NFL · resolved market
Panthers vs. Buccaneers: O/U 43.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f8e55dcb34c65b54196d7df2dcfbf2bd7eb4ade9c32b964a4e48328a34c37ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $267,226
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $284,863
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $267,226 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 46c | 70,549$32,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,633.68 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Under | 53c | 54,740$29,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,469.11 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Under | 53c | 37,736$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,735.85 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Under | 52c | 31,617$16,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,175.93 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb889…a430backed Over | 47c | 30,000$14,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,100 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 47c | 24,475$11,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,457.39 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 54c | 23,801$12,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,906.36 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 13,673$6,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,545.21 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 51c | 12,922$6,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,278.08 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +14.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.99 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Under | 53c | 9,434$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,434.34 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +7.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Under | 55c | 8,182$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,682.18 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 49c | 7,188$3,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,489.26 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Over | 48c | 6,528$3,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,133.44 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Under | 50c | 6,000$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000.36 | 168 | 60.7%102 W · 66 L | +18.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Over | 62c | 5,528$3,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,427.12 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 50c | 5,309$2,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,660.44 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 4,188$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980.48 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Under | 53c | 4,032$2,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,910.71 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Over | 46c | 3,242$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.42 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Over | 48c | 3,008$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…d469backed Under | 51c | 3,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 44c | 2,384$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.33 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Over | 49c | 2,233$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.17 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 49c | 2,020$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Under | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 48c | 1,814$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.72 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 46c | 1,800$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.75 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…58ebbacked Over | 46c | 1,630$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Over | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Over | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 48c | 1,482$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.29 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 49c | 1,226$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Over | 45c | 1,017$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.69 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafdc…c2a2backed Over | 48c | 947.92$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…1eacbacked Under | 63c | 812.11$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.29 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | +12.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7011…c6dabacked Under | 54c | 777$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.42 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Under | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 48c | 730.92$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.84 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Under | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Over | 48c | 552.5$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.2 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…298cbacked Over | 11c | 526.12$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Over | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Over | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Under | 53c | 499.96$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.98 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Over | 48c | 499.94$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.97 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -8.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 280 | 47.5%133 W · 147 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Over | 48c | 404.98$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.39 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +9.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…947cbacked Over | 62c | 403.46$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 205 | 55.6%114 W · 91 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | +16.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 49c | 397$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.53 | 314 | 50%157 W · 157 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 48c | 377.39$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.15 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +14.3wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff9…ce7abacked Under | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Over | 51c | 350$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.3 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 50c | 326.43$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.22 | 346 | 52.9%183 W · 163 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Over | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked Under | 53c | 305.55$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.61 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Over | 47c | 299.99$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | +15.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe4…ff36backed Over | 51c | 294.22$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Over | 52c | 260$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Under | 55c | 250$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 48c | 240$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 48c | 240$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 52c | 225.06$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.03 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x183a…d514backed Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb781…9ba9backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +12.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…a250backed Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd68…8b82backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff8…aa3abacked Under | 52c | 194.56$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.39 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 48c | 180$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 48c | 180$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 48c | 180$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 112 | 65.2%73 W · 39 L | +16.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 47c | 180$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.6 | 163 | 60.1%98 W · 65 L | +16.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…6dddbacked Under | 55c | 175$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Over | 49c | 161$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.89 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x114c…53f4backed Under | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 48c | 140$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 48c | 130$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 47c | 127.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.32 | 320 | 43.8%140 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panthers vs. Buccaneers: O/U 43.5this page
- 1H Spread: Buccaneers (-0.5)Buccaneers won
- Panthers vs. BuccaneersBuccaneers won
- Panthers vs. Buccaneers: 1H MoneylineBuccaneers won
- Panthers vs. Buccaneers: 1H O/U 21.5Under won
- Panthers vs. Buccaneers: 1H O/U 22.5Under won
- Panthers vs. Buccaneers: O/U 33.5Under won
- Panthers vs. Buccaneers: O/U 34.5Under won
- Panthers vs. Buccaneers: O/U 39.5Under won
- Panthers vs. Buccaneers: O/U 40.5Under won
- Panthers vs. Buccaneers: O/U 41.5Under won
- Panthers vs. Buccaneers: O/U 42.5Under won
- Panthers vs. Buccaneers: O/U 44.5Under won
- Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)Panthers won
- Spread: Buccaneers (-3.5)Panthers won
- Spread: Buccaneers (-4.5)Panthers won
- Spread: Buccaneers (-5.5)Panthers won
- Spread: Buccaneers (-6.5)Panthers won
- Spread: Buccaneers (-7.5)Panthers won
- Spread: Buccaneers (-9.5)Panthers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.