TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Eagles vs. Chargers: 1H O/U 20.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,858
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,859

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,858 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6857…7f23backed Under49c207$101 inWon+$105.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dde…1ad0backed Under49c205$100 inWon+$104.55250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a60…e1debacked Under49c200$98 inWon+$1022100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40d9…a4d1backed Under49c200$98 inWon+$102250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91ab…d51fbacked Over51c195$99 inLost-$99.45250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01cf…3928backed Under49c194$95 inWon+$98.942100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+110.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03c3…a6ecbacked Under49c192$94 inWon+$97.922100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3812…0fecbacked Over51c190$97 inLost-$96.920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3ec…be8abacked Under49c190$93 inWon+$96.92100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+110.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa931…4366backed Over51c190$97 inLost-$96.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc40c…09afbacked Over51c187$95 inLost-$95.3720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1196…08d1backed Under49c186$91 inWon+$94.862100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+110.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x281f…acfdbacked Under49c186$91 inWon+$94.862100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x129e…71fcbacked Over51c185$94 inLost-$94.35250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe18…85abbacked Under49c184$90 inWon+$93.84250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9073…d76cbacked Under49c184$90 inWon+$93.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d9e…496dbacked Over51c183$93 inLost-$93.3320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2800…50c3backed Over51c179$91 inLost-$91.2920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcea8…d492backed Over51c177$90 inLost-$90.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff3a…f8e9backed Over51c173$88 inLost-$88.2320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf169…de63backed Over51c170$87 inLost-$86.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2a5…c452backed Over51c169$86 inLost-$86.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf37c…3c74backed Over54c120.93$65 inLost-$653826.3%10 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-35.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x58c7…4f5ebacked Under52c103.38$53 inWon+$50850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+38.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e32…f244backed Under47c69$32 inWon+$36.571546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4970…21f6backed Under48c66$32 inWon+$34.321258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under46c59.72$27 inWon+$32.2539754.4%216 W · 181 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x755a…9748backed Over53c56.11$30 inLost-$306251.6%32 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa76e…1dbebacked Over54c45.83$25 inLost-$24.756050%30 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x363a…b79ebacked Under48c40$19 inWon+$20.81338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under47c30$14 inWon+$15.95851.7%30 W · 28 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+22.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc727…adc2backed Over53c30$16 inLost-$15.81154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98ae…2bfebacked Over52c20$10 inLost-$10.4520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-63%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x25c3…eb62backed Over52c20$10 inLost-$10.41070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+26.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.