Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: T1 vs Fnatic - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b9333c31721051c2d6a3267eb6a1e90d1fc26d3b88ed3ee8a2f6cc840b4cf55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- T1of T1, Fnatic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,885
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,627
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,885 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Fnatic | 36c | 2,770$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Fnatic | 15c | 1,870$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.68 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…44adbacked T1 | 53c | 1,505$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.54 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc3…d101backed T1 | 71c | 780$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x420f…6878backed Fnatic | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked Fnatic | 19c | 560$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.3 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Fnatic | 46c | 438.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed Fnatic | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5b…0324backed T1 | 48c | 288.67$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.68 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd5…7236backed Fnatic | 35c | 276$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed T1 | 54c | 275.67$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.81 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked T1 | 46c | 193.08$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.11 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8d…210fbacked Fnatic | 55c | 180.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed T1 | 59c | 170.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.69 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Fnatic | 25c | 132.6$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.46 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked T1 | 45c | 87.46$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Fnatic | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Fnatic | 54c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Fnatic | 23c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Fnatic | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…2ef0backed T1 | 63c | 42.78$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked T1 | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Fnatic | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…227bbacked T1 | 48c | 21.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff91…5126backed T1 | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +58%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: T1 vs Fnatic - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- Valorant: T1 vs Fnatic (BO5)T1 won
- Valorant: T1 vs Fnatic - Map 1 WinnerT1 won
- Valorant: T1 vs Fnatic - Map 3 WinnerFnatic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.