NFL · resolved market

Spread: Bears (-4.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf2bd196631eeaae5ebff4c7c9aed6ecf7d94fc3bef0f60d4a14d8713614bbc8

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Giantsof Bears, Giants
Resolved: Nov 9, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $210,386
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $226,924

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $210,386 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NFL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7189…b454backed Bears	51c	33,136$16,899 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,899.18	57	64.9%37 W · 20 L	+7.7wins	+0.13per pick	51cpaid	+25.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked Giants	51c	30,000$15,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,700	111	68.5%76 W · 35 L	+18.5wins	+0.17per pick	52cpaid	+34.3%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Bears	51c	22,500$11,475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,475	136	54.4%74 W · 62 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Giants	49c	21,189$10,383 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,806.5	99	44.4%44 W · 55 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Bears	51c	18,000$9,180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,180	46	37%17 W · 29 L	-5.3wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x50be…371bbacked Giants	51c	15,144$7,693 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,451.14	35	57.1%20 W · 15 L	+2.3wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Giants	49c	13,978$6,867 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,111.08	335	53.4%179 W · 156 L	+10.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked Giants	51c	12,500$6,375 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,125	116	49.1%57 W · 59 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Bears	49c	11,937$5,849 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,848.89	865	47.9%414 W · 451 L	-6.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Giants	49c	10,601$5,181 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,419.34	611	48.6%297 W · 314 L	+10.7wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2734…6d9ebacked Bears	51c	9,804$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	56	58.9%33 W · 23 L	+5.1wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Giants	49c	9,761$4,783 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,978.22	831	47.8%397 W · 434 L	+13.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Giants	49c	7,265$3,560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,704.9	373	50.9%190 W · 183 L	+12.9wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeec7…7de8backed Bears	51c	6,471$3,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,300	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Bears	50c	6,000$3,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,020	265	47.2%125 W · 140 L	+10.4wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c09…c9b4backed Bears	52c	5,741$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	181	40.9%74 W · 107 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	+42.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Bears	50c	5,000$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	257	44.4%114 W · 143 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Giants	50c	4,800$2,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,400	240	53.8%129 W · 111 L	+9.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+26.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90f6…48f3backed Giants	49c	4,147$2,032 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,114.94	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc701…f932backed Bears	51c	4,000$2,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,040	41	34.1%14 W · 27 L	-5.1wins	-0.12per pick	47cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Bears	51c	3,215$1,640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,639.9	513	52.2%268 W · 245 L	+16.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Giants	48c	3,205$1,538 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,666.66	320	50.9%163 W · 157 L	+7.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf327…34dbbacked Giants	54c	2,786$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,285.71	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+1.8wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a38…8fb5backed Bears	50c	2,702$1,351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,351	142	52.1%74 W · 68 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Bears	51c	2,453$1,252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,251.7	180	44.4%80 W · 100 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bears	49c	2,289$1,122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,121.77	1,196	49.9%597 W · 599 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf800…f62dbacked Giants	51c	1,961$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$960.78	53	58.5%31 W · 22 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Giants	48c	1,435$691 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$744.57	834	47.1%393 W · 441 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Bears	49c	1,358$665 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$665.5	650	48.3%314 W · 336 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Bears	44c	1,295$571 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$571.25	419	47.3%198 W · 221 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f0d…8d9dbacked Giants	50c	1,250$625 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$625	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+99.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Bears	49c	1,145$564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$563.9	98	55.1%54 W · 44 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Bears	51c	1,085$554 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$553.6	313	50.2%157 W · 156 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xcf92…4bfdbacked Giants	49c	1,017$498 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$518.67	61	24.6%15 W · 46 L	-5.4wins	-0.09per pick	33cpaid	-43.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Bears	51c	800$408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$408	111	42.3%47 W · 64 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Bears	52c	769.23$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	163	51.5%84 W · 79 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x48a5…a903backed Giants	50c	500$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+1.2wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x258e…d16cbacked Bears	51c	441.18$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225	87	47.1%41 W · 46 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaabc…a190backed Giants	51c	392.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.16	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Giants	51c	392$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.08	163	46%75 W · 88 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x68db…e12bbacked Giants	50c	300$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	134	35.8%48 W · 86 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc4d…f0b8backed Bears	53c	283.02$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	134	48.5%65 W · 69 L	-9.4wins	-0.07per pick	56cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed Giants	49c	275.39$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.45	145	50.3%73 W · 72 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Giants	49c	254.25$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.52	363	41.9%152 W · 211 L	-13.5wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Bears	51c	250$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.5	75	26.7%20 W · 55 L	-12.9wins	-0.17per pick	44cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xde97…d1abbacked Giants	48c	244$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.88	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.52per pick	48cpaid	+108.