TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Eagles vs. Chargers: O/U 41.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$100,461
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$100,382

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,461 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9267…0f9abacked Under48c30,223$14,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,866.1824652%128 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c81…e258backed Over53c21,556$11,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,424.911747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over52c17,529$9,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,138.547348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under48c10,022$4,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,211.6286547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over51c8,887$4,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,510.861,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under49c8,878$4,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,527.554456.8%25 W · 19 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x43fd…99a7backed Under50c8,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0001450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under49c4,439$2,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,257.6677052.7%406 W · 364 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over53c3,519$1,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,854.553348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over53c3,500$1,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,84524053.8%129 W · 111 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a45…dd1dbacked Over53c3,418$1,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,811.31926.3%5 W · 14 L-4.3wins-0.23per pick49cpaid-46.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Over53c3,061$1,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,634.2314641.8%61 W · 85 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Under48c2,500$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.9915555.5%86 W · 69 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Over52c2,137$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,11112249.2%60 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c2f…3794backed Over14c2,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2708128.4%23 W · 58 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-11.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under48c1,338$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.7537350.9%190 W · 183 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under48c1,260$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.9450242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011255.4%62 W · 50 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002544%11 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Over50c863$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.544652.9%236 W · 210 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Under51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.2416351.5%84 W · 79 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under48c517.43$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.0634652.9%183 W · 163 L+16.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2917…be8fbacked Over47c458.16$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.53823.7%9 W · 29 L-4.8wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-36%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb457…b13abacked Over52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004951%25 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under48c375.05$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.0256852.3%297 W · 271 L+26.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over33c324$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10731543.2%136 W · 179 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Under49c309$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.5934349.3%169 W · 174 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-18.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83b8…d1fbbacked Under50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.26per pick38cpaid+39.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under48c283.54$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.4421254.2%115 W · 97 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a25…c24dbacked Over52c207.69$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1088143.2%35 W · 46 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d32…fe50backed Over53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-55.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d4e…18debacked Over52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10411752.1%61 W · 56 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2af…e3bcbacked Under49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x28a8…57d5backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98ff…4303backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over52c195$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.455345%249 W · 304 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over27c191.32$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2232043.8%140 W · 180 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbf5…6638backed Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011637.9%44 W · 72 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Under47c162$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.8624547.8%117 W · 128 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e4f…243cbacked Under50c159$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.51442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe727…5e8dbacked Over52c132.56$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.9317548%84 W · 91 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf9d…3ea9backed Over36c124.42$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4526660.9%162 W · 104 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over52c115.38$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6028047.5%133 W · 147 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95bc…9f00backed Over68c100$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.712945%58 W · 71 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6da8…d660backed Over52c96.82$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.481020%2 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-71.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017047.1%80 W · 90 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x881f…dfe9backed Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd64…c090backed Over52c95.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.513135.5%11 W · 20 L-5.3wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-29.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7563…1fb3backed Under49c90$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.91838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under52c83$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9848847.5%232 W · 256 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf93…bdc8backed Under64c79.85$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.357768.8%53 W · 24 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Over49c69.98$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.297352.1%38 W · 35 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Under50c67.12$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3741450.5%209 W · 205 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4669…785ebacked Under49c67$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.171060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+22.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under45c63.67$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.0215952.2%83 W · 76 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae69…0c24backed Over50c62$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd402…5a50backed Under49c61.17$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.29265.2%60 W · 32 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7011…0710backed Under51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.821450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under50c55.2$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.654451.7%281 W · 263 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe9…a400backed Over50c55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Over49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.529751.5%153 W · 144 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb78d…835dbacked Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2522053.2%117 W · 103 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc07d…5bd8backed Over24c48.59$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.67044.3%31 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7e8…c457backed Under49c47.96$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.572653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf572…065abacked Under49c43$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.931952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc716…f0d7backed Under49c43$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.93837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc54a…1a58backed Over42c42$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea5b…d88dbacked Over52c41.91$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fb4…8830backed Under49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.82837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfaea…a809backed Under49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.822650%13 W · 13 L+4.2wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+17.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Under65c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1418245.6%83 W · 99 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedb5…ce8ebacked Over52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Over54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204040%16 W · 24 L-5.1wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-26.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x320f…b4a3backed Under49c32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.321154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x891e…ea69backed Over51c32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under48c31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1211058.2%64 W · 46 L+11.0wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+19.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9014…db4abacked Under48c31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.126656.1%37 W · 29 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed Under48c31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.126755.2%37 W · 30 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e50…a09dbacked Under45c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb59a…e730backed Over50c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65b5…a9f7backed Under48c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.483161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5af1…f988backed Under48c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.483262.5%20 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x426a…128bbacked Under49c23.94$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.323727%10 W · 27 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-42.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfcad…0a68backed Under48c22.74$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.832532%8 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37e8…441fbacked Over51c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.22742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27bf…b323backed Under48c21.88$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.383336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcba…d962backed Under49c21.59$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.013953.8%21 W · 18 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over52c21.18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0820944.5%93 W · 116 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5f8…148fbacked Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x96ae…89d9backed Over51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.21030%3 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick55cpaid-42.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x33f3…d80abacked Under76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.83056.7%17 W · 13 L+5.0wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+39.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1fba…dc55backed Over51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.