TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Browns vs. Jets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jetsof Browns, Jets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,122,370
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,150,647

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,122,370 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 502 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83b9…6124backed Browns54c171,442$92,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92,351.6522950.2%115 W · 114 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d3b…c46bbacked Jets47c132,742$62,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70,353.3111145.9%51 W · 60 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Browns53c90,747$48,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,395.9110333%34 W · 69 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Jets47c90,217$42,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,843.1186547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31c5…ede4backed Jets46c79,447$36,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,101.3316545.5%75 W · 90 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0549…c052backed Jets46c70,000$32,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,799.985855.2%32 W · 26 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed Browns54c59,785$32,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,313.212540%10 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Jets46c55,551$25,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,997.516836.9%62 W · 106 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Browns54c53,877$28,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,938.4431240.7%127 W · 185 L-22.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e02…817ebacked Jets47c50,000$23,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,5002227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Browns55c42,884$23,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,419.3353348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Browns53c30,614$16,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,247.812744.9%57 W · 70 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked Browns53c30,000$15,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,90011445.6%52 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Browns40c26,798$10,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,785.0841947.3%198 W · 221 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Jets59c20,296$12,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,232.420026%52 W · 148 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Jets46c19,211$8,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,374.184637%17 W · 29 L-5.3wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Browns55c18,182$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0003056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Jets45c17,092$7,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,388.137248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Jets46c15,000$6,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,10019645.4%89 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked Jets54c11,000$5,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,06011649.1%57 W · 59 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Browns53c10,600$5,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,61812944.2%57 W · 72 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Jets54c10,391$5,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,745.6160049.3%296 W · 304 L+21.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Jets46c10,000$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,40023937.7%90 W · 149 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Browns53c9,434$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00013142%55 W · 76 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Jets45c9,416$4,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,178.832050.9%163 W · 157 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc03…1548backed Jets51c9,000$4,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,4306624.2%16 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+81.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Browns12c8,589$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045.5168446.1%315 W · 369 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7d0…2aacbacked Browns55c8,291$4,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,559.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2e6…b240backed Jets45c8,285$3,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,556.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6392…0dc7backed Browns55c7,480$4,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,114.04944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Browns52c7,267$3,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,813.2347738.6%184 W · 293 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Browns53c7,000$3,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,71083147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Browns47c6,714$3,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,144.2644652.9%236 W · 210 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a38…8fb5backed Jets47c6,383$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,382.9814252.1%74 W · 68 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x479a…e8b7backed Browns55c6,363$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,499.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Jets50c6,252$3,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,123.9561148.6%297 W · 314 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Jets47c6,126$2,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,221.5230043.7%131 W · 169 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Jets47c6,000$2,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,17018044.4%80 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Browns51c5,981$3,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,047.2827348.7%133 W · 140 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Browns52c5,108$2,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,647.2433553.4%179 W · 156 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Browns53c5,000$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,65024053.8%129 W · 111 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea3e…b956backed Browns52c5,000$2,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,624.2524351.4%125 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Jets63c4,070$2,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,494.5364747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Jets48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,08026547.2%125 W · 140 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc550…353fbacked Jets45c4,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,200520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Browns53c3,709$1,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,965.941,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Jets49c3,589$1,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,845.2323850.8%121 W · 117 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa0a…d070backed Jets56c3,584$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,584.69757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Jets68c3,573$2,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,149.7231056.8%176 W · 134 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Browns54c3,469$1,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,867.51,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x96e1…50aabacked Browns43c3,462$1,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,505.353748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Jets55c3,231$1,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,462.4119235.4%68 W · 124 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-35%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9615…60ddbacked Browns56c3,100$1,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7421266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Jets57c3,075$1,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,314.3816254.9%89 W · 73 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Browns53c3,018$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.5437350.9%190 W · 183 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9b1…2c46backed Browns54c3,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,620633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-45.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Browns55c3,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,65017454.6%95 W · 79 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Jets45c3,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,65051352.2%268 W · 245 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x618d…aadcbacked Jets45c3,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,650560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+37.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68db…e12bbacked Browns55c3,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,649.813435.8%48 W · 86 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25f8…15ddbacked Jets46c2,983$1,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,610.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Browns53c2,833$1,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,511.6683447.1%393 W · 441 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80f0…1ebebacked Jets47c2,814$1,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,491.452864.3%18 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Jets49c2,766$1,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,408.8150242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Browns53c2,332$1,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,231.1131854.7%174 W · 144 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Browns30c2,278$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.419551.3%100 W · 95 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86f8…b0f3backed Browns65c2,188$1,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,422.26757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1e0…8913backed Browns55c2,182$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2004957.1%28 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Browns1c2,050$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5980%0 W · 98 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45c3…42f9backed Browns56c2,045$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1506952.2%36 W · 33 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Jets63c2,000$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75036246.7%169 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd039…2532backed Jets46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0807732.5%25 W · 52 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-21.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd5d8…e9a1backed Browns55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1001637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1a2…372abacked Browns55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1003961.5%24 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Browns53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06011452.6%60 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1377…56aebacked Browns40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Browns1c1,999$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.214311.6%7 W · 424 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-82.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Browns13c1,999$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.2354451.7%281 W · 263 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x640e…f2d4backed Browns52c1,931$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Jets57c1,896$1,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.988532.9%28 W · 57 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1fce…2229backed Jets77c1,852$1,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.81855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65e3…266fbacked Jets46c1,788$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.52250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Browns55c1,772$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.3356852.3%297 W · 271 L+26.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Browns16c1,744$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.8331543.2%136 W · 179 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74bc…98c9backed Jets43c1,699$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.056960.9%42 W · 27 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Jets33c1,600$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,06528151.6%145 W · 136 L+20.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xee61…503ebacked Jets46c1,591$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.142100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Browns55c1,584$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8712263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Jets50c1,424$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.2824054.6%131 W · 109 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Browns1c1,289$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.051486.8%10 W · 138 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick2cpaid+296.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc77…03b8backed Jets67c1,187$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.642100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+50.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec13…1845backed Browns55c1,173$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.373545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0752…afadbacked Jets45c1,150$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed Browns54c1,111$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6008461.9%52 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e2d…05e4backed Jets45c1,109$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.7825%2 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-20.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x975e…60f7backed Browns54c1,100$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.9920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Jets47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.8316344.8%73 W · 90 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x169f…9dc8backed Jets46c1,044$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.49250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27c4…54bfbacked Browns54c1,037$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.98250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x045d…d649backed Browns15c1,022$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1519536.8%35 W · 60 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.