TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Golden Knights vs. Kings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Golden Knightsof Golden Knights, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$750,030
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$805,792

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $750,030 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 490 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Golden Knights39c102,716$39,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62,856.8922443.8%98 W · 126 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Golden Knights41c65,000$26,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,549.991,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb78…5206backed Golden Knights46c56,024$26,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,024.431369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.5wins+0.27per pick42cpaid+48.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Kings61c46,550$28,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,368.0748549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Kings58c35,391$20,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,685.5161953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Kings62c33,681$20,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,846.89548.4%46 W · 49 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Kings59c30,456$18,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,046.9915054.7%82 W · 68 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Kings59c25,026$14,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,823.067647.4%36 W · 40 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Kings57c20,807$11,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,899.0579350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kings58c18,004$10,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,442.121,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Golden Knights42c17,684$7,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,314.1321849.5%108 W · 110 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Kings57c14,706$8,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,335.3856649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Kings58c14,655$8,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,50050049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Golden Knights40c12,500$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,50032946.8%154 W · 175 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Kings57c12,310$7,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,040.511,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Golden Knights42c12,000$5,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,9602763%17 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+25.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Kings61c11,404$6,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,956.443554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Kings7c11,376$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.564323.3%10 W · 33 L-5.8wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-50.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xde18…83bcbacked Golden Knights44c11,364$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,363.643855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Kings61c10,000$6,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,1008252.4%43 W · 39 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Golden Knights44c10,000$4,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,649.9613948.2%67 W · 72 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Golden Knights43c9,139$3,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,173.431,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Golden Knights39c8,542$3,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,210.754841.7%20 W · 28 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ea3…72c8backed Kings58c8,249$4,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,784.42250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Kings57c8,133$4,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,673.5438844.6%173 W · 215 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Golden Knights46c7,599$3,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,103.194242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecb7…e8e5backed Kings5c7,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Golden Knights41c6,467$2,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,841.1661950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Golden Knights43c6,300$2,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,595.9683652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Kings58c6,135$3,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,538.981,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Kings42c6,022$2,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,552.362,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Kings57c6,000$3,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,419.9733243.7%145 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Kings16c5,914$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.091,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Golden Knights44c5,558$2,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,125.9921549.3%106 W · 109 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Golden Knights39c5,373$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,252.91,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Kings40c5,289$2,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,138.9739344.8%176 W · 217 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Kings56c5,042$2,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,823.754057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Golden Knights42c5,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9205752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Golden Knights39c5,000$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,049.991,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Kings57c5,000$2,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,835.7163249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Golden Knights46c5,000$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,679.9929146.7%136 W · 155 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Golden Knights41c5,000$2,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,941.231,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Golden Knights43c4,563$1,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,601.148050.6%243 W · 237 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Kings68c4,547$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,10085250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Golden Knights41c4,522$1,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,66864242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x419b…0944backed Golden Knights45c4,224$1,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,340.72250%11 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Golden Knights38c4,210$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,610.252050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed Golden Knights43c4,015$1,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,288.7511553%61 W · 54 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Kings58c3,810$2,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,213.5461959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kings58c3,330$1,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,924.31,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Kings61c3,270$1,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,984.178748.3%42 W · 45 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Kings47c2,997$1,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,421.7889636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Kings59c2,920$1,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,722.844551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Golden Knights40c2,447$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,455.9211833.1%39 W · 79 L-9.9wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Kings61c2,391$1,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,458.5184953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Kings63c2,386$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50031550.8%160 W · 155 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Golden Knights44c2,216$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,240.9128152%146 W · 135 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x360b…982fbacked Kings58c2,117$1,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,227.852147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa89a…8667backed Kings57c2,102$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2001770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Kings60c2,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2005764.9%37 W · 20 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Golden Knights64c1,971$1,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.5952172.6%378 W · 143 L+36.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Golden Knights52c1,902$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.323,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Golden Knights38c1,855$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,150.1310848.1%52 W · 56 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9b7…21e1backed Kings57c1,666$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Kings62c1,613$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012844.5%57 W · 71 L-8.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Kings57c1,562$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891.6210240.2%41 W · 61 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Golden Knights38c1,542$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.839258.7%54 W · 38 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Kings5c1,513$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.8854418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Kings43c1,500$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.9960337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1da3…2f94backed Kings52c1,452$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7502653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Golden Knights57c1,380$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.341,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Kings56c1,375$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.988348.2%40 W · 43 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Golden Knights49c1,369$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.138738%147 W · 240 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Kings59c1,334$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.161,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Golden Knights37c1,315$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.5847951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Golden Knights39c1,269$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.4424749.8%123 W · 124 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Golden Knights40c1,250$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7504753.2%25 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x54b4…f93bbacked Golden Knights34c1,225$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.16933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-26.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x958a…c897backed Golden Knights39c1,198$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.4714047.9%67 W · 73 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda2e…8904backed Golden Knights45c1,165$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.561353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+30.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a18…85b5backed Kings57c1,143$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.922387%20 W · 3 L+6.4wins+0.28per pick59cpaid+52%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x1193…bbc7backed Golden Knights44c1,070$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.452147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Kings59c1,065$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.3291653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Golden Knights37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63027150.2%136 W · 135 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Golden Knights42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58015448.1%74 W · 80 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Golden Knights42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5801154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+31.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Kings56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56068449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed Kings14c989.74$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.4730259.6%180 W · 122 L+31.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked Golden Knights40c977.5$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.56946.4%32 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Golden Knights44c947.18$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.9260741%249 W · 358 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc9f…2ca3backed Golden Knights43c884.1$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.49366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+43.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed Kings57c877.19$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014940.9%61 W · 88 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Kings57c877.19$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50040356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4948…38a3backed Kings61c856.33$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.82352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3edb…5280backed Kings63c828.45$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.21560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x221d…e800backed Golden Knights44c817.05$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.076657.6%38 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid0%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Golden Knights47c815.41$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.1710938.5%42 W · 67 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-20.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4fbe…b84fbacked Kings62c806.45$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50018258.2%106 W · 76 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce50…b747backed Kings62c806.45$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008756.3%49 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b1a…5abfbacked Golden Knights47c796.13$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.954045%18 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.