NBA · resolved market
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the Western Conference?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x605e3f184a0993ecf5eba4837342c40d6e6e39ca9ffb57ebce925d2b10f65f14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,970,081
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,403,044
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,970,081 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 208 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x883e…31dfbacked Yes | 16c | 84,764$13,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,436.19 | 49 | 10.2%5 W · 44 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8067…5cc2backed Yes | 16c | 82,226$13,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,156.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…36b0backed Yes | 9c | 81,935$7,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,538.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe10f…f7a1backed Yes | 12c | 81,178$9,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,732.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe215…93a7backed Yes | 18c | 78,611$14,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,307.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 15c | 69,327$10,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,129.95 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4004…21a9backed Yes | 18c | 61,000$11,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,163 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe56a…b6cfbacked Yes | 18c | 61,000$10,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,980 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb1…ab21backed Yes | 19c | 61,000$11,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,285 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x876c…bd9bbacked Yes | 17c | 60,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc0…f08abacked Yes | 16c | 59,000$9,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,145 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…528dbacked Yes | 16c | 59,000$9,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,440 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4d…86f1backed Yes | 16c | 59,000$9,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,145 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60da…7ca0backed Yes | 15c | 59,000$9,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,086 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d09…d3acbacked Yes | 15c | 59,000$8,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,967.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c2…0cccbacked Yes | 15c | 58,500$8,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,774.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c62…3727backed Yes | 14c | 58,000$8,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0d…4f37backed Yes | 14c | 57,000$7,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,752 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c6…4cdbbacked Yes | 12c | 56,000$6,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,496 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…ae33backed Yes | 9c | 55,783$5,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,075.16 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdc…b800backed Yes | 5c | 52,000$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 8c | 51,378$3,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,914.02 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf63…0034backed Yes | 11c | 17,500$1,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,989.51 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b31…b02dbacked Yes | 11c | 11,464$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.05 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c70…232abacked Yes | 12c | 10,536$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.99 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…8ddebacked Yes | 16c | 10,501$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.65 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1809…4eb7backed Yes | 9c | 9,849$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.91 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…b0c7backed Yes | 11c | 9,120$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca74…3b40backed Yes | 18c | 8,657$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Yes | 13c | 7,580$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x390d…350bbacked Yes | 11c | 6,793$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.8 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa8…c82bbacked Yes | 12c | 6,754$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.32 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Yes | 12c | 6,550$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 15c | 6,417$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.8 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…75b6backed Yes | 18c | 6,073$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…9460backed Yes | 13c | 5,684$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.8 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x637a…6d23backed Yes | 18c | 5,497$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.19 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 36cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0403…f445backed Yes | 15c | 5,000$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0af…f3d6backed Yes | 16c | 4,440$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes | 11c | 4,348$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 27cpaid | -84.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2efb…4c54backed Yes | 11c | 4,072$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.13 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked Yes | 12c | 4,000$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd6…3b62backed Yes | 10c | 4,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 13c | 3,973$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.24 | 98 | 4.1%4 W · 94 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f73…8d13backed Yes | 18c | 3,792$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.45 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb540…b343backed Yes | 15c | 3,520$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.22 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x831b…eed5backed Yes | 12c | 3,449$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd29…a638backed Yes | 15c | 3,145$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x461a…4030backed Yes | 14c | 2,990$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.86 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…6e0ebacked Yes | 15c | 2,818$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 7c | 2,813$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.62 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4395…5b90backed Yes | 11c | 2,500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +174.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa799…30d7backed Yes | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffd8…91c8backed Yes | 4c | 2,375$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | -39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe266…7f63backed Yes | 12c | 2,346$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2708…e53bbacked Yes | 10c | 2,045$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Yes | 15c | 2,021$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.95 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Yes | 5c | 1,979$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f72…4d8ebacked Yes | 13c | 1,882$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.05 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8d50backed Yes | 16c | 1,855$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a4…abc9backed Yes | 19c | 1,813$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.2 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68f6…7742backed Yes | 11c | 1,637$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.98 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 15c | 1,611$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.66 | 117 | 23.9%28 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea28…3a0bbacked Yes | 18c | 1,611$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.86 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdafc…dbadbacked Yes | 12c | 1,466$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4373…0679backed Yes | 17c | 1,432$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec8…96a5backed Yes | 12c | 1,400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.8 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…f208backed Yes | 11c | 1,336$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.99 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…a865backed Yes | 18c | 1,309$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.33 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8387…ace9backed Yes | 13c | 1,272$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Yes | 9c | 1,197$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.6 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…ebbdbacked Yes | 17c | 1,191$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 12c | 1,158$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.76 | 79 | 5.1%4 W · 75 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 4c | 1,141$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.35 | 99 | 4%4 W · 95 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…9729backed Yes | 18c | 1,082$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e4…517abacked Yes | 9c | 1,071$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88f5…041bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,021$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 15c | 1,000$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.78 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x944a…a9adbacked Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b8…5ce5backed Yes | 18c | 1,000$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e4…3848backed Yes | 8c | 945.07$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 11c | 940.88$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.72 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b67…584fbacked Yes | 12c | 902.03$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.27 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -52%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Yes | 6c | 889$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 7c | 889$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.64 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Yes | 9c | 879$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.87 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fb…5707backed Yes | 11c | 859.98$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0535…d283backed Yes | 5c | 825.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2751…1678backed Yes | 13c | 796.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x713f…22ccbacked Yes | 15c | 790.69$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.83 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc280…de71backed Yes | 14c | 721.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 11.1%4 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 11c | 588.65$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.49 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f9…95f7backed Yes | 17c | 588.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e9…67c6backed Yes | 8c | 569$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.63 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865c…ea31backed Yes | 11c | 565.27$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bca…bea7backed Yes | 18c | 560.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Yes | 12c | 558$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.38 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 15c | 550$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.4 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0422…0654backed Yes | 15c | 504.38$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…2d55backed Yes | 16c | 485.62$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.51 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the Western Conference?this page
- Will the Dallas Mavericks win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Denver Nuggets win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Golden State Warriors win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Houston Rockets win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the LA Clippers win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?Yes won
- Will the Phoenix Suns win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Sacramento Kings win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Utah Jazz win the Western Conference?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.