TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: T1 vs Fnatic (BO5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
T1of T1, Fnatic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$172,917
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$198,787

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,917 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd631…1b97backed Fnatic1c15,137$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-34.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22d0…6293backed Fnatic46c14,389$6,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,675.042347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed T160c7,000$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8005250%26 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+32%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c81…e258backed Fnatic41c5,803$2,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,353.31457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+42.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2fd1…8257backed T153c5,170$2,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,429.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Fnatic42c3,591$1,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,515.3712835.9%46 W · 82 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked Fnatic45c3,532$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6001030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4762…ba70backed T156c3,517$1,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,549.7213558.5%79 W · 56 L+11.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x29fd…de15backed Fnatic2c2,858$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b51…edf0backed Fnatic40c2,734$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,093.731136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed T159c2,626$1,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,081.52633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-47.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb877…a13fbacked Fnatic5c2,568$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.6524732%79 W · 168 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked T153c2,476$1,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,163.6333753.1%179 W · 158 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fa9…a36dbacked Fnatic26c2,377$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.743743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae8d…210fbacked Fnatic26c2,204$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.881540%6 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-32.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb94f…04d8backed Fnatic1c2,096$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02fb…0a53backed Fnatic37c1,855$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.2475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a4e…3309backed Fnatic42c1,837$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.43742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Fnatic5c1,814$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4562156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c72…9b30backed T170c1,775$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfacf…44adbacked T161c1,750$1,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.392360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3445…d229backed Fnatic3c1,691$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.73812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-83.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked Fnatic24c1,677$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.457954.4%43 W · 36 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5215…3164backed Fnatic24c1,575$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.564744.7%21 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4dc4…306fbacked Fnatic25c1,550$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.52729.6%8 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-31.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked T153c1,502$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.011637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Fnatic41c1,500$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6153438.2%13 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed T166c1,470$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.32272.7%16 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+40.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb3ab…ff0cbacked T168c1,452$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.3966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fb7…082dbacked Fnatic48c1,436$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.81966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e5b…0324backed T154c1,432$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.2612151.2%62 W · 59 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb375…59d6backed Fnatic15c1,332$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.92520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-64.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ed…617ebacked Fnatic40c1,303$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.39825%2 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-64.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Fnatic36c1,239$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.7636138.5%139 W · 222 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb428…13bfbacked T156c1,160$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.41735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x469f…3d4fbacked Fnatic25c1,152$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.731258.3%7 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42e…9a1cbacked T153c1,100$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5171100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Fnatic44c1,000$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4441553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked T161c919$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.110743.9%47 W · 60 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3248…aad4backed T158c886.04$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.14966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+47%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Fnatic46c871.5$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.6719655.6%109 W · 87 L+12.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xedfd…1432backed Fnatic29c860.85$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2472343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-27.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4e1…d80bbacked Fnatic16c723.21$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.25742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x641f…942bbacked T174c720$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.682759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed T171c700$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.4683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick66cpaid+32.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x79b3…7b16backed Fnatic29c683.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked T154c662.13$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.7134847.4%165 W · 183 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0341…a679backed T153c660.38$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.383938.5%15 W · 24 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x25c2…273dbacked T153c624.53$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.53333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed T159c600$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24639042.6%166 W · 224 L+19.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Fnatic8c564.77$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5727411.3%31 W · 243 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Fnatic23c554.67$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.5279650%398 W · 398 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b47…25d3backed Fnatic37c538.75$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.621546.7%7 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f65…a0adbacked Fnatic23c500$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.753138.7%12 W · 19 L-5.1wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-31.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5558…227bbacked T179c483$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.138333.7%28 W · 55 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb787…ad0abacked T177c457.44$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.572100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Fnatic22c446.5$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4839545.8%181 W · 214 L-1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed T173c427.06$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.062100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Fnatic14c405.59$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.781833.3%6 W · 177 L-73.1wins-0.40per pick43cpaid-93.1%equal weight11-0.35 edge/pick
0xdb29…358ebacked T175c405$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.25988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick68cpaid+28.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed T177c387.1$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.14330.2%13 W · 30 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4cd…e2abbacked T155c363.08$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.396048.3%29 W · 31 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x98ff…4303backed T155c360.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.364100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+108.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4db9…ec0abacked Fnatic23c332.84$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Fnatic10c323.67$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.912147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed T155c322$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.94755.3%26 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaee7…1e5bbacked T154c300.15$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.946953.6%37 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa825…2ef0backed Fnatic21c280$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.83537.1%13 W · 22 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-24.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x56fc…affbbacked T171c240$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.87252.8%38 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e17…e4d4backed Fnatic48c237.13$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.57560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeea7…8fd2backed T156c231.74$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.982138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03c4…b832backed T157c209.61$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.131675%12 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+27.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f56…f93cbacked Fnatic28c203.04$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.03366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+48.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Fnatic40c202.25$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809651%49 W · 47 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x92ab…2b99backed T162c201.99$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.08683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.44per pick39cpaid+100.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc687…e856backed T160c201.12$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.124100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0729…4e62backed Fnatic18c200.48$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.782075%15 W · 5 L+4.8wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+45.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed T155c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904242.9%18 W · 24 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x476b…8a58backed T160c192.78$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.56669.7%46 W · 20 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ba0…ff3abacked T153c186.97$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.97560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1351…bebcbacked Fnatic36c177.09$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.423253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf540…cc07backed Fnatic30c174.65$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.01650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cff…6471backed T159c170$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.71850%9 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ba…faecbacked T159c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed T164c155.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.084050%20 W · 20 L-6.2wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-23.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd9b4…5692backed Fnatic26c154.34$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd85b…fd58backed T175c150$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff91…5126backed Fnatic12c142.61$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.01785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.32per pick54cpaid+58%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked T151c134.1$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.714542.2%19 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb296…cb8fbacked T173c127.6$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick73cpaid+37.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb56a…a485backed T177c113.27$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.55683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+47.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd547…5ed7backed Fnatic32c110.57$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.17450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89b8…5cf9backed Fnatic47c106.84$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7acb…8c1dbacked Fnatic33c104.81$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.822955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf37c…3c74backed Fnatic49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501850%9 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Fnatic12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1230828.2%87 W · 221 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa097…8795backed T160c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+29.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51ec…a7b9backed Fnatic13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+117.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked T165c99.2$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.589051.1%46 W · 44 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed T169c93.94$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.846251.6%32 W · 30 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.