NFL · resolved market
1H Spread: Buccaneers (-0.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x686acaa41db2c3dee087d509507bc85397880046b7d9a7f97fe76a421cb321cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Buccaneersof Buccaneers, Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,746
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,344
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,746 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Buccaneers | 57c | 35,528$20,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,219.62 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Panthers | 45c | 16,724$7,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,450.04 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Panthers | 42c | 10,832$4,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,541.89 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Panthers | 43c | 5,403$2,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,335.51 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Panthers | 43c | 3,338$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdff3…70e4backed Panthers | 44c | 2,200$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Panthers | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Panthers | 45c | 1,741$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.65 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Buccaneers | 55c | 1,606$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.7 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Panthers | 41c | 1,500$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -11.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Panthers | 46c | 1,027$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.26 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Panthers | 43c | 974$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.82 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Panthers | 42c | 855.26$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.08 | 368 | 26.9%99 W · 269 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62d1…c018backed Panthers | 50c | 671.78$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.89 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bc…a233backed Buccaneers | 58c | 478.35$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.58 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Panthers | 45c | 446.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed Buccaneers | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee68…7352backed Buccaneers | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Panthers | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Panthers | 41c | 280$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Panthers | 42c | 276.4$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.85 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Panthers | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Panthers | 44c | 221.81$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.69 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Buccaneers | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fc…bcdfbacked Panthers | 44c | 186.89$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…9bcbbacked Panthers | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed Buccaneers | 60c | 133.46$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.62 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c3…f427backed Buccaneers | 58c | 110.1$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.83 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Panthers | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…22eabacked Buccaneers | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Panthers | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5681…b253backed Panthers | 50c | 76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…3869backed Panthers | 50c | 66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 61cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa548…1fd5backed Panthers | 50c | 66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd354…71e3backed Panthers | 50c | 57.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234e…5399backed Buccaneers | 62c | 55.53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab72…eae9backed Panthers | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50a4…57c0backed Buccaneers | 57c | 52.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe4…ff5cbacked Buccaneers | 55c | 50.81$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Panthers | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3f…7fecbacked Panthers | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Buccaneers | 55c | 44.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Panthers | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Panthers | 41c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Buccaneers | 56c | 34.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 203 | 54.7%111 W · 92 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Panthers | 41c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Buccaneers | 56c | 27.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7764…17d6backed Buccaneers | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.31per pick | 55cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1540…04e9backed Buccaneers | 60c | 17.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 1H Spread: Buccaneers (-0.5)this page
- Panthers vs. BuccaneersBuccaneers won
- Panthers vs. Buccaneers: 1H MoneylineBuccaneers won
- Panthers vs. Buccaneers: 1H O/U 21.5Under won
- Panthers vs. Buccaneers: 1H O/U 22.5Under won
- Panthers vs. Buccaneers: O/U 33.5Under won
- Panthers vs. Buccaneers: O/U 34.5Under won
- Panthers vs. Buccaneers: O/U 39.5Under won
- Panthers vs. Buccaneers: O/U 40.5Under won
- Panthers vs. Buccaneers: O/U 41.5Under won
- Panthers vs. Buccaneers: O/U 42.5Under won
- Panthers vs. Buccaneers: O/U 43.5Under won
- Panthers vs. Buccaneers: O/U 44.5Under won
- Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)Panthers won
- Spread: Buccaneers (-3.5)Panthers won
- Spread: Buccaneers (-4.5)Panthers won
- Spread: Buccaneers (-5.5)Panthers won
- Spread: Buccaneers (-6.5)Panthers won
- Spread: Buccaneers (-7.5)Panthers won
- Spread: Buccaneers (-9.5)Panthers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.