TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9742…8559

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: College Football, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST2850%14 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Broncos vs. Raiders: O/U 40.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+100%+$30
Steelers vs. Ravensbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+244.8%+$48.97
Commanders vs. Vikingsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20.58
Bears vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Eagles vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+733.3%+$146.67
Spread: Texans (-6.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bears vs. Vikingsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+138.1%+$41.43
Spread: Dolphins (-2.5)backed Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Spread: Bears (-4.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bills vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+100%+$12
Browns vs. Jetsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Jonathan Gannon be the next coach fired?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.14
Spread: Broncos (-7.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Dolphins vs. Panthersbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Giants vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
49ers vs. Ramsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$75.24
Cowboys vs. Bearsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Steelers vs. Jetsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$20.28
Cowboys vs. Eaglesbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Cowboys win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$10.92
Will the Arizona Cardinals make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Jets vs. Jaguarsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+58.7%+$107.61
Seahawks vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$75
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick27cpaid-83.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-31.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.86
NCAA Tournament: No. 15 seed to pull off an upset?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+50.5%+$151.52
Sacred Heart Pioneers vs. Mount St. Mary's Mountaineersbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+85.2%+$17.04
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2024, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+54%+$40.48
Will Trump nominate Marco Rubio for Secretary of State?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$15.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Islanders vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$118.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bryson DeChambeau finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.