NHL · resolved market
Utah vs. Flames: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb029a2dd10e62d1e1b1bff0c9781d1176189b632e4de72fd24a6eda1792efe06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,702
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,998
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,702 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 58c | 22,781$13,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,658.86 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…0c1bbacked Over | 43c | 8,157$3,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,466.68 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Over | 41c | 3,575$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.8 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 43c | 3,500$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Over | 43c | 3,333$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.19 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 42c | 2,124$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.99 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 58c | 1,239$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.34 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 42c | 1,096$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.32 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Over | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Over | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a4…82febacked Under | 58c | 810.34$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Over | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 43c | 255.81$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 40c | 251.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.41 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 59c | 185$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.74 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Over | 42c | 180.06$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.63 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b8…5cf9backed Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 41c | 134.71$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.23 | 326 | 50%163 W · 163 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x205f…0189backed Under | 58c | 118.97$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.97 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…f34ebacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 198 | 44.4%88 W · 110 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3233…0dd5backed Under | 58c | 94.83$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.83 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x591a…aec2backed Under | 58c | 87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f2…1415backed Under | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Over | 41c | 64.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…a31cbacked Under | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…8254backed Under | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 45c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a5…4024backed Under | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05ba…2aecbacked Under | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…c934backed Under | 60c | 41.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa19f…f745backed Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a7…b64dbacked Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Under | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 161 | 50.9%82 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x273c…7a42backed Under | 58c | 32.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 181 | 59.7%108 W · 73 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Under | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Under | 59c | 22.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 490 | 53.7%263 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Under | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd5…0acbbacked Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Under | 59c | 17.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Utah vs. Flames: O/U 6.5this page
- Spread: Flames (-1.5)Flames won
- Utah vs. FlamesFlames won
- Utah vs. Flames: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.