UFC · resolved market
UFC 324: Krylov vs. Bukauskas (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x748cbcc4a80b72d60aa41dfa95277ad4f5cbeea3ff0ed54d358b41df9f335b49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Krylovof Krylov, Bukauskas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $703,740
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $769,171
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $703,740 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 372 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Krylov | 45c | 105,478$47,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,012.91 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Krylov | 46c | 71,094$32,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,390.51 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Bukauskas | 53c | 54,448$29,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,008.01 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Bukauskas | 55c | 51,186$28,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,114.19 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Bukauskas | 56c | 50,897$28,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,502.35 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Bukauskas | 54c | 43,600$23,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,543.99 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Bukauskas | 57c | 42,000$23,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,966.53 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Krylov | 44c | 40,000$17,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,399.98 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Bukauskas | 24c | 38,942$9,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,317.66 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef38…ae8cbacked Bukauskas | 54c | 34,440$18,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,597.56 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Krylov | 45c | 33,000$14,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,149.91 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Krylov | 47c | 30,000$14,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,900 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Krylov | 46c | 27,900$12,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,066 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Bukauskas | 55c | 23,663$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,000 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Krylov | 46c | 21,678$9,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,700.56 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Krylov | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,600 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…74e1backed Bukauskas | 55c | 18,182$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Krylov | 59c | 15,871$9,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,445.99 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…46e8backed Bukauskas | 55c | 12,904$7,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,141.03 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Bukauskas | 59c | 11,600$6,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,815.85 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc6…9889backed Krylov | 46c | 10,869$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,869.25 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Bukauskas | 57c | 10,739$6,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,170.05 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Bukauskas | 53c | 10,008$5,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,304.5 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Krylov | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Bukauskas | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Krylov | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Krylov | 46c | 9,183$4,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,959 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Krylov | 43c | 8,000$3,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,529.98 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Krylov | 48c | 7,973$3,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,144.25 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Bukauskas | 54c | 7,407$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…079fbacked Bukauskas | 52c | 6,743$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Bukauskas | 54c | 6,277$3,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,389.58 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…01a8backed Krylov | 45c | 6,266$2,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,458.69 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Krylov | 46c | 5,600$2,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,024 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Bukauskas | 54c | 5,555$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.68 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…4652backed Bukauskas | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Bukauskas | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.98 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4db0…d3eabacked Krylov | 42c | 4,850$2,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,813.08 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked Bukauskas | 54c | 4,760$2,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,570.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked Bukauskas | 54c | 4,750$2,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,565 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Krylov | 46c | 4,314$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,333.7 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Krylov | 51c | 3,910$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,934.9 | 201 | 39.8%80 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf40…87debacked Krylov | 47c | 3,830$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,029.79 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Bukauskas | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…80f2backed Krylov | 62c | 3,578$2,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.57 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Bukauskas | 15c | 3,497$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.17 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Krylov | 44c | 3,456$1,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,935.64 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd544…4d5ebacked Bukauskas | 4c | 3,211$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.65 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Krylov | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8758…01e0backed Krylov | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Krylov | 46c | 2,374$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Krylov | 46c | 2,356$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.44 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Bukauskas | 53c | 2,331$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.68 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…fd52backed Krylov | 49c | 2,157$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.46 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Bukauskas | 55c | 2,100$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Bukauskas | 51c | 2,041$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.94 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Krylov | 41c | 2,000$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.51 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Krylov | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Bukauskas | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.99 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Bukauskas | 60c | 1,982$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.72 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Bukauskas | 55c | 1,950$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.98 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Bukauskas | 55c | 1,900$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.67 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6295…6abebacked Krylov | 53c | 1,891$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd8…39b1backed Bukauskas | 54c | 1,854$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Bukauskas | 9c | 1,623$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.92 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Krylov | 45c | 1,589$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.74 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Krylov | 47c | 1,489$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.36 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Krylov | 44c | 1,445$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.13 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked Bukauskas | 44c | 1,347$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Bukauskas | 43c | 1,343$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.49 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Krylov | 46c | 1,300$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…a5d4backed Krylov | 79c | 1,297$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.39 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Krylov | 46c | 1,265$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.22 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Krylov | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 137 | 35.8%49 W · 88 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked Krylov | 52c | 1,169$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.54 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Krylov | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…e124backed Bukauskas | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Krylov | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.04 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…0fc6backed Krylov | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d46…cf8bbacked Krylov | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ee…47c8backed Bukauskas | 55c | 1,069$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.17 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Krylov | 50c | 1,009$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.55 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…6f5ebacked Bukauskas | 54c | 1,003$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.51 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Krylov | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…691abacked Bukauskas | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Bukauskas | 42c | 944.24$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.09 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbac2…727bbacked Bukauskas | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d9…5896backed Bukauskas | 44c | 911.38$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Bukauskas | 54c | 862$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.48 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Bukauskas | 54c | 861$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.94 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Bukauskas | 21c | 800$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…8b30backed Bukauskas | 54c | 799.99$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bukauskas | 43c | 780.99$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.2 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bca…5c8dbacked Krylov | 46c | 763.04$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.04 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Krylov | 43c | 751.39$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.69 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f91…40adbacked Krylov | 46c | 750$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…5240backed Bukauskas | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f0…c63cbacked Bukauskas | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Bukauskas | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c0…af29backed Bukauskas | 13c | 690.36$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 324: Krylov vs. Bukauskas (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- Will Modestas Bukauskas win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.