TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Eagles vs. Chargers: O/U 42.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$181,474
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$183,086

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,474 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Over48c61,266$29,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,146.1686547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca36…1e9cbacked Under53c40,000$21,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,8002653.8%14 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick38cpaid+59.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c31,889$15,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,101.431,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Under52c21,842$11,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,484.3924652%128 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Under52c20,000$10,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,60016051.9%83 W · 77 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under51c19,513$9,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,561.3524957%142 W · 107 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed Under52c15,000$7,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,2005850%29 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under52c14,443$7,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,988.1924056.7%136 W · 104 L+19.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed Under53c12,755$6,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,994.9319553.8%105 W · 90 L+16.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+23.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,90051352.2%268 W · 245 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Over48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,80014450%72 W · 72 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,8004358.1%25 W · 18 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+33.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over48c6,753$3,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,211.4656852.3%297 W · 271 L+26.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over47c5,733$2,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,701.515252.6%80 W · 72 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa800…bd7abacked Over49c5,353$2,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,623.173844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over47c4,907$2,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,324.5873651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6165…db3cbacked Over48c4,823$2,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3151353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Under52c4,641$2,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,227.8815555.5%86 W · 69 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50be…371bbacked Over48c4,477$2,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,148.923557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over47c4,063$1,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,914.4777052.7%406 W · 364 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c81…e258backed Over49c3,857$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,889.851747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Over48c3,650$1,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,768.511446.5%53 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce49…af42backed Over49c3,540$1,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,734.37250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Under53c3,333$1,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,566.512369.6%16 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over48c3,003$1,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,441.4419152.9%101 W · 90 L+0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x188c…c62bbacked Over49c2,102$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0302564%16 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+19.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Over48c2,000$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95011452.6%60 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8d7…c17bbacked Under53c1,400$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65811759.8%70 W · 47 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under53c1,400$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66226648.9%130 W · 136 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over47c1,368$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.6634652.9%183 W · 163 L+16.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Over48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006246.8%29 W · 33 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over48c1,039$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.94728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Over47c999.99$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.9939242.6%167 W · 225 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Under53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.49657.3%55 W · 41 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Over48c620$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.614151.8%73 W · 68 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed Over48c600$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28818744.9%84 W · 103 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Under53c581.57$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.344348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbecd…9df4backed Under52c430.77$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.7714347.6%68 W · 75 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb457…b13abacked Over48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004951%25 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Over46c327.42$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.6137350.9%190 W · 183 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Under53c322.87$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.7514154.6%77 W · 64 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Under53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14124243.4%105 W · 137 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over5c291.97$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.62334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-18.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x860d…3c72backed Over47c272.35$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1288552.9%45 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Under53c214$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.5811047.3%52 W · 58 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022142.1%93 W · 128 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5318…2a91backed Under52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9610549.5%52 W · 53 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdf93…bdc8backed Under51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.087768.8%53 W · 24 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x23df…c7a8backed Under53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.68862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c12…042fbacked Under54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.196546.2%30 W · 35 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under53c132.08$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.0828047.5%133 W · 147 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7068…c63bbacked Under53c132$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.043100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+71.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over48c123$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0311058.2%64 W · 46 L+11.0wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+19.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x87d5…fe30backed Under54c120.8$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.572055%11 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+23.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x08e0…bfdfbacked Over50c116$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585054%27 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under53c110$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.759453.7%319 W · 275 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe75a…b949backed Under54c110$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3582…8fc6backed Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508130.9%25 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Under53c101.55$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7319651.5%101 W · 95 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4813844.9%62 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over50c91.7$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8515952.2%83 W · 76 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over48c81.35$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0521254.2%115 W · 97 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb30…6ffbbacked Over48c68$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+73.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0a5…4024backed Under54c64.81$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.811643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb627…f168backed Over48c64$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0488…aea5backed Under52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.694348.8%21 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f55…bae8backed Over47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2516048.1%77 W · 83 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44ac…a025backed Over49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over48c49.54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0220944.5%93 W · 116 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8a6…644bbacked Over47c47$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.093435.3%12 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd64…c090backed Under54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.33135.5%11 W · 20 L-5.3wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-29.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5a42…6aa2backed Under53c41.51$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.511361.5%8 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick70cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Over50c39.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9520354.7%111 W · 92 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xed57…e0a0backed Under54c39$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.077955.7%44 W · 35 L+8.3wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+30.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0d27…e0dfbacked Under53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.74757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7848…5f80backed Under53c33.96$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.963366.7%22 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c0f…09debacked Over49c33.89$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.557841%32 W · 46 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7e8…c457backed Under53c33.43$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.712653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked Under54c31.88$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6616551.5%85 W · 80 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2cf6…0edfbacked Under52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.851060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa15a…4e72backed Under53c28.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.296100%6 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Over47c27.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.068653.5%46 W · 40 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+18.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x11f0…eb14backed Under53c22.43$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.43933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-45.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc1c4…d869backed Under53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick60cpaid-62.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x33f3…d80abacked Under53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.43056.7%17 W · 13 L+5.0wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+39.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.