Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: T1 vs Fnatic - Map 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc496a3c178b3737b89f802c21af0ae5ec2538b3f491173e6467ebb0b1a0c8555
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fnaticof T1, Fnatic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,716
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,956
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,716 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfacf…44adbacked T1 | 29c | 2,200$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.99 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Fnatic | 28c | 1,814$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.85 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Fnatic | 37c | 1,397$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.54 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed Fnatic | 33c | 1,101$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae8d…210fbacked T1 | 66c | 729.16$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Fnatic | 71c | 539.48$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.34 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Fnatic | 64c | 533.91$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.41 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed T1 | 64c | 515$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.6 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…13bfbacked T1 | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc3…d101backed T1 | 27c | 406.05$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…964dbacked Fnatic | 5c | 400.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 5cpaid | +376.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Fnatic | 35c | 387.47$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.15 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…aad4backed T1 | 63c | 320$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +47%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1866…1325backed Fnatic | 33c | 304.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.24 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c7…007dbacked T1 | 60c | 189.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.28 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6334…ddf4backed Fnatic | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +809.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f56…f93cbacked Fnatic | 39c | 126.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…b0a5backed Fnatic | 33c | 120.83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.83 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x916c…669abacked T1 | 58c | 120.1$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Fnatic | 30c | 119.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.61 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec7a…a1f2backed Fnatic | 71c | 105.13$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.49 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed T1 | 61c | 102.36$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.44 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed T1 | 46c | 94.22$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed T1 | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4d…8cc3backed T1 | 78c | 76.97$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74a0…1be2backed T1 | 61c | 59.84$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea7…8fd2backed T1 | 37c | 54.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed T1 | 63c | 42.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked T1 | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd631…1b97backed Fnatic | 76c | 30.62$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7acb…8c1dbacked Fnatic | 38c | 29.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked T1 | 61c | 29.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6f…778fbacked T1 | 65c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: T1 vs Fnatic - Map 3 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- Valorant: T1 vs Fnatic (BO5)T1 won
- Valorant: T1 vs Fnatic - Map 1 WinnerT1 won
- Valorant: T1 vs Fnatic - Map 2 WinnerT1 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.