NFL · resolved market
Eagles vs. Chargers: O/U 43.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73cc1800bebb33ec6f45a115fd0b580b1ad71d204b603beefafcba2d0afb372e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,051
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,240
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,051 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed Under | 54c | 6,257$3,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,878.23 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 55c | 4,668$2,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100.63 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 57c | 4,055$2,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,743.69 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Over | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf4…8860backed Over | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 46c | 938.05$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.51 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 55c | 721.55$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.4 | 206 | 61.2%126 W · 80 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 44c | 621.89$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.63 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Under | 57c | 576.58$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.93 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Over | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 43c | 488.67$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.13 | 346 | 52.9%183 W · 163 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb457…b13abacked Over | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 56c | 340.89$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.5 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe832…7abbbacked Under | 56c | 233.93$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.93 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Under | 57c | 229.37$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.63 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dde…b23cbacked Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…606ebacked Over | 44c | 170$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Under | 50c | 155.57$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.79 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Under | 57c | 154$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.22 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Under | 57c | 143$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.49 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Under | 58c | 142.4$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.81 | 183 | 50.3%92 W · 91 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…9bcbbacked Over | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…5c00backed Over | 43c | 93.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.24 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…dbd8backed Over | 43c | 88$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe97…8e82backed Over | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 57c | 78$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.54 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Over | 46c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeabf…97e5backed Under | 58c | 68.38$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 57c | 66.74$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Over | 43c | 62.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…3cefbacked Over | 43c | 56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Under | 57c | 51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34b2…cec2backed Over | 43c | 47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.44per pick | 58cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2d…ffcebacked Over | 43c | 44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57f2…0e03backed Under | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2696…c031backed Under | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 182 | 45.6%83 W · 99 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 276 | 33.3%92 W · 184 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…9c83backed Under | 57c | 37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdb…ae41backed Over | 43c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…a117backed Under | 57c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5193…b348backed Under | 55c | 35.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed Under | 57c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…6270backed Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ee…f2d4backed Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -59%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4918…3db7backed Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Over | 44c | 29.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Under | 56c | 29.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 55c | 19.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…fde0backed Under | 58c | 19.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd0…4938backed Under | 57c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Eagles vs. Chargers: O/U 43.5this page
- 1H Spread: Eagles (-0.5)Chargers won
- 1H Spread: Eagles (-1.5)Chargers won
- Chargers Team Total: O/U 20.5Over won
- Eagles Team Total: O/U 21.5Under won
- Eagles vs. ChargersChargers won
- Eagles vs. Chargers: 1H MoneylineChargers won
- Eagles vs. Chargers: 1H O/U 20.5Under won
- Eagles vs. Chargers: 1H O/U 21.5Under won
- Eagles vs. Chargers: O/U 34.5Over won
- Eagles vs. Chargers: O/U 36.5Over won
- Eagles vs. Chargers: O/U 39.5Over won
- Eagles vs. Chargers: O/U 40.5Over won
- Eagles vs. Chargers: O/U 41.5Under won
- Eagles vs. Chargers: O/U 42.5Under won
- Eagles vs. Chargers: O/U 46.5Under won
- Eagles vs. Chargers: O/U 47.5Under won
- Jalen Hurts: 2+ TouchdownsNo won
- Spread: Chargers (-3.5)Eagles won
- Spread: Eagles (-1.5)Chargers won
- Spread: Eagles (-2.5)Chargers won
- Spread: Eagles (-3.5)Chargers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.