TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Panthers vs. Buccaneers: O/U 44.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$79,561
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,913

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,561 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xead1…c76abacked Over46c14,314$6,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,528.3553348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under57c12,964$7,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,574.5424056.7%136 W · 104 L+19.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over45c8,067$3,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6591,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under55c7,693$4,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,466.1477052.7%406 W · 364 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over45c7,177$3,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,244.2747348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,25035848.6%174 W · 184 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7509…4b9dbacked Over43c4,651$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003630.6%11 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over44c4,326$1,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,904.4439447.7%188 W · 206 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Under54c4,254$2,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,956.7216860.7%102 W · 66 L+18.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Over0c4,065$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.225679.9%56 W · 511 L-1.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-39.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under54c3,117$1,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,423.0254451.7%281 W · 263 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Over47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,41034349.3%169 W · 174 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Over43c3,000$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,29023937.7%90 W · 149 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,38051352.2%268 W · 245 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4762…ba70backed Under56c2,648$1,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,165.127346.6%34 W · 39 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under53c2,581$1,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,213.079447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Under56c2,336$1,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.27655.3%42 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa800…bd7abacked Over43c2,326$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under53c2,152$1,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.4419152.9%101 W · 90 L+0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3158…d469backed Under54c2,123$1,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976.61546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked Over44c1,500$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66014837.2%55 W · 93 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over42c1,124$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.147530.7%23 W · 52 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Under58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4206645.5%30 W · 36 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over43c960$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.811758.1%68 W · 49 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over43c960$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.811859.3%70 W · 48 L+11.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Over46c779$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.4414641.8%61 W · 85 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Under68c600$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.611580%12 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+47.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020443.6%89 W · 115 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f7…7584backed Under56c415.5$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over45c405$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.256663.6%42 W · 24 L+9.7wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+30.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over42c388.39$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.1283147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over51c330$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.3473651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Under58c309.78$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.114261.9%26 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8214…ef72backed Under58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1268350.6%42 W · 41 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13216957.4%97 W · 72 L+15.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd0b7…fa4bbacked Under55c286.85$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.832846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under53c279.4$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.6986547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under46c249.99$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1356756.7%38 W · 29 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over29c243.34$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.6412748%61 W · 66 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over46c235.7$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.5234652.9%183 W · 163 L+16.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1b8…799cbacked Over43c209.3$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+27.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7373…22eabacked Under55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903040%12 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe230…989cbacked Under52c166.58$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.513844.9%62 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under68c147.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.312572%18 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over43c140$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.29659.4%57 W · 39 L+9.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd164…f17bbacked Under72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.893158.1%18 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over54c138.46$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2720757.5%119 W · 88 L+17.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over43c130$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.911856.8%67 W · 51 L+9.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc44…3b40backed Over34c122.37$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.151877.8%14 W · 4 L+5.1wins+0.29per pick49cpaid+51.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over43c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.66752.2%35 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over43c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.610155.4%56 W · 45 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over43c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.66147.5%29 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over43c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.66755.2%37 W · 30 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over44c120$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.811058.2%64 W · 46 L+11.0wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+19.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over43c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.610359.2%61 W · 42 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+22.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over43c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.69757.7%56 W · 41 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over43c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.611056.4%62 W · 48 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa2cc…55a0backed Under53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474744.7%21 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Over43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4311253.6%60 W · 52 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over54c90.53$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8931543.2%136 W · 179 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under55c86.43$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7832043.8%140 W · 180 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over44c79.95$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8265048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x662a…1737backed Over50c78.56$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2830%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x313d…6f98backed Under58c68.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.975858.6%34 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under58c68.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.976570.8%46 W · 19 L+11.6wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+35.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x4fb3…05e5backed Over45c66.02$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.718733.3%29 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77f5…353ebacked Under58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.723271.9%23 W · 9 L+7.4wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+47.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over32c39.29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3850242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed Over44c38.91$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.122540%10 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Over38c38.21$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3614844.6%66 W · 82 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Over32c37.13$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.031444.9%7 W · 137 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick12cpaid-71.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c6c…ce09backed Under58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4814951%76 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over45c32.12$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4536826.9%99 W · 269 L-17.1wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1acc…35b7backed Under55c27.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.273161.3%19 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3da1…c13bbacked Under54c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.59456.4%53 W · 41 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x06cd…bdbebacked Under65c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+32.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x97b8…0f5dbacked Under54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.21838.9%7 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-33%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.