NFL · resolved market
Eagles Team Total: O/U 21.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa764126651a16d4a227da366aa5ed11a2cfc8c385e8f9d4b6e658f92c14bc151
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,294
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,294
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,294 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3812…0fecbacked Over | 48c | 211$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…98e2backed Over | 48c | 211$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…0465backed Over | 48c | 209$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x047c…69b6backed Over | 48c | 205$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x249c…dd6bbacked Under | 52c | 204$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59a6…edc4backed Over | 48c | 203$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce67…8558backed Under | 52c | 201$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf464…a89bbacked Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ce…5cfdbacked Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x215c…30b8backed Under | 52c | 198$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0967…8b13backed Over | 48c | 196$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…ea6bbacked Under | 53c | 195$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +103%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Under | 52c | 193$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.64 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c12…10f6backed Under | 52c | 191$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6c…2c7fbacked Under | 52c | 191$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e28…9da1backed Over | 50c | 186$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff3a…f8e9backed Over | 48c | 184$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f2…ea15backed Over | 48c | 182$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbd…db64backed Under | 50c | 178$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb44…0df6backed Over | 48c | 175$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c8…4307backed Over | 48c | 175$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Under | 52c | 174$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.52 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c58…0f7ebacked Under | 52c | 173$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…0158backed Under | 52c | 168$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc490…29d6backed Under | 52c | 168$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9c…f8dcbacked Under | 52c | 165$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Under | 52c | 111$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.28 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0297backed Over | 48c | 92$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5b7dbacked Over | 48c | 87$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Under | 52c | 83$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…5cb3backed Under | 52c | 69$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.1wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…4756backed Over | 48c | 63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…ca38backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed Over | 48c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Under | 52c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Under | 52c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked Under | 52c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06f4…758dbacked Under | 53c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe9…a400backed Over | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…e9f2backed Over | 48c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -59%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Under | 52c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddf6…9bd5backed Over | 48c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ae…89d9backed Over | 48c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…0c60backed Over | 47c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Eagles Team Total: O/U 21.5this page
- 1H Spread: Eagles (-0.5)Chargers won
- 1H Spread: Eagles (-1.5)Chargers won
- Chargers Team Total: O/U 20.5Over won
- Eagles vs. ChargersChargers won
- Eagles vs. Chargers: 1H MoneylineChargers won
- Eagles vs. Chargers: 1H O/U 20.5Under won
- Eagles vs. Chargers: 1H O/U 21.5Under won
- Eagles vs. Chargers: O/U 34.5Over won
- Eagles vs. Chargers: O/U 36.5Over won
- Eagles vs. Chargers: O/U 39.5Over won
- Eagles vs. Chargers: O/U 40.5Over won
- Eagles vs. Chargers: O/U 41.5Under won
- Eagles vs. Chargers: O/U 42.5Under won
- Eagles vs. Chargers: O/U 43.5Under won
- Eagles vs. Chargers: O/U 46.5Under won
- Eagles vs. Chargers: O/U 47.5Under won
- Jalen Hurts: 2+ TouchdownsNo won
- Spread: Chargers (-3.5)Eagles won
- Spread: Eagles (-1.5)Chargers won
- Spread: Eagles (-2.5)Chargers won
- Spread: Eagles (-3.5)Chargers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.