NFL · resolved market
Eagles vs. Chargers: 1H O/U 21.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2fae5e6149d8488096cee2d3d9db6bdfd13a2192a5cfaec51936be001f59e6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,519
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,606
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,519 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 45c | 451.83$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.33 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Under | 55c | 364.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.1 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb44…0df6backed Over | 45c | 203$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a4…485abacked Over | 45c | 201$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49e8…b1b0backed Over | 45c | 196$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…0465backed Over | 45c | 194$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dde…1ad0backed Over | 45c | 194$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9c…f8dcbacked Under | 55c | 193$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5a…15d9backed Over | 45c | 192$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x910c…3de8backed Under | 55c | 190$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ab…d51fbacked Under | 55c | 189$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x129e…71fcbacked Under | 55c | 188$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x319f…63f4backed Under | 55c | 188$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f69…5092backed Under | 55c | 184$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c9…50dcbacked Over | 45c | 181$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe60…4374backed Over | 45c | 175$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…f708backed Under | 55c | 172$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc9…80b1backed Over | 45c | 170$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d5…f618backed Over | 45c | 170$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…b5f8backed Over | 45c | 170$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x034d…10d2backed Under | 55c | 162$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf63…cf95backed Under | 55c | 160$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc4…33cbbacked Under | 55c | 159$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x277e…1cfabacked Under | 55c | 157$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Under | 54c | 144$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.24 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Under | 54c | 99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Under | 55c | 91.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed Over | 48c | 86$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Under | 52c | 86$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Under | 55c | 75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Under | 54c | 63$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Over | 46c | 61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…2c48backed Over | 46c | 58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…2894backed Over | 46c | 52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Under | 52c | 42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb780…e7a2backed Over | 46c | 41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Under | 54c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9af9…89bcbacked Over | 45c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…d0c8backed Under | 56c | 30.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2696…c031backed Under | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52cc…9998backed Over | 46c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Under | 54c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed Under | 54c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce01…5c2abacked Over | 46c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Over | 46c | 22.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 54c | 22.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 151 | 45.7%69 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…7d27backed Over | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…bf01backed Under | 55c | 19.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…1bcfbacked Under | 55c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Eagles vs. Chargers: 1H O/U 21.5this page
- 1H Spread: Eagles (-0.5)Chargers won
- 1H Spread: Eagles (-1.5)Chargers won
- Chargers Team Total: O/U 20.5Over won
- Eagles Team Total: O/U 21.5Under won
- Eagles vs. ChargersChargers won
- Eagles vs. Chargers: 1H MoneylineChargers won
- Eagles vs. Chargers: 1H O/U 20.5Under won
- Eagles vs. Chargers: O/U 34.5Over won
- Eagles vs. Chargers: O/U 36.5Over won
- Eagles vs. Chargers: O/U 39.5Over won
- Eagles vs. Chargers: O/U 40.5Over won
- Eagles vs. Chargers: O/U 41.5Under won
- Eagles vs. Chargers: O/U 42.5Under won
- Eagles vs. Chargers: O/U 43.5Under won
- Eagles vs. Chargers: O/U 46.5Under won
- Eagles vs. Chargers: O/U 47.5Under won
- Jalen Hurts: 2+ TouchdownsNo won
- Spread: Chargers (-3.5)Eagles won
- Spread: Eagles (-1.5)Chargers won
- Spread: Eagles (-2.5)Chargers won
- Spread: Eagles (-3.5)Chargers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.