TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x602d…bf01

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
90
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Earnings at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST3852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriots: 1H O/U 22.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+81.8%+$8.19
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+59.7%+$8.96
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10.09
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$19.03
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+53.8%+$7
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+88.7%+$8.94
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Spread: Seahawks (-1.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+112.8%+$11.29
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$23.76
Eagles vs. Chargers: 1H O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+81.8%+$8.71
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$12.64
Giants vs. Patriots: 1H O/U 23.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+97.7%+$16.13
Spread: Broncos (-6.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$10.01
Spread: Falcons (-2.5)backed Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+122.2%+$16.96
Spread: Ravens (-7.5)backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+92.3%+$13.85
Bengals vs. Ravens: 1H O/U 26.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$18.7
Buccaneers vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+31.6%+$28.8
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+58.7%+$23.49
Eagles vs. Packers: 1H O/U 23.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+75.4%+$11.32
Giants vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+56.3%+$10.96
Bills vs. Dolphinsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Browns vs. Jetsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Broncos (-8.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT3450%17 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Viggo Björck be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 NHL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.15
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.9
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.73
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.95
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.88
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$28.17
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$14.36
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.85
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.13
Flyers vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.18
Wild vs. Starsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.46
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.83
Spread: Kings (-1.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$19.3
Kings vs. Golden Knightsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$21.17
Kings vs. Capitalsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$13.58
Sharks vs. Krakenbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+150%+$15
Blackhawks vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Canadiens vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$12.4
Kings vs. Blackhawksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$7.21
Kings vs. Predatorsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Hurricanes vs. Starsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Utah vs. Wildbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Golden Knights vs. Panthersbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Kings vs. Starsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$19.09
Ducks vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.89
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+32.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+54.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.8
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$6.68
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10.01
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+37%+$29.59
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oklahoma vs. Texasbacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.