TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Eagles vs. Chargers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Chargersof Eagles, Chargers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,920,406
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,022,995

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,920,406 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,558 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb744…5210backed Chargers48c2,405,029$1,148,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,256,621.0117041.8%71 W · 99 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0bc…af98backed Eagles52c893,795$464,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464,773.4944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick67cpaid-33%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a55…f9bebacked Chargers50c593,957$296,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296,978.431428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-39.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Eagles52c425,836$219,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219,335.4113843.5%60 W · 78 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Chargers47c297,217$140,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156,898.28747.1%41 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Eagles53c253,819$135,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135,422.827454.7%150 W · 124 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Eagles54c232,483$124,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124,765.5231240.7%127 W · 185 L-22.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Eagles50c208,836$104,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104,417.877951.9%41 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Chargers62c207,862$129,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78,862.4316955%93 W · 76 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Eagles50c200,000$100,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100,0005550.9%28 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Eagles51c200,000$102,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102,00010333%34 W · 69 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked Chargers46c159,999$73,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85,999.3811168.5%76 W · 35 L+18.5wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+34.3%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Eagles54c130,693$70,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70,008.8512144.6%54 W · 67 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Eagles52c128,234$66,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66,677.617554.7%41 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Chargers45c126,283$56,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69,901.217454.6%95 W · 79 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Chargers58c122,399$71,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,951.214452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Eagles52c118,634$62,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,148.685431.5%17 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Eagles47c93,225$43,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,640.947738.6%184 W · 293 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd568…a35abacked Eagles56c91,398$51,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,1831968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+39%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Eagles54c79,075$42,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,699.2453348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Eagles52c74,959$38,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,756.8720755.1%114 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Chargers45c61,583$28,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,577.6518650%93 W · 93 L+9.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Chargers41c60,000$24,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,399.9524652%128 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Eagles12c54,311$6,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,718.9619645.4%89 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0f16…0246backed Eagles54c53,242$28,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,802.34425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-56.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Eagles55c50,520$27,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,992.610650.9%54 W · 52 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Eagles54c50,000$27,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,00018435.9%66 W · 118 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Chargers46c48,526$22,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,152.7186547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked Eagles51c46,338$23,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,784.6911445.6%52 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed Eagles51c45,175$23,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,039.375850%29 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Eagles51c43,130$22,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,142.612944.2%57 W · 72 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ca8…bf49backed Eagles52c42,308$22,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,0001936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c81…fce3backed Eagles54c41,884$22,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,699.935250%26 W · 26 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Eagles55c40,916$22,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,460.6347348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Eagles51c38,710$19,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,716.9525137.5%94 W · 157 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Eagles54c37,999$20,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,590.811544.3%51 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Chargers44c37,273$16,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,872.89359.1%55 W · 38 L+10.2wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+22.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Chargers60c37,007$22,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,663.0373651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed Eagles54c35,807$19,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,170.2917348%83 W · 90 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Chargers44c35,000$15,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,6005236.5%19 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc3e…37efbacked Chargers58c34,219$19,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,393.367736.4%28 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Eagles49c33,859$16,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,592.0230043.7%131 W · 169 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Chargers45c32,373$14,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,804.9416836.9%62 W · 106 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1d…0c53backed Eagles55c32,170$17,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,740.51442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Chargers45c30,000$13,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,499.9916051.9%83 W · 77 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed Eagles50c29,743$14,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,977.564634.8%16 W · 30 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x96e1…50aabacked Chargers26c28,000$7,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,6003748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Chargers55c27,459$15,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,444.6475852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2232…f6fabacked Chargers66c27,010$17,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,213.322470.8%17 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Chargers52c26,828$13,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,986.384143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3d6…34e3backed Eagles56c26,567$14,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,938.454837.5%18 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Eagles50c25,000$12,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,50030743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Eagles53c24,500$13,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,07083147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed Eagles54c23,600$12,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,819.871346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed Eagles53c23,397$12,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,473.662250%11 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed Eagles45c22,628$10,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,167.156245.2%28 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef54…d1eebacked Chargers49c22,222$10,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,333.223345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9146…5f30backed Eagles55c22,000$12,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,209.922528%7 W · 18 L-4.9wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-47.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Eagles52c21,558$11,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,292.9850242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07c8…2696backed Chargers49c21,351$10,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,889.025957.6%34 W · 25 L+7.1wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+29.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5eb7…05f6backed Eagles55c20,909$11,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,50010144.6%45 W · 56 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5da4…e203backed Eagles51c20,000$10,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,2003548.6%17 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x27f2…702cbacked Eagles60c19,935$11,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,966.339359.1%55 W · 38 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa89e…fb60backed Eagles47c18,155$8,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,462.191770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Eagles54c17,615$9,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,574.3721254.2%115 W · 97 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Eagles57c17,544$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0006459.4%38 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Chargers48c16,554$7,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,600.1511643.1%50 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Eagles39c16,365$6,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,340.6414349%70 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae6a…faf4backed Eagles60c15,923$9,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,573.432240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x88e2…1030backed Eagles56c15,881$8,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,893.14333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Eagles51c15,617$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,00010648.1%51 W · 55 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc62a…c2c7backed Eagles54c15,000$8,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,10040%0 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Chargers49c14,943$7,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,612.2544652.9%236 W · 210 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Eagles48c14,935$7,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,1117255.6%40 W · 32 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8a4…75c1backed Eagles78c14,837$11,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,546.1418658.1%108 W · 78 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Chargers36c14,610$5,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,408.3420026%52 W · 148 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefa8…a55abacked Eagles44c14,330$6,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,374.0530%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9dd…3cc5backed Eagles32c13,945$4,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,470.821931.6%6 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+28.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x841a…09c6backed Chargers45c12,914$5,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,102.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Eagles51c12,775$6,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,537.581,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Chargers39c12,424$4,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,522.6819551.3%100 W · 95 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa613…d494backed Eagles52c12,184$6,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,335.748856.8%50 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Chargers47c12,000$5,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,36024056.7%136 W · 104 L+19.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Eagles1c12,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204515.6%7 W · 38 L+6.1wins+0.13per pick2cpaid+931.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1ca8…1a39backed Eagles32c11,797$3,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,775.171752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32eb…0c1bbacked Eagles51c11,210$5,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,717.12462.5%15 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x357e…2a0cbacked Chargers44c11,000$4,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,159.924944.9%22 W · 27 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb525…bdc7backed Eagles57c10,959$6,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,202.323953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Chargers44c10,914$4,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,104.0712138.8%47 W · 74 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Eagles40c10,628$4,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,223.2531543.2%136 W · 179 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Chargers48c10,416$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,416.3213560%81 W · 54 L+14.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4762…ba70backed Eagles54c10,357$5,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,622.767346.6%34 W · 39 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Chargers26c10,008$2,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,443.284358.1%25 W · 18 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+33.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Chargers50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0001,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc153…6c8bbacked Eagles56c10,000$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,600728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick60cpaid-52.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfa25…05e8backed Chargers45c10,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,5002948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54fd…ae61backed Eagles55c10,000$5,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,5402454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf0…1e2abacked Eagles56c10,000$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,6002740.7%11 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-23.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Eagles59c10,000$5,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,899.9923937.7%90 W · 149 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Chargers44c10,000$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,599.967657.9%44 W · 32 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+134.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.