NFL · resolved market
Browns vs. Jets: O/U 37.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5f3dfff57e6beac3a7b0e94ac7ef12b7eaac4bb04e084fe9fac8f0b7466f575
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $150,845
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $151,570
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,845 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 49c | 64,799$31,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,831.61 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Over | 51c | 48,006$24,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,522.7 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Over | 51c | 47,340$24,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,196.39 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Over | 51c | 12,200$6,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,028 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Under | 49c | 10,934$5,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,357.75 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 8,988$4,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,448.21 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Under | 49c | 8,309$4,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,071.44 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 51c | 8,000$4,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,078.6 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Under | 49c | 6,980$3,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,450.74 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Under | 50c | 3,577$1,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,788.63 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Under | 49c | 2,650$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.76 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Over | 49c | 2,039$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.89 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…5019backed Over | 50c | 1,998$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.07 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 50c | 1,809$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.92 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 49c | 1,742$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.49 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 49c | 1,291$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.79 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 49c | 1,250$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.89 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Under | 50c | 1,007$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.58 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…a9f2backed Over | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…8ae8backed Over | 50c | 740$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Over | 50c | 555$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.5 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd368…1889backed Over | 50c | 555$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.5 | 138 | 42%58 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 51c | 530$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.7 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Under | 51c | 387$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.37 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 48c | 330.02$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.94 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Under | 49c | 300$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 244 | 56.6%138 W · 106 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 51c | 239.87$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.64 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 49c | 217.9$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 414 | 50.5%209 W · 205 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 196 | 38.8%76 W · 120 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 280 | 47.5%133 W · 147 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…ed90backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe64…873ebacked Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…93c4backed Over | 52c | 192.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.71 | 283 | 37.8%107 W · 176 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc1…ffeebacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Over | 51c | 165$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.85 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…5209backed Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Over | 51c | 136.05$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.01 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d1…ff0cbacked Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecf4…9979backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Under | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Over | 63c | 70$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 323 | 47.4%153 W · 170 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c1…012cbacked Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced0…c680backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…99e8backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff9…ce7abacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 49c | 41.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…f07bbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbae0…5cd6backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9d…b033backed Under | 49c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a3…5a2fbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…b871backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 77c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Browns vs. Jets: O/U 37.5this page
- Browns Team Total: O/U 29.5Under won
- Browns vs. JetsJets won
- Browns vs. Jets: O/U 36.5Over won
- Browns vs. Jets: O/U 38.5Over won
- Spread: Browns (-1.5)Jets won
- Spread: Browns (-2.5)Jets won
- Spread: Jets (-1.5)Jets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.