TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Spread: Buccaneers (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Panthersof Buccaneers, Panthers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$796,174
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,023,090

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $796,174 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0d3b…c46bbacked Buccaneers44c346,603$152,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152,828.6711145.9%51 W · 60 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Panthers56c223,214$125,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98,214.298747.1%41 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Panthers56c100,000$56,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,0002657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+35.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Buccaneers43c33,207$14,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,35073651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Panthers55c31,650$17,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,226.186547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Panthers57c30,000$17,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,899.995154.9%28 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+39.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Panthers55c30,000$16,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,499.9924652%128 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Buccaneers44c29,661$13,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,050.946451.6%33 W · 31 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Panthers55c25,630$14,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,504.254440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Buccaneers44c20,566$9,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,116.3847348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf410…ca73backed Buccaneers44c18,000$7,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,949.995536.4%20 W · 35 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Buccaneers43c15,000$6,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,449.9935848.6%174 W · 184 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Panthers57c11,563$6,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,999.7953348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Buccaneers44c10,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,40083147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65cd…1e0bbacked Buccaneers43c10,000$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,299.961752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Panthers56c7,777$4,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,421.8824056.7%136 W · 104 L+19.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Panthers56c7,777$4,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,421.7417648.9%86 W · 90 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x227e…e118backed Panthers58c7,173$4,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,012.761040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83ab…3d56backed Panthers56c6,000$3,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6402152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c09…c9b4backed Panthers57c5,263$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,263.1618140.9%74 W · 107 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+42.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Panthers56c4,793$2,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,123.271,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Buccaneers43c4,000$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,72019651.5%101 W · 95 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa369…d156backed Buccaneers44c3,362$1,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,479.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked Buccaneers43c3,270$1,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,406.11450%7 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked Buccaneers43c3,255$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.652740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Buccaneers43c2,500$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0754261.9%26 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Buccaneers46c2,130$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.8739242.6%167 W · 225 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Panthers54c2,008$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.4834349.3%169 W · 174 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82f7…7496backed Buccaneers46c2,008$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-53.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Panthers56c1,820$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.820661.2%126 W · 80 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Buccaneers45c1,333$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6007361.6%45 W · 28 L+7.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+27.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x45d5…47efbacked Buccaneers43c1,320$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.62626.9%7 W · 19 L-5.4wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-48%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Panthers55c1,200$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5401952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b8c…abbabacked Panthers56c1,153$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.257153.5%38 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68bf…3e67backed Panthers50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5002250%11 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Buccaneers44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44014945.6%68 W · 81 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Panthers56c864$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.166558.5%38 W · 27 L+6.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Panthers55c746$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.726649.6%132 W · 134 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58a0…2b5bbacked Panthers57c701.75$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.757034.3%24 W · 46 L-7.6wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Panthers57c600$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25814151.8%73 W · 68 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62d1…c018backed Panthers58c594.4$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.655066%33 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Panthers67c567.57$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.0331543.2%136 W · 179 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Buccaneers45c555.56$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504734%16 W · 31 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-29.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Panthers57c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.3219651.5%101 W · 95 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ac0…89e4backed Panthers57c504.77$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.051275%9 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+31.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Panthers35c500$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32555345%249 W · 304 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fa1…df77backed Buccaneers44c490.55$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.842429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-38.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc5b…ba65backed Panthers57c450$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.53528.6%10 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04eb…36a7backed Panthers56c446.43$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.4319361.7%119 W · 74 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a45…41f6backed Panthers57c438.81$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.694746.8%22 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebc9…6786backed Panthers57c438.6$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.61573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+29%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cb2…f12fbacked Buccaneers48c416.77$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Panthers48c412.87$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.3850242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Buccaneers42c400$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16818745.5%85 W · 102 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Buccaneers64c388.04$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.4720757.5%119 W · 88 L+17.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe14f…3ab9backed Panthers57c386.82$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.331764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+32.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Panthers55c380.7$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.77052.9%37 W · 33 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03de…4bfdbacked Panthers57c308.96$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.855339.6%21 W · 32 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Panthers55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13520650.5%104 W · 102 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ff2…49febacked Buccaneers44c284.09$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1255143.1%22 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Buccaneers49c270.42$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.912748%61 W · 66 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Panthers56c263.07$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.5465048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Buccaneers43c252.52$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.5939447.7%188 W · 206 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Buccaneers45c242.6$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.1236341.9%152 W · 211 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe36b…095dbacked Panthers58c238.1$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002040%8 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+65%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53b0…4daabacked Buccaneers44c227.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.015349.1%26 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Panthers46c215.08$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.8732347.4%153 W · 170 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Buccaneers73c212.79$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.577748.1%37 W · 40 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0cbb…f8a3backed Panthers50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003743.2%16 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Buccaneers42c190.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.0734652.9%183 W · 163 L+16.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Buccaneers46c184.84$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.3635648%171 W · 185 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeac2…176dbacked Buccaneers44c179$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd54…3ffebacked Panthers57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.441526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc215…9a89backed Buccaneers23c174.44$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.530%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0316…e283backed Panthers57c150$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.51866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+77.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Buccaneers45c148.07$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.633727%10 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c1b…2527backed Panthers9c146.78$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.573360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+23.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Panthers48c120.24$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.0814844.6%66 W · 82 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x575b…14f0backed Panthers56c107.14$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.144946.9%23 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Buccaneers43c105.58$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.44143.9%18 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99af…fedcbacked Panthers57c105.26$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.263557.1%20 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab72…eae9backed Panthers43c105.19$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.191421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick44cpaid-47.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbc44…3b40backed Panthers52c105.04$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.881877.8%14 W · 4 L+5.1wins+0.29per pick49cpaid+51.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Buccaneers44c102.27$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4528047.5%133 W · 147 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbad3…ab75backed Panthers57c100.44$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.19650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7373…22eabacked Buccaneers43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433040%12 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe341…7dbebacked Panthers57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-64.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2000…df78backed Panthers55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4520851%106 W · 102 L+12.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0078…bca0backed Panthers56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4422745.4%103 W · 124 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9386…cfe5backed Panthers57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436149.2%30 W · 31 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Panthers28c92.69$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.7960049.3%296 W · 304 L+21.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc13…d9f6backed Buccaneers44c90.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406651.5%34 W · 32 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd44…f151backed Panthers55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.912638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x875e…157bbacked Panthers42c89.26$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.64560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+48.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c0f…09debacked Buccaneers45c87.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.557841%32 W · 46 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6de0…af02backed Panthers56c86.43$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.031450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22f6…6a9bbacked Panthers58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.212969%20 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+23.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x036a…4c9abacked Panthers58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.215648.2%27 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf10b…2041backed Panthers56c71.83$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8311054.5%60 W · 50 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Panthers57c70.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.186570.8%46 W · 19 L+11.6wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+35.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.