NBA · resolved market

Will the LA Clippers win the Western Conference?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d98de23d9a87c7fe785f5b80fe0a030cc46b28863dd2b67971fe95cca4814da

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 4, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $867,676
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $804,931

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $867,676 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2efb…4c54backed Yes	6c	322,724$20,612 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,611.78	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7416…272ebacked Yes	5c	53,000$2,862 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,862	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Yes	11c	23,216$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	166	33.7%56 W · 110 L	-11.6wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x44a0…c3b9backed Yes	9c	22,386$1,995 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,994.61	275	47.6%131 W · 144 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x883e…31dfbacked Yes	6c	18,254$1,116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,116.21	49	10.2%5 W · 44 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	16cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb540…b343backed Yes	8c	12,284$1,027 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,026.94	39	5.1%2 W · 37 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	10cpaid	-79.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Yes	5c	11,439$597 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$597.19	283	47.7%135 W · 148 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb401…8b4bbacked Yes	9c	10,759$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes	9c	9,781$880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$879.77	283	41.7%118 W · 165 L	+9.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec01…6592backed Yes	8c	5,000$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380.25	113	44.2%50 W · 63 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes	8c	4,860$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382.48	98	4.1%4 W · 94 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-61.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes	8c	3,987$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331.32	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-2.0wins	-0.18per pick	27cpaid	-84.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd33a…2cc4backed Yes	9c	3,220$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2137…0677backed Yes	2c	2,500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	82	19.5%16 W · 66 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdafc…dbadbacked Yes	12c	2,070$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	91	31.9%29 W · 62 L	-5.1wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x390d…350bbacked Yes	3c	2,000$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.98	20	10%2 W · 18 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-81.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes	6c	1,699$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.15	79	5.1%4 W · 75 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	-55.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd95a…4844backed Yes	8c	1,685$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.23	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+1.0wins	+0.08per pick	25cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2370…0e10backed Yes	2c	1,623$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.29	61	13.1%8 W · 53 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1809…4eb7backed Yes	5c	1,457$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.15	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.21per pick	37cpaid	-78.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7baa…045fbacked Yes	5c	1,445$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	34	8.8%3 W · 31 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	5c	1,346$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.26	1,554	37.3%579 W · 975 L	-48.1wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2751…1678backed Yes	8c	1,279$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	72	30.6%22 W · 50 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes	8c	1,250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	617	40.7%251 W · 366 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bca…bea7backed Yes	9c	1,119$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee16…880abacked Yes	3c	1,000$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-64.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes	8c	959.67$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	102	26.5%27 W · 75 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2534…41c9backed Yes	8c	789$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.21	45	20%9 W · 36 L	+3.1wins	+0.07per pick	13cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee1f…9cedbacked Yes	4c	774.75$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.09	122	29.5%36 W · 86 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes	3c	743.13$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.4	1,602	11.8%189 W · 1,413 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb293…cb90backed Yes	5c	723.14$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.27	53	9.4%5 W · 48 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes	4c	690.11$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.92	61	13.1%8 W · 53 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	+37.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	9c	645.66$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.65	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7829…b842backed Yes	4c	634.15$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.20per pick	14cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8af…325ebacked Yes	6c	563$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.65	88	23.9%21 W · 67 L	-3.8wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Yes	10c	521.84$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	78	48.7%38 W · 40 L	+8.3wins	+0.11per pick	38cpaid	+34.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8b42…ae6ebacked Yes	10c	499.3$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	136	36.8%50 W · 86 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a7…d21abacked Yes	5c	453.05$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.14	39	7.7%3 W · 36 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e47…bb7fbacked Yes	11c	449.13$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes	5c	416.44$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.36	185	36.8%68 W · 117 L	-11.1wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4dc0…b5f7backed Yes	10c	409.9$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.99	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a9d…a8b2backed Yes	7c	399.38$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd41b…83a4backed Yes	6c	344.01$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-1.8wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Yes	4c	300$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	412	27.4%113 W · 299 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	+94.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f8…0ff2backed Yes	10c	300$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.24	99	39.4%39 W · 60 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x55b4…80eabacked Yes	4c	249.47$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.07	99	4%4 W · 95 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	7cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89bd…0bd5backed Yes	8c	240$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.92	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	10cpaid	+109.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4279…05cabacked Yes	10c	206.38$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	38	55.3%21 W · 17 L	+4.9wins	+0.13per pick	42cpaid	+37.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x10de…7183backed Yes	6c	203.39$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1c9…dd97backed Yes	5c	202.38$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe17c…7e95backed Yes	9c	191.34$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.36	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	-3.2wins	-0.10per pick	59cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e09…bd2cbacked Yes	8c	187.2$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.98	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc280…de71backed Yes	8c	167.32$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.17	36	11.1%4 W · 32 L	-3.3wins	-0.09per pick	20cpaid	-71.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x20f7…aba0backed Yes	13c	152.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	25cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x411c…e9c0backed Yes	7c	149.99$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.3	107	24.3%26 W · 81 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa674…231bbacked Yes	8c	144$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.51	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf398…51e2backed Yes	8c	135.8$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-2.0wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	12c	129.1$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.04	260	48.1%125 W · 135 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc82e…9460backed Yes	11c	114.2$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.95	170	44.1%75 W · 95 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc3b…bdc3backed Yes	14c	100.85$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+2.2wins	+0.14per pick	43cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x17d3…9a72backed Yes	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.8	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+2.4wins	+0.16per pick	37cpaid	+25%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a51…e358backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will the LA Clippers win the Western Conference?this page
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the Western Conference?No won
Will the Denver Nuggets win the Western Conference?No won
Will the Golden State Warriors win the Western Conference?No won
Will the Houston Rockets win the Western Conference?No won
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the Western Conference?No won
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the Western Conference?No won
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the Western Conference?No won
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the Western Conference?No won
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?Yes won
Will the Phoenix Suns win the Western Conference?No won
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the Western Conference?No won
Will the Sacramento Kings win the Western Conference?No won
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the Western Conference?No won
Will the Utah Jazz win the Western Conference?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the LA Clippers win the Western Conference?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event