NHL · resolved market
Spread: Kings (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x534c2c0d81ff6208aee9d3a0d25d67cefaab242150ac59ebdada4dbdfae63515
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden Knightsof Kings, Golden Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,894
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,513
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,894 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2586…c893backed Golden Knights | 66c | 2,500$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Kings | 34c | 1,800$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Kings | 36c | 1,389$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.38 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Kings | 34c | 1,389$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.51 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Golden Knights | 64c | 1,237$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.78 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e4…22cbbacked Kings | 38c | 1,053$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Golden Knights | 62c | 834.61$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.15 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Golden Knights | 63c | 674.58$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.59 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Kings | 37c | 569$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.03 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Golden Knights | 62c | 505.62$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.19 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Kings | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Golden Knights | 62c | 493$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.34 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Kings | 42c | 473.95$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Golden Knights | 55c | 386.93$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.26 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Kings | 38c | 344.72$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.99 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Golden Knights | 62c | 271.96$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.35 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Kings | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x966d…eaa5backed Golden Knights | 68c | 230$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Kings | 38c | 187.45$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.23 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Kings | 35c | 176.66$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.83 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Kings | 35c | 165.36$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.08 | 381 | 47.2%180 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Golden Knights | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 226 | 55.8%126 W · 100 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Golden Knights | 57c | 133.95$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 215 | 55.3%119 W · 96 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Golden Knights | 68c | 125$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Kings | 32c | 109.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.95 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Golden Knights | 67c | 104.48$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Golden Knights | 63c | 104$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.48 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Golden Knights | 67c | 101.39$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 215 | 60.9%131 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…bce9backed Kings | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Golden Knights | 67c | 75.58$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.58 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…bf01backed Kings | 38c | 50.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Kings | 47c | 49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed Kings | 47c | 47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Kings | 36c | 46.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Golden Knights | 63c | 46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Golden Knights | 66c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Golden Knights | 67c | 44.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Kings | 27c | 43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 295 | 53.6%158 W · 137 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…dedebacked Golden Knights | 63c | 36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Golden Knights | 67c | 31.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Golden Knights | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 212 | 53.3%113 W · 99 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1466…3bfbbacked Golden Knights | 66c | 30.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Kings | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Kings | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 164 | 47%77 W · 87 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Kings | 35c | 29.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Golden Knights | 62c | 21.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Golden Knights | 67c | 20.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)this page
- Golden Knights vs. KingsGolden Knights won
- Golden Knights vs. Kings: O/U 4.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Kings: O/U 5.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Kings: O/U 6.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Kings: O/U 7.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.