NBA · resolved market

Will the Denver Nuggets win the Western Conference?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17e71ccb4813091ea09178bbca310745fea0308d504872dee10971041301f66b

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 18, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,136,146
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,158,562

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,136,146 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 243 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6dda…846dbacked Yes	12c	56,000$6,720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,720	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7022…dd9fbacked Yes	12c	56,000$6,720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,720	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb1a9…549ebacked Yes	12c	56,000$6,720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,720	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6e57…e1f0backed Yes	12c	56,000$6,720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,720	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9dbc…5f77backed Yes	12c	56,000$6,720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,720	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5d14…aac8backed Yes	11c	56,000$6,160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,160	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x503e…278fbacked Yes	12c	56,000$6,720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,720	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9dfe…0bb6backed Yes	11c	56,000$6,160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,160	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes	13c	48,911$6,535 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,534.96	283	41.7%118 W · 165 L	+9.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Yes	13c	40,950$5,197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,197.12	313	47%147 W · 166 L	-14.8wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93fc…34b6backed Yes	14c	34,878$4,732 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,732.27	40	25%10 W · 30 L	-5.2wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-47.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb540…b343backed Yes	8c	16,186$1,365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,365.06	39	5.1%2 W · 37 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	10cpaid	-79.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x768f…d08cbacked Yes	13c	15,626$1,953 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,953.23	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x883e…31dfbacked Yes	6c	15,457$972 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$972.34	49	10.2%5 W · 44 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	16cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6236…15f1backed Yes	12c	13,179$1,518 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,517.91	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	15cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf935…51abbacked Yes	8c	12,232$985 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$985	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.9wins	+0.27per pick	30cpaid	+82.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x45d9…f84bbacked Yes	15c	11,780$1,735 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,734.72	49	42.9%21 W · 28 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10fb…c66cbacked Yes	4c	11,500$441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$441	97	47.4%46 W · 51 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes	4c	10,509$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396.23	1,269	44.5%565 W · 704 L	+32.4wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Yes	12c	10,049$1,206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,205.86	964	47.8%461 W · 503 L	+35.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadf4…ce9dbacked Yes	12c	10,000$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+1.2wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6790…5e06backed Yes	19c	10,000$1,930 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,930	73	35.6%26 W · 47 L	+5.4wins	+0.07per pick	28cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2214…5968backed Yes	12c	9,410$1,109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,109.33	65	49.2%32 W · 33 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Yes	10c	8,306$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	314	53.5%168 W · 146 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x03cb…4bf9backed Yes	6c	7,995$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$479.7	266	40.2%107 W · 159 L	+13.7wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes	11c	7,423$832 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$831.55	98	4.1%4 W · 94 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-61.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa75c…895ebacked Yes	13c	7,000$905 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$904.73	73	47.9%35 W · 38 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8258…f208backed Yes	13c	6,845$895 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$895.38	70	32.9%23 W · 47 L	-4.7wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd33a…2cc4backed Yes	6c	6,830$388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$388.36	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Yes	13c	6,753$860 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$860.42	283	47.7%135 W · 148 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes	9c	5,786$508 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$507.59	1,602	11.8%189 W · 1,413 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5fef…cdcbbacked Yes	14c	5,442$770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$770	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee1f…9cedbacked Yes	7c	5,264$357 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$356.59	122	29.5%36 W · 86 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc82e…9460backed Yes	13c	4,808$625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$625	170	44.1%75 W · 95 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2efb…4c54backed Yes	11c	4,617$515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$515.39	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fd6…3b62backed Yes	11c	4,610$491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$491.28	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-1.8wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Yes	14c	4,555$615 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$614.88	131	33.6%44 W · 87 L	-4.8wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes	12c	4,346$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-2.0wins	-0.18per pick	27cpaid	-84.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b02…393ebacked Yes	8c	4,273$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$357.61	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x524c…64c8backed Yes	11c	4,135$455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$454.74	30	20%6 W · 24 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes	20c	3,636$731 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$731.2	359	42.1%151 W · 208 L	-12.9wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef5c…ae33backed Yes	12c	3,337$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.5	56	28.6%16 W · 40 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+104.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22d3…5e3abacked Yes	12c	3,213$386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385.62	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xba1f…f71bbacked Yes	16c	3,207$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ca3…ffe2backed Yes	13c	2,708$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360.18	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes	12c	2,654$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312.05	96	18.8%18 W · 78 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8af…325ebacked Yes	6c	2,490$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.54	88	23.9%21 W · 67 L	-3.8wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2137…0677backed Yes	15c	2,483$373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372.5	82	19.5%16 W · 66 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f35…7594backed Yes	15c	2,290$337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$337.41	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.21per pick	35cpaid	-70.