TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Utah vs. Flames

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Flamesof Utah, Flames
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$518,324
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$519,109

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $518,324 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 277 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a72…33eebacked Flames54c150,737$81,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68,844.671,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe73e…74febacked Flames56c130,841$72,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,070.071741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6b4…a278backed Utah45c120,500$54,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,802.5510349.5%51 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Utah45c71,280$32,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,165.9248549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Flames59c45,402$26,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,484.1838748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Utah41c45,000$18,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,30042552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Utah45c36,834$16,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,740.8247951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef54…d1eebacked Utah44c31,218$13,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,735.9717749.2%87 W · 90 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Utah44c22,590$10,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,013.771,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Flames54c13,640$7,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,274.2388151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Utah46c10,000$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,60032946.8%154 W · 175 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Utah46c10,000$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,60031654.7%173 W · 143 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Flames53c9,051$4,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,253.839548.4%46 W · 49 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Utah48c8,208$3,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,947.81,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0566…9b36backed Flames53c7,000$3,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,290333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Flames53c5,368$2,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,522.9589547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Flames53c5,018$2,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,360.261,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed Utah47c4,979$2,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,34015954.1%86 W · 73 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Utah45c4,647$2,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,069.191,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Flames54c4,630$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,129.6325446.5%118 W · 136 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Utah47c4,311$2,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,026.169052.2%47 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Utah43c4,255$1,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,821.0227143.5%118 W · 153 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Utah18c4,216$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.8811352.2%59 W · 54 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Utah47c4,000$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,88027548.7%134 W · 141 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Flames53c3,774$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,773.5829651.7%153 W · 143 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Flames54c3,333$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,533.1886649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Utah47c3,333$1,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,566.4822546.2%104 W · 121 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Flames72c2,852$2,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.831,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Utah44c2,738$1,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,209.042,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fad…1deabacked Utah48c2,630$1,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,262.21666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+33.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Flames54c2,610$1,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200.661959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0cf…6f28backed Utah48c2,571$1,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,23440%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Utah47c2,500$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,174.9897651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c52…fd98backed Flames53c2,492$1,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,171.05966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+34.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb3…0a77backed Flames53c2,197$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.891758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6638…1572backed Flames53c2,115$1,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.09650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Utah45c2,039$917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.3892848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Utah46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.8475251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Flames54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92014945%67 W · 82 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Utah45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9007157.7%41 W · 30 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Utah47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94083652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Utah44c1,931$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.641,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Utah47c1,885$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.9520147.8%96 W · 105 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x954e…927fbacked Flames54c1,852$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.8513946.8%65 W · 74 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d3a…64b7backed Flames54c1,852$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.8512041.7%50 W · 70 L-10.9wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked Flames54c1,852$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.8512445.2%56 W · 68 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf3ee…5436backed Utah47c1,600$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.99450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2195…16f9backed Utah44c1,591$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.994440.9%18 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Utah48c1,583$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.0130152.5%158 W · 143 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3bcb…a2aabacked Flames56c1,508$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.093100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+114.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Utah44c1,508$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.081,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e7d…4883backed Utah47c1,500$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.99425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Utah43c1,486$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.1236038.6%139 W · 221 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked Utah48c1,479$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71026946.1%124 W · 145 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Utah46c1,310$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.341,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Utah1c1,241$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.417450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Flames53c1,100$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51735349.6%175 W · 178 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeda2…3fa5backed Utah47c1,100$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4e7…6c34backed Utah46c1,049$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.541855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Utah48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50060337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Utah34c1,040$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.4412733.1%42 W · 85 L-10.1wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Utah1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Flames71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2901,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Utah1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1013241.7%55 W · 77 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+70.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Utah45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45018453.8%99 W · 85 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc50…c49dbacked Utah47c900$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Utah30c869$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.52,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Utah23c853.81$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19928842%121 W · 167 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa02…d9ebbacked Utah47c800$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…1ed3backed Utah47c800$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3762755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Utah27c772.59$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.5282043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a38…cd0dbacked Flames53c754.72$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.723100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+77.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4be4…c601backed Utah48c739.58$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+57.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x260c…7130backed Flames57c702.19$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.1916753.3%89 W · 78 L+13.1wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+19%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb486…660ebacked Utah47c700$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd622…8b56backed Utah47c700$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32910846.3%50 W · 58 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Utah25c679$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.3261848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Flames73c659.5$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.062,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Utah48c648$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.0438844.6%173 W · 215 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa469…e73fbacked Utah31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004731.9%15 W · 32 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Utah47c643.03$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30019353.9%104 W · 89 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2c3…0e32backed Flames79c631.31$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.331752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Utah45c622$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.972847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27df…e67cbacked Flames53c594.34$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.3414148.9%69 W · 72 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6723…a540backed Flames53c574$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.859850%49 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Flames53c570$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.947051.5%242 W · 228 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb428…13bfbacked Flames57c556.46$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.465240.4%21 W · 31 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Utah47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23575946.6%354 W · 405 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04ac…c7b0backed Flames54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2305100%5 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4866…afc0backed Flames53c455.79$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.22580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+58.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x273c…7a42backed Flames55c454.08$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.9518159.7%108 W · 73 L+8.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Utah45c447$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.151,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Flames54c445.52$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.8848452.3%253 W · 231 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Utah47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010438.5%40 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c72…9b30backed Flames71c412$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.48633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-46.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x067e…e021backed Utah47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18830%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Flames53c396.23$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.2324952.2%130 W · 119 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Flames78c366.33$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.195049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda70…828bbacked Utah30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-40.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe530…a2cabacked Utah48c312.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15069142.8%296 W · 395 L-2.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.