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Giants	47c	222.87$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.34	414	50.5%209 W · 205 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Giants	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	553	45%249 W · 304 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe64…873ebacked Bears	52c	200$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	51	54.9%28 W · 23 L	+3.8wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc774…3d3ebacked Bears	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.10per pick	56cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2203…e5a1backed Bears	51c	196.27$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x35e3…68b9backed Bears	51c	191.99$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.92	68	39.7%27 W · 41 L	-6.7wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9ead…e13bbacked Bears	52c	180$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.6	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Bears	52c	150$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	194	36.6%71 W · 123 L	-14.8wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Giants	54c	136$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.62	568	52.3%297 W · 271 L	+26.3wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Giants	49c	135$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.93	412	48.5%200 W · 212 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcfd…9126backed Bears	53c	135$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.55	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf782…6849backed Giants	49c	130$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.3	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x041f…fce8backed Giants	50c	130$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5960…d692backed Giants	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	121	47.1%57 W · 64 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d4e…18debacked Giants	49c	100$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	117	52.1%61 W · 56 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x670d…0825backed Giants	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	70	37.1%26 W · 44 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e0b…cd84backed Giants	49c	100$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	80	47.5%38 W · 42 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6b79…3c8cbacked Bears	51c	98.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	128	43%55 W · 73 L	-8.4wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-13%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb269…c448backed Bears	51c	98.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	49	42.9%21 W · 28 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf35…b327backed Bears	51c	98.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	169	46.7%79 W · 90 L	-7.2wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x114a…8aa2backed Giants	50c	80$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	80	45%36 W · 44 L	-4.1wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Giants	50c	70$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35	158	55.7%88 W · 70 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe044…9b2dbacked Bears	52c	64$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.28	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3333…ed90backed Bears	51c	62$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.62	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	-3.8wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Giants	49c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.5	51	52.9%27 W · 24 L	+2.3wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe172…274ebacked Giants	47c	50$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.5	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6941…efd5backed Giants	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	132	53%70 W · 62 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Bears	51c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	297	51.5%153 W · 144 L	+3.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d2b…6a1dbacked Bears	52c	48.08$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.6wins	-0.27per pick	60cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Bears	45c	45.61$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.53	567	9.9%56 W · 511 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d99…a421backed Bears	52c	44.77$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.28	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.15per pick	65cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked Giants	50c	43.58$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.72	165	51.5%85 W · 80 L	+9.5wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Giants	49c	40.81$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.81	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	+2.4wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Giants	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	28	50%14 W · 14 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Giants	51c	39.22$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.22	196	51.5%101 W · 95 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x833c…24f4backed Bears	51c	39.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.8wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x709f…635abacked Giants	51c	38.84$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.84	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0078…bca0backed Bears	52c	38.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	227	45.4%103 W · 124 L	-7.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2af5…ea99backed Giants	50c	34.54$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.38	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2356…ddf5backed Giants	50c	33.12$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.56	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9742…8559backed Bears	61c	32.79$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	28	50%14 W · 14 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+33.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x401a…9e59backed Giants	50c	30.54$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.27	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.10per pick	57cpaid	+39.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd47b…c715backed Giants	50c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	71	35.2%25 W · 46 L	-8.3wins	-0.12per pick	47cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Bears	51c	25.49$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	183	50.3%92 W · 91 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x378f…a862backed Bears	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-11%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d7d…c01abacked Giants	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e7a…0f0ebacked Bears	51c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	120	50.8%61 W · 59 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3914…2103backed Bears	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	-2.8wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb794…3143backed Bears	52c	19.33$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.05	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Bears (-4.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event