NFL · resolved market
Giants vs. Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2feccb3b04ee9c6eb24a909471c527f7ab5773b010676a1a41b214d64e6be04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bearsof Giants, Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,396,321
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,461,436
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,396,321 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 455 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Giants | 34c | 824,315$279,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279,669.92 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Bears | 66c | 125,000$82,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,500 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Bears | 66c | 110,677$73,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,469.41 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Bears | 73c | 82,174$60,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,173.83 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Bears | 66c | 60,000$39,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,400 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Bears | 66c | 59,400$39,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,196 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Bears | 66c | 57,901$38,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,686.4 | 244 | 56.6%138 W · 106 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Bears | 66c | 51,333$33,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,426.55 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Bears | 66c | 40,000$26,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,600 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Bears | 66c | 39,958$26,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,585.72 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Bears | 66c | 38,195$25,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,986.3 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Bears | 65c | 38,094$24,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,276.99 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Giants | 34c | 35,590$12,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,110.34 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Bears | 66c | 30,000$19,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,200 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Bears | 66c | 24,301$16,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,268.24 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bears | 67c | 21,091$14,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,959.91 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Bears | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,200 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Giants | 51c | 15,921$8,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,119.67 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Bears | 66c | 15,291$10,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,195.68 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Bears | 68c | 15,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Bears | 67c | 14,990$10,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,905.78 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Bears | 66c | 14,107$9,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,796.18 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…033bbacked Bears | 16c | 13,072$2,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,922.77 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.40per pick | 38cpaid | +143.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Bears | 66c | 10,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Giants | 32c | 10,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Bears | 62c | 9,807$6,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,775.06 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Giants | 33c | 9,650$3,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,184.65 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Bears | 66c | 7,500$4,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Giants | 28c | 6,899$1,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960.71 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bears | 66c | 6,700$4,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,278 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Giants | 36c | 6,690$2,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,408.45 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bears | 66c | 6,467$4,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,198.67 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Bears | 52c | 6,313$3,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,002.74 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Bears | 66c | 6,195$4,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,106.46 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Giants | 49c | 6,145$3,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,026.43 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Giants | 39c | 6,142$2,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,402.12 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0a…d070backed Giants | 26c | 6,063$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547.84 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Giants | 34c | 6,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Bears | 66c | 5,499$3,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,869.81 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bears | 66c | 5,262$3,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,762.97 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Bears | 58c | 4,975$2,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,107.46 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d36…18a9backed Giants | 32c | 4,500$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bears | 48c | 4,436$2,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,313.53 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…4418backed Giants | 32c | 4,200$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9a…e376backed Giants | 35c | 4,149$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…e12bbacked Bears | 28c | 4,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…8015backed Giants | 32c | 4,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b18…84f7backed Giants | 32c | 3,800$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Bears | 59c | 3,634$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.32 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6392…0dc7backed Bears | 68c | 3,610$2,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.19 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2150…8293backed Bears | 67c | 3,465$2,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.59 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Giants | 36c | 3,333$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.86 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6a…1a00backed Bears | 49c | 3,250$1,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656.17 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Bears | 66c | 3,030$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.3 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Giants | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…2c46backed Bears | 68c | 3,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x618d…aadcbacked Giants | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Bears | 58c | 2,880$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.6 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Bears | 66c | 2,500$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.99 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Giants | 33c | 2,392$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.23 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Giants | 1c | 2,110$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Bears | 78c | 2,052$1,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.17 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Giants | 1c | 2,040$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 98 | 0%0 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Bears | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked Bears | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Giants | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfda…4fe6backed Giants | 34c | 1,982$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.88 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f0…1ebebacked Bears | 68c | 1,887$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.73 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Giants | 33c | 1,800$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.13 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41c…20f9backed Bears | 68c | 1,800$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…0faabacked Bears | 68c | 1,700$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Giants | 32c | 1,690$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.5 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x709b…0a2dbacked Bears | 68c | 1,600$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c5…f6d0backed Bears | 68c | 1,600$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49e3…1951backed Bears | 68c | 1,600$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Bears | 66c | 1,591$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.94 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Giants | 52c | 1,565$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.91 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Bears | 66c | 1,551$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.19 | 313 | 50.2%157 W · 156 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bears | 63c | 1,538$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.22 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae58…3f01backed Bears | 66c | 1,527$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.22 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Bears | 67c | 1,522$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.39 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…9b23backed Bears | 66c | 1,517$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.92 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Giants | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…d0babacked Bears | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x434c…0536backed Bears | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Bears | 67c | 1,480$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.4 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Bears | 67c | 1,468$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.44 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x236d…5e45backed Bears | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Giants | 34c | 1,425$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.5 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bears | 28c | 1,400$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.08 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…7eebbacked Bears | 68c | 1,400$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x683e…df7fbacked Bears | 68c | 1,400$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Bears | 57c | 1,385$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.54 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bears | 56c | 1,368$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.31 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Bears | 65c | 1,200$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e9…af61backed Bears | 68c | 1,200$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42ff…8775backed Bears | 68c | 1,200$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed Giants | 31c | 1,190$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.87 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Giants | 18c | 1,069$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.14 | 276 | 44.2%122 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…f310backed Giants | 30c | 1,000$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.11 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Giants vs. Bearsthis page
- Giants vs. Bears: O/U 45.5Under won
- Giants vs. Bears: O/U 46.5Under won
- Giants vs. Bears: O/U 47.5Under won
- Giants vs. Bears: O/U 48.5Under won
- Spread: Bears (-3.5)Bears won
- Spread: Bears (-4.5)Giants won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.