TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Panthers vs. Buccaneers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Buccaneersof Panthers, Buccaneers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,166,736
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,159,211

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,166,736 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 964 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0d3b…c46bbacked Buccaneers61c1,016,158$615,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401,095.3111145.9%51 W · 60 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Panthers36c768,868$280,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280,548.5186547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Buccaneers60c452,881$271,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181,152.3330043.7%131 W · 169 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6211…b89ebacked Buccaneers60c296,479$177,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118,591.631656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Panthers40c200,001$80,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80,082.5227454.7%150 W · 124 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Panthers40c195,523$77,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77,364.519359.1%55 W · 38 L+10.2wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+22.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Panthers41c150,000$61,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61,499.854955.1%27 W · 22 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe74a…40eebacked Panthers39c128,485$50,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,109.33850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Panthers40c125,000$50,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,0002657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+35.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1f4…544cbacked Panthers40c125,000$50,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,249.991752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+25.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Buccaneers59c121,427$71,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,785.0719152.9%101 W · 90 L+0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Panthers40c100,000$39,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,50024652%128 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Panthers40c83,182$33,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,272.6911544.3%51 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Buccaneers58c74,999$43,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,499.6616836.9%62 W · 106 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7690…74e1backed Panthers41c70,244$28,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,8002343.5%10 W · 13 L-5.3wins-0.23per pick66cpaid-38.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Buccaneers59c51,000$30,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,9106459.4%38 W · 26 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+38.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x18d1…dbcbbacked Panthers31c48,803$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-46.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5350…2fdabacked Panthers40c47,098$18,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,839.24250%21 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Buccaneers60c46,956$28,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,782.754451.7%281 W · 263 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Buccaneers64c45,594$29,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,284.287655.3%42 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b9c…57b3backed Panthers43c45,174$19,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,350.32580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+49.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5da4…e203backed Panthers35c35,000$12,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,2503548.6%17 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Panthers26c33,000$8,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,6005154.9%28 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+39.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Panthers34c30,750$10,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,489.5720755.1%114 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Panthers40c30,000$12,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,00016051.9%83 W · 77 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3f…af49backed Buccaneers59c30,000$17,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,3001100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf61a…afb5backed Panthers42c30,000$12,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,60010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Panthers7c27,793$2,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,038.3547348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Panthers39c25,700$10,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,117.9712944.2%57 W · 72 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65cd…1e0bbacked Buccaneers76c25,471$19,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,183.041752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Panthers40c24,442$9,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,787.9124056.7%136 W · 104 L+19.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd4a3…0848backed Panthers41c24,171$9,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,9104252.4%22 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x53f7…003fbacked Panthers13c23,709$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,200.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d19…733abacked Panthers33c20,882$6,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,835.321957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Panthers40c20,000$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,00030743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb889…a430backed Panthers41c20,000$8,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,2003850%19 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Buccaneers69c19,159$13,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,906.5273651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Panthers40c18,938$7,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,5756965.2%45 W · 24 L+9.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+30.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Buccaneers59c18,000$10,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,38026547.2%125 W · 140 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Panthers36c17,572$6,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,324.6856852.3%297 W · 271 L+26.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0b1…faebbacked Panthers33c17,225$5,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,718.697737.7%29 W · 48 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Panthers20c14,159$2,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,855.0631543.2%136 W · 179 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf70c…72c1backed Panthers17c13,438$2,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,284.44415.9%7 W · 37 L-5.9wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-46.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Panthers17c13,242$2,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,274.9311643.1%50 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Panthers28c12,500$3,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,494.9914438.9%56 W · 88 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked Buccaneers56c12,388$6,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,439.734360.5%26 W · 17 L+6.1wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+42.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Panthers41c12,195$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0006738.8%26 W · 41 L-7.8wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Buccaneers60c12,000$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,8004452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92b1…6695backed Panthers42c11,996$5,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,038.241136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Panthers4c11,382$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.3383147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb924…0886backed Panthers16c11,347$1,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,860.9115132.5%49 W · 102 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Panthers39c11,111$4,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,333.294440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e56…dee1backed Buccaneers60c10,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0005356.6%30 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf70…5e92backed Buccaneers58c10,000$5,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2001353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+45.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Buccaneers57c10,000$5,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,299.985453.7%29 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c2f…3794backed Panthers18c9,931$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8008128.4%23 W · 58 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-11.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Buccaneers59c9,520$5,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,857.536100%6 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+72.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Buccaneers60c9,038$5,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,615.3318650%93 W · 93 L+9.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb98e…8823backed Panthers1c8,609$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.061457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Panthers43c8,324$3,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,579.329447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x166a…e675backed Panthers39c8,212$3,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,238.081050%5 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+32.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Buccaneers73c8,052$5,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,191.7627348.7%133 W · 140 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked Buccaneers70c8,000$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,40012843.8%56 W · 72 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Panthers37c8,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.9623937.7%90 W · 149 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Buccaneers60c8,000$4,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,239.9631854.7%174 W · 144 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Panthers32c7,786$2,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,485.0525744.4%114 W · 143 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba81…dc35backed Panthers22c7,557$1,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,662.521353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa996…8aacbacked Buccaneers59c7,055$4,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,861.981428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-47.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdddc…ced2backed Panthers40c6,873$2,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,749.293138.7%12 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49d1…2a44backed Panthers41c6,500$2,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6801747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Panthers1c6,441$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.644311.6%7 W · 424 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-82.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x335d…8f03backed Panthers42c6,283$2,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,638.86714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.31per pick45cpaid-75.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Buccaneers64c6,250$4,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,226.922349.8%111 W · 112 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5df…382dbacked Panthers29c6,203$1,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,796.86728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked Buccaneers59c6,102$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,501.693256.3%18 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf395…8e3cbacked Panthers27c5,826$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,550.323141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Panthers40c5,801$2,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,320.439447.7%188 W · 206 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Panthers22c5,762$1,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,292.0123850.8%121 W · 117 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a1b…530abacked Buccaneers72c5,670$4,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,567.51145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-27%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Panthers40c5,623$2,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,243.841,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Buccaneers58c5,600$3,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,351.9651352.2%268 W · 245 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf9e…a250backed Panthers38c5,500$2,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0861060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+47.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked Panthers39c5,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9506544.6%29 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Panthers42c5,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10014641.8%61 W · 85 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Panthers41c5,000$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,05026650.8%135 W · 131 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf410…ca73backed Panthers41c5,000$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0505536.4%20 W · 35 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Panthers40c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00011750.4%59 W · 58 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x62e5…a929backed Panthers29c5,000$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4501136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b8c…9390backed Panthers41c5,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,039.997558.7%44 W · 31 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Panthers40c4,956$1,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,982.46944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28b9…9719backed Panthers26c4,765$1,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,223.631618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Panthers33c4,344$1,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,452.865650%28 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Buccaneers74c4,316$3,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,102.2150242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Buccaneers58c4,310$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,810.3414035%49 W · 91 L-12.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Panthers10c4,252$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.3820026%52 W · 148 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83ab…3d56backed Panthers25c4,218$1,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,075.582152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Panthers2c4,186$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.571486.8%10 W · 138 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick2cpaid+296.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Buccaneers71c4,180$2,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.120757.5%119 W · 88 L+17.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8021…0da8backed Buccaneers60c4,132$2,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,669.494551.1%23 W · 22 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Panthers28c4,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12036246.7%169 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.