TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Panthersof Buccaneers, Panthers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$715,424
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$717,326

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $715,424 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Panthers45c283,932$128,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155,051.8586547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Buccaneers54c248,184$134,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134,019.1630043.7%131 W · 169 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb889…a430backed Panthers46c180,000$82,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97,2003850%19 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d3b…c46bbacked Buccaneers56c174,571$97,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97,659.911145.9%51 W · 60 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Panthers44c75,000$33,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,0009359.1%55 W · 38 L+10.2wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+22.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Panthers46c63,400$29,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,135.9527454.7%150 W · 124 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x61c0…4aaebacked Buccaneers55c55,166$30,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,341.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Buccaneers54c47,196$25,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,485.8447348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Buccaneers54c37,831$20,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,344.3816860.7%102 W · 66 L+18.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Panthers44c30,000$13,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,799.9924652%128 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Buccaneers54c22,000$11,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,88031240.7%127 W · 185 L-22.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Buccaneers54c19,752$10,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,666.1854451.7%281 W · 263 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Buccaneers54c16,500$8,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,895.4835848.6%174 W · 184 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Buccaneers54c13,536$7,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,245.3319152.9%101 W · 90 L+0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Panthers45c10,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,50083147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4124…8af2backed Panthers47c8,510$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,510.33943.6%17 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf800…f62dbacked Buccaneers54c6,481$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5005358.5%31 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x554f…afb4backed Buccaneers54c6,120$3,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,304.5360%0 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9315…a744backed Buccaneers53c6,000$3,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1801560%9 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18a4…1a5dbacked Panthers47c6,000$2,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1801457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef45…1905backed Buccaneers55c5,455$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.34per pick56cpaid-64.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf410…ca73backed Buccaneers53c4,999$2,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,649.485536.4%20 W · 35 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Buccaneers3c4,267$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.0111122.5%25 W · 86 L+13.9wins+0.13per pick10cpaid+428.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Panthers46c3,408$1,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,852.9665048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Panthers46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,62015252.6%80 W · 72 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Panthers46c2,862$1,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,545.5539447.7%188 W · 206 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Panthers45c2,500$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,37519240.1%77 W · 115 L-16.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Panthers79c2,197$1,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.4150242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Buccaneers54c1,570$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.72343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Panthers45c1,500$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8257530.7%23 W · 52 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8021…0da8backed Panthers47c1,458$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.794551.1%23 W · 22 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda4d…58ebbacked Buccaneers54c1,389$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe584…e6e2backed Buccaneers54c1,388$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.614934.7%17 W · 32 L-8.3wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-32.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb973…ff16backed Buccaneers56c1,322$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.243240.6%13 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Panthers44c1,200$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6721952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Panthers45c1,102$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.126649.6%132 W · 134 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Buccaneers2c1,071$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.125679.9%56 W · 511 L-1.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-39.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12c8…4d64backed Buccaneers54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea89…0b5fbacked Buccaneers55c909.09$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005046%23 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…dca3backed Panthers46c860.31$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.316755.2%37 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Buccaneers54c800$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4322152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ae5…b896backed Buccaneers54c800$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4322552%13 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Panthers47c764.21$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.0321254.2%115 W · 97 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c3a…9ec0backed Buccaneers54c688.07$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.561450%7 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Panthers47c639$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.6712151.2%62 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x258e…d16cbacked Buccaneers56c625$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3508747.1%41 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Panthers47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3188650%43 W · 43 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Panthers45c536.2$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.9131543.2%136 W · 179 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4da6…59fabacked Panthers47c510.64$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.643650%18 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Panthers47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26527835.3%98 W · 180 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3832…35e1backed Buccaneers53c471.7$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25016451.2%84 W · 80 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Buccaneers54c462.96$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502544%11 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee68…7352backed Buccaneers54c453.7$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3839…5f3ebacked Buccaneers20c425$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Buccaneers54c410.9$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2204951%25 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Buccaneers54c403.47$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.874452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Panthers47c400$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21214151.8%73 W · 68 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef54…c997backed Buccaneers53c400$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21210548.6%51 W · 54 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Panthers45c400$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22010547.6%50 W · 55 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Panthers44c397.34$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.5114060.7%85 W · 55 L+14.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x53b0…4daabacked Buccaneers55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005349.1%26 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc44…3b40backed Panthers63c317.98$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.231877.8%14 W · 4 L+5.1wins+0.29per pick49cpaid+51.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Buccaneers10c271.21$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.12549.3%5 W · 49 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Panthers47c270.25$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.2520354.7%111 W · 92 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Buccaneers56c250$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Buccaneers54c247.71$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.763850%19 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe5bc…a233backed Panthers46c232.17$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.521850%9 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe44b…6e0abacked Buccaneers54c231$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.7416940.8%69 W · 100 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8cfa…faa4backed Buccaneers12c229.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3888…0755backed Panthers46c215.54$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.549855.1%54 W · 44 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd28a…fc48backed Panthers47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.772832.1%9 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-28.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b80…657fbacked Buccaneers52c207.97$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.1515746.5%73 W · 84 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Buccaneers54c203.7$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1109950.5%50 W · 49 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83c8…26f0backed Buccaneers9c200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183013.3%4 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+39.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ae…004ebacked Buccaneers13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2614818.2%27 W · 121 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked Buccaneers9c199.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184914.3%7 W · 42 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-33.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Buccaneers54c192.56$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.9811740.2%47 W · 70 L-10.0wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4d48…66abbacked Buccaneers54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006051.7%31 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bae…7e8cbacked Buccaneers54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe727…5e8dbacked Buccaneers54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017548%84 W · 91 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Buccaneers55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015352.3%80 W · 73 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Buccaneers54c179.63$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9717547.4%83 W · 92 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ff9…ce7abacked Buccaneers56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011650.9%59 W · 57 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8307…ad90backed Buccaneers9c176.79$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.911811.1%2 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick6cpaid+25.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x31ad…8b71backed Panthers47c170$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.11172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+40.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Buccaneers54c165.85$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.5612245.9%56 W · 66 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x45c3…42f9backed Panthers47c159.57$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.576952.2%36 W · 33 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x114c…53f4backed Panthers46c150$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+26.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe02f…669fbacked Buccaneers10c149.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154920.4%10 W · 39 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-11.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Panthers46c149.95$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.973253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7413…811ebacked Buccaneers71c141.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-41.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Panthers44c135$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.66558.5%38 W · 27 L+6.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9e0…719cbacked Panthers46c129.98$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.19812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick40cpaid-72.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Panthers45c120$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666752.2%35 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Panthers45c120$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666147.5%29 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3ac…1afdbacked Panthers26c113.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.862060%12 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick64cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Buccaneers47c111.7$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9335648%171 W · 185 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd420…df90backed Panthers46c108$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.329654.2%52 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Buccaneers54c101.85$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554254.8%23 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Buccaneers54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548048.8%39 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.