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	9c	2,272$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.06	1,554	37.3%579 W · 975 L	-48.1wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe312…4a76backed Yes	9c	2,247$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.59	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-2.2wins	-0.15per pick	30cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7d4…ad20backed Yes	7c	2,105$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	64	48.4%31 W · 33 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes	5c	2,000$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	617	40.7%251 W · 366 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa27b…5d5cbacked Yes	14c	2,000$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	204	47.1%96 W · 108 L	-6.7wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe47c…3afabacked Yes	5c	2,000$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	233	42.9%100 W · 133 L	+10.6wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Yes	11c	1,994$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212	269	34.9%94 W · 175 L	-9.1wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes	8c	1,941$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.85	79	5.1%4 W · 75 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	-55.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes	13c	1,897$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.1	66	31.8%21 W · 45 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26e4…517abacked Yes	16c	1,644$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.59	23	8.7%2 W · 21 L	-2.7wins	-0.12per pick	20cpaid	-77.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes	9c	1,643$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.8	227	50.2%114 W · 113 L	+24.8wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	14c	1,613$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.87	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2534…41c9backed Yes	13c	1,550$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.8	45	20%9 W · 36 L	+3.1wins	+0.07per pick	13cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x91ed…e60abacked Yes	7c	1,400$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.72	153	16.3%25 W · 128 L	-10.3wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No	74c	1,375$1,018 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$357	221	40.3%89 W · 132 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2751…1678backed Yes	15c	1,327$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	72	30.6%22 W · 50 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1571…c4e6backed Yes	6c	1,272$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.19	194	19.1%37 W · 157 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13a0…ac6abacked Yes	12c	1,224$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	83	49.4%41 W · 42 L	+4.1wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf398…51e2backed Yes	10c	1,204$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-2.0wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4fad…1480backed Yes	2c	1,145$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.07	45	17.8%8 W · 37 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	21cpaid	-75.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53a7…6123backed Yes	11c	1,040$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.39	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa849…c825backed Yes	5c	1,000$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.9	166	41%68 W · 98 L	-12.9wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x781f…6763backed Yes	11c	1,000$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.15	45	35.6%16 W · 29 L	+4.5wins	+0.10per pick	26cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6367…e938backed Yes	19c	1,000$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191	47	34%16 W · 31 L	+5.7wins	+0.12per pick	22cpaid	+44.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x30b9…9b83backed Yes	11c	1,000$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	45	37.8%17 W · 28 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a29…8864backed Yes	13c	999.99$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77d7…6547backed Yes	7c	942.23$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.95	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde44…cb51backed Yes	4c	931.31$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	51	47.1%24 W · 27 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd49b…abffbacked Yes	6c	924.35$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.99	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.9wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8643…85b2backed Yes	11c	909.09$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+1.2wins	+0.09per pick	34cpaid	+131.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3541…c96dbacked Yes	11c	909.09$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	243	29.6%72 W · 171 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c81…3b0cbacked Yes	8c	884.71$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.85	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	24cpaid	+12%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Yes	12c	881.75$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.43	1,759	61.7%1,085 W · 674 L	+127.5wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Yes	9c	859.5$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.27	164	36.6%60 W · 104 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eaf…5648backed Yes	12c	840$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.8	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes	8c	822$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.54	105	42.9%45 W · 60 L	+6.1wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f77…a9a9backed Yes	6c	813$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.98	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-66.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0fb…5707backed Yes	11c	800$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc190…1c59backed Yes	13c	769.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	87	54%47 W · 40 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x958a…ebbdbacked Yes	13c	769.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	40	55%22 W · 18 L	+5.6wins	+0.14per pick	41cpaid	+42.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2325…ae85backed Yes	13c	769.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.27per pick	23cpaid	+51.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4c6…7520backed Yes	6c	720$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.19	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.08per pick	12cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa875…cf3ebacked Yes	10c	713$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.74	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c2e…4d09backed Yes	8c	699.97$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.4	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc342…f90bbacked Yes	20c	668$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.93	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x030e…20ebbacked Yes	16c	633.09$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked Yes	16c	629.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	173	56.6%98 W · 75 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd918…2538backed Yes	17c	623.46$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.7	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x473e…d108backed Yes	9c	589$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.78	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x51a7…30abbacked Yes	18c	555.58$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	123	44.7%55 W · 68 L	-5.3wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes	10c	520.31$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.6	350	49.4%173 W · 177 L	+17.0wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will the Denver Nuggets win the Western Conference?this page
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the Western Conference?No won
Will the Golden State Warriors win the Western Conference?No won
Will the Houston Rockets win the Western Conference?No won
Will the LA Clippers win the Western Conference?No won
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the Western Conference?No won
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the Western Conference?No won
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the Western Conference?No won
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the Western Conference?No won
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?Yes won
Will the Phoenix Suns win the Western Conference?No won
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the Western Conference?No won
Will the Sacramento Kings win the Western Conference?No won
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the Western Conference?No won
Will the Utah Jazz win the Western Conference?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the Denver Nuggets win the Western Conference?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event