TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Spread: Eagles (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Chargersof Eagles, Chargers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$792,394
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$796,788

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $792,394 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 305 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2f09…4632backed Eagles47c165,000$77,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77,515.213843.5%60 W · 78 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Eagles50c160,818$80,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80,035.9247348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Chargers51c149,505$76,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73,257.4424957%142 W · 107 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed Chargers54c130,160$69,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,429.9517041.8%71 W · 99 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Chargers52c108,184$55,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,243.1286547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Chargers52c72,545$37,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,821.7127454.7%150 W · 124 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Eagles47c56,345$26,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,482.126645.5%30 W · 36 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Eagles50c55,562$27,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,722.2953348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Eagles49c40,000$19,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,60012944.2%57 W · 72 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f1a…6dc0backed Eagles47c30,000$14,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,1007051.4%36 W · 34 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Chargers49c21,040$10,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,739.5175852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ca8…bf49backed Eagles46c19,457$8,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,9501936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Chargers50c16,804$8,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,402.0417454.6%95 W · 79 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb4a…4ef5backed Eagles48c15,650$7,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,5121338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-26.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Chargers50c15,000$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,50016860.7%102 W · 66 L+18.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Eagles48c13,486$6,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,473.2522450%112 W · 112 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Chargers53c12,457$6,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,845.841,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Chargers49c12,070$5,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,118.4539447.7%188 W · 206 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Chargers54c11,898$6,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,450.7624056.7%136 W · 104 L+19.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked Chargers50c10,607$5,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,303.5411168.5%76 W · 35 L+18.5wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+34.3%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Eagles48c10,200$4,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,85628447.5%135 W · 149 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2734…6d9ebacked Chargers55c10,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,5005658.9%33 W · 23 L+5.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked Chargers50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0001872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+43.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Eagles48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,799.984358.1%25 W · 18 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+33.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Chargers55c9,974$5,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,488.1316955%93 W · 76 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd3d6…34e3backed Eagles49c9,850$4,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,826.54837.5%18 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Eagles46c8,299$3,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,856.1437350.9%190 W · 183 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Chargers50c7,805$3,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,902.6611146.8%52 W · 59 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Chargers53c7,500$3,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,52551352.2%268 W · 245 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Chargers50c7,500$3,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,75014450%72 W · 72 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xacc5…c31fbacked Eagles48c7,000$3,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3401154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Chargers37c6,610$2,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,161.1850242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Eagles49c6,262$3,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,068.3921254.2%115 W · 97 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Chargers49c5,274$2,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,68756852.3%297 W · 271 L+26.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Eagles51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,55035848.6%174 W · 184 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Eagles50c5,000$2,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,503.0314641.8%61 W · 85 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Chargers50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5007657.9%44 W · 32 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+134.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Chargers50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50011750.4%59 W · 58 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Chargers49c4,469$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,279.3713560%81 W · 54 L+14.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Eagles49c3,915$1,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,918.1210650.9%54 W · 52 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Eagles49c3,593$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7507549.3%37 W · 38 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Eagles49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,47015252.6%80 W · 72 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf70d…ef69backed Chargers50c2,528$1,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,264728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-41.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x00e1…4976backed Eagles50c2,528$1,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2641050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d29…6da9backed Chargers44c2,470$1,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,373.55366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+29.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb14…bd17backed Eagles50c2,400$1,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20813145.8%60 W · 71 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Chargers50c2,075$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.4365048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Eagles49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9804348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ae5…b896backed Chargers53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9402552%13 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Chargers50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7506647%31 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2195…16f9backed Eagles50c1,400$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Eagles47c1,230$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57827835.3%98 W · 180 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Eagles49c1,154$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.8419152.9%101 W · 90 L+0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Chargers51c1,022$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.575754.4%31 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Chargers49c1,019$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52339242.6%167 W · 225 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Chargers54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46011452.6%60 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6911…947cbacked Eagles50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008540%34 W · 51 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Eagles50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011255.4%62 W · 50 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Chargers53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4708650%43 W · 43 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b48…050cbacked Eagles50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ff…62ccbacked Eagles50c990.47$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb3…0a77backed Chargers51c980.9$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.94259.5%25 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Eagles50c959.84$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4795940.7%24 W · 35 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe965…6559backed Chargers49c916.23$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.486149.2%30 W · 31 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea89…0b5fbacked Chargers55c907.09$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.195046%23 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68db…e12bbacked Chargers50c900$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45013435.8%48 W · 86 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43d7…dca3backed Eagles49c816.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4006755.2%37 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Chargers50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4005362.3%33 W · 20 L+6.4wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+24.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Chargers50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40026648.9%130 W · 136 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Chargers50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4004348.8%21 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6252…bcf4backed Eagles43c704.77$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Chargers70c649.57$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.798454.8%46 W · 38 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Chargers49c634.61$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.6554451.7%281 W · 263 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Chargers51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.2416351.5%84 W · 79 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Chargers49c576.35$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.949359.1%55 W · 38 L+10.2wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+22.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0b2d…be6cbacked Eagles73c506.99$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Eagles48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24031540.6%128 W · 187 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Chargers50c470.76$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.3814154.6%77 W · 64 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Chargers50c444$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2226453.1%34 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x239a…76e5backed Chargers55c436.36$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.365457.4%31 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b80…657fbacked Eagles51c421.62$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.0315746.5%73 W · 84 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Eagles48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004951%25 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x844d…3059backed Eagles48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003562.9%22 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Chargers49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.1628047.5%133 W · 147 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Chargers49c408$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.0813959%82 W · 57 L+12.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Chargers52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19213641.2%56 W · 80 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Chargers51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19610537.1%39 W · 66 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Eagles46c399.89$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.9518745.5%85 W · 102 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe727…5e8dbacked Eagles50c380$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19017548%84 W · 91 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Chargers53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3615944%70 W · 89 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x864a…7cacbacked Eagles49c344.41$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.7612850%64 W · 64 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Eagles49c344.29$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.76553.8%35 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Eagles50c339.71$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.1830442.4%129 W · 175 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Chargers43c320$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.968446.1%315 W · 369 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc07d…5bd8backed Eagles45c309.64$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.927044.3%31 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb428…13bfbacked Chargers54c277.78$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.783050%15 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed Chargers51c270.15$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.734542.2%19 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bbb…b176backed Eagles49c259.73$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.271643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4bdf…9652backed Chargers47c252$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.5610356.3%58 W · 45 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7a…df1bbacked Eagles47c250$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.56030%18 W · 42 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid+8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.