c3,685$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.940%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe910…0ecdbacked Yes10c3,681$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.32580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+78%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd347…5205backed Yes6c3,589$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.56520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa629…e15cbacked Yes4c3,539$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.869264.1%59 W · 33 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+9.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e8d…4bd2backed Yes6c3,505$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick35cpaid-74.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x677f…1228backed Yes4c3,388$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.257038.6%27 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f5b…b598backed Yes4c3,333$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.323964.1%25 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3ab5…7b38backed Yes9c3,332$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick34cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb04…8b8abacked Yes2c3,291$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2210616%17 W · 89 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x225a…f6cbbacked Yes7c3,200$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.61833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Yes6c3,165$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.61,18548.1%570 W · 615 L-2.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf3…eac3backed Yes10c3,135$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.81366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd38a…44babacked Yes10c3,061$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf92c…60e7backed Yes3c3,041$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.8316828.6%48 W · 120 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x08c7…7203backed Yes3c3,020$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.4913911.5%16 W · 123 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Yes5c3,000$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1352343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04ea…d556backed Yes3c2,939$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+35.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x937d…8df1backed Yes2c2,900$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.53520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-69.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Yes2c2,891$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.41,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8bf…bd58backed Yes2c2,829$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.731752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9764…73a0backed Yes4c2,811$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+78.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x950e…76d9backed Yes5c2,798$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.5530%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c91…0766backed Yes3c2,570$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.2333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb438…24a2backed Yes7c2,526$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.5616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick9cpaid+278.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cb7…6019backed Yes6c2,500$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.343336.4%12 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x370a…55ebbacked Yes6c2,456$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.511020%2 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40af…abb2backed Yes4c2,421$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.49526.3%25 W · 70 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03c8…558fbacked Yes10c2,392$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1690…8c4dbacked Yes10c2,361$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.7820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.