NFL · resolved market
Jets vs. Jaguars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74525549564755570c9de287e5a045a89c19c821545b3cd5dfdf6407cf6fc692
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jetsof Jets, Jaguars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $449,384
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $480,354
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $449,384 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 401 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Jaguars | 62c | 48,693$30,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,259.99 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -7.9wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -45%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed Jets | 67c | 24,063$16,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,858.25 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Jaguars | 62c | 23,144$14,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,292.91 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Jets | 74c | 21,417$15,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,522.72 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…6af8backed Jets | 54c | 14,834$8,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,764.09 | 125 | 70.4%88 W · 37 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Jaguars | 37c | 14,392$5,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,372.69 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Jaguars | 20c | 11,999$2,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,380 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Jets | 32c | 8,190$2,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,543.81 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc9…fc51backed Jets | 77c | 6,695$5,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530.67 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…c487backed Jets | 63c | 6,587$4,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,407.05 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -8.7wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -37%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Jets | 61c | 5,936$3,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,315.06 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Jaguars | 39c | 5,308$2,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,067.98 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b2…841cbacked Jaguars | 3c | 3,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…66d8backed Jaguars | 28c | 3,435$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.48 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Jaguars | 3c | 3,050$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Jaguars | 38c | 2,897$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.98 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2317…c891backed Jaguars | 39c | 2,564$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e0…fe50backed Jets | 57c | 2,546$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.29 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Jaguars | 41c | 2,473$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.62 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75b6…2609backed Jaguars | 64c | 2,376$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,523.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Jets | 49c | 2,099$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.78 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Jaguars | 56c | 2,000$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Jets | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.95 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…6462backed Jets | 66c | 1,521$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Jaguars | 13c | 1,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 129 | 34.9%45 W · 84 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Jets | 57c | 1,306$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.68 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43dd…5291backed Jets | 76c | 1,291$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.84 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e1…69a4backed Jaguars | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -9.2wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Jets | 28c | 1,261$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.31 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Jaguars | 30c | 1,205$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.18 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Jets | 37c | 1,005$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.4 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…45dbbacked Jets | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Jaguars | 38c | 975.46$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.15 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed Jaguars | 39c | 966$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Jaguars | 37c | 905.09$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.03 | 140 | 22.9%32 W · 108 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…a3afbacked Jaguars | 16c | 899.97$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.9 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 16cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked Jets | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 162 | 75.3%122 W · 40 L | +17.3wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Jets | 42c | 773.87$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.85 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8354…b291backed Jaguars | 39c | 698.46$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.4 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce54…90bcbacked Jets | 62c | 698.39$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.39 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Jets | 64c | 698.03$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.02 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…b14abacked Jets | 62c | 645.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.16 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb066…4cefbacked Jets | 62c | 619.21$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Jaguars | 37c | 617.19$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.7 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b23…8278backed Jets | 64c | 612.81$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed Jets | 35c | 599.99$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Jets | 62c | 526$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.88 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Jets | 49c | 506$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Jets | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Jets | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Jaguars | 38c | 499.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 155 | 55.5%86 W · 69 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd79c…a0e7backed Jets | 63c | 499.24$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.24 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Jets | 51c | 488.46$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6084…79c6backed Jets | 62c | 459.85$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.74 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Jaguars | 7c | 445.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Jaguars | 44c | 411.17$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.68 | 82 | 18.3%15 W · 67 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Jaguars | 14c | 400.42$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.63 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Jets | 63c | 400$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 180 | 51.7%93 W · 87 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb90e…5794backed Jets | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 41 | 78%32 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +18%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed Jets | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +5.7wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…d18cbacked Jaguars | 49c | 396.55$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.78 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -5.5wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Jaguars | 39c | 384.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07c5…faeebacked Jets | 62c | 355.2$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.98 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Jets | 63c | 350$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.5 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Jaguars | 54c | 344$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.76 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Jaguars | 48c | 338.86$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.37 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b8…cc82backed Jets | 68c | 333.44$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf97…4921backed Jaguars | 39c | 316.18$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…b1c8backed Jets | 62c | 314.89$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8290…6a65backed Jets | 65c | 309.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.23 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 68cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedd5…63a1backed Jaguars | 39c | 307.69$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 158 | 58.9%93 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…d9ebbacked Jets | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…532abacked Jaguars | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54b…d268backed Jets | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…94bcbacked Jets | 26c | 296.15$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.15 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +5.8wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9742…8559backed Jets | 63c | 290.83$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.61 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fd…7ae6backed Jaguars | 65c | 290$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.55 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed Jaguars | 43c | 272.76$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.16 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08d6…b079backed Jets | 43c | 262.42$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd73…3cc4backed Jaguars | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…5f97backed Jets | 62c | 250.65$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.25 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Jets | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Jaguars | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 202 | 46%93 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Jaguars | 38c | 249.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.89 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Jets | 53c | 248.55$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79d4…9dafbacked Jets | 62c | 248$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.24 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbae…9395backed Jets | 63c | 245.11$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.69 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…e43bbacked Jets | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 44 | 77.3%34 W · 10 L | +6.1wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Jets | 53c | 233.56$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.93 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Jaguars | 48c | 231.12$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.24 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e0…d485backed Jaguars | 8c | 229.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ed…0bb4backed Jets | 37c | 228.89$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.2 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Jets | 62c | 224.66$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.37 | 71 | 77.5%55 W · 16 L | +7.7wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Jets | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e4…7319backed Jets | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Jaguars | 15c | 214.92$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 127 | 60.6%77 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0886backed Jaguars | 35c | 212.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.54 | 151 | 32.5%49 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Jets | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…c302backed Jets | 59c | 190$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.98 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf70…3bcbbacked Jets | 62c | 180.37$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.