NHL · resolved market
Kings vs. Stars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb95b43c9c2f7c0e32e1c4a4224d21311cfe46453673dd6f5d04cf394633029af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Kings, Stars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $743,249
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $746,347
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $743,249 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 226 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed Kings | 43c | 286,502$123,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163,306.29 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Stars | 57c | 200,000$114,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114,000 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Stars | 56c | 159,710$89,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89,437.6 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Kings | 43c | 97,055$41,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,115.43 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Kings | 47c | 54,381$25,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,829.43 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Kings | 46c | 30,173$13,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,252.73 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Stars | 59c | 30,000$17,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,700 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c81…e258backed Kings | 43c | 30,000$12,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,099.94 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Stars | 58c | 29,704$17,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,108.4 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Kings | 44c | 29,447$12,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,501.83 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Stars | 57c | 29,303$16,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,661.46 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Stars | 48c | 22,170$10,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,679.21 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Stars | 55c | 21,349$11,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,841.94 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Stars | 56c | 20,784$11,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,639.15 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Stars | 57c | 16,347$9,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,311.93 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Kings | 45c | 15,784$7,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,681.39 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Kings | 44c | 14,784$6,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,278.92 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Stars | 55c | 14,000$7,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,700 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Stars | 56c | 12,455$6,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,975.01 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -9.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Kings | 45c | 11,100$4,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,152.85 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Kings | 43c | 8,993$3,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,125.2 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Stars | 57c | 8,698$4,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,957.88 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa4…e9d2backed Stars | 56c | 7,142$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.52 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kings | 44c | 6,000$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Kings | 53c | 4,762$2,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,259.78 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Stars | 42c | 4,300$1,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,821.38 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kings | 54c | 4,168$2,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,903.62 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Kings | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd339…d3a1backed Kings | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Stars | 56c | 3,575$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0774…99febacked Stars | 57c | 3,509$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Kings | 58c | 3,202$1,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.83 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Stars | 55c | 3,053$1,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,682.64 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Stars | 32c | 3,035$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.4 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Stars | 58c | 3,000$1,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,724.98 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Stars | 43c | 2,829$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.95 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +66%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Stars | 42c | 2,668$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.71 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Stars | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Stars | 50c | 2,469$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.49 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Stars | 56c | 2,300$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Stars | 56c | 2,222$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.31 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e2…9b0cbacked Stars | 37c | 2,206$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf500…73acbacked Stars | 31c | 2,146$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.67 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd58…18f9backed Kings | 42c | 2,139$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.36 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Stars | 57c | 2,070$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.74 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Kings | 41c | 2,024$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.88 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Stars | 55c | 1,819$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.45 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e9…5e83backed Stars | 57c | 1,580$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.32 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Kings | 51c | 1,502$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.16 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Stars | 4c | 1,370$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.8 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…f03bbacked Stars | 60c | 1,333$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Kings | 40c | 1,239$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.4 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…4252backed Stars | 56c | 1,215$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.39 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfda…4fe6backed Stars | 57c | 1,207$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…4888backed Stars | 1c | 1,200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Stars | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc491…61f7backed Kings | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…35cbbacked Stars | 57c | 992.49$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.72 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -5.0wins | -0.33per pick | 60cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…920bbacked Kings | 31c | 950$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1335…d00fbacked Stars | 35c | 928.25$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Kings | 44c | 900$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 167 | 43.1%72 W · 95 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…97b5backed Stars | 59c | 800$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Stars | 56c | 750$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.75 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Stars | 31c | 719.7$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.72 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed Stars | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Kings | 44c | 689.99$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.4 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Stars | 58c | 683.09$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.83 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb85…84a6backed Stars | 50c | 654.55$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Stars | 56c | 600$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac9…9678backed Stars | 29c | 600$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Stars | 58c | 600$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1183…14ccbacked Kings | 46c | 587.48$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Stars | 52c | 565.86$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.8 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Kings | 61c | 552.65$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.79 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bc…80f7backed Kings | 48c | 540$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.4 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Stars | 58c | 525$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.5 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8e…a742backed Stars | 57c | 510$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.7 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Kings | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 201 | 37.8%76 W · 125 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd7…51fcbacked Stars | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Kings | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Stars | 56c | 498$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.88 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Kings | 45c | 493$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.15 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa518…747cbacked Kings | 72c | 490.35$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Stars | 46c | 480$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.8 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Stars | 52c | 464.22$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.2 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb18…7762backed Stars | 47c | 461.18$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Stars | 35c | 428.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 203 | 45.3%92 W · 111 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Kings | 44c | 361.67$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.54 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Stars | 57c | 361.02$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.06 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Stars | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Stars | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63ed…92bebacked Stars | 57c | 330$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.1 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Stars | 32c | 317.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 158 | 39.9%63 W · 95 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kings | 57c | 311.2$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.14 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked Stars | 46c | 305.46$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Stars | 57c | 301.75$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.96 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc648…259cbacked Stars | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…293ebacked Stars | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Stars | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed Kings | 54c | 300$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.06 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Starsthis page
- Kings vs. Stars: O/U 5.5Under won
- Kings vs. Stars: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.