NBA · resolved market
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the Western Conference?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2e47b4a917489fd7f6b3aae5cc8f00955370864c72de45e6b5176279302a211
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,193,818
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,420,691
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,193,818 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3198…ca3cbacked Yes | 0c | 2,214,277$8,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,857.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79e4…39c9backed Yes | 0c | 2,185,887$8,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,743.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a4…851bbacked Yes | 0c | 2,148,839$8,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,595.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f98…5904backed Yes | 0c | 2,120,932$8,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,483.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd24…e40dbacked Yes | 0c | 2,101,674$8,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,406.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x283f…04c2backed Yes | 0c | 2,073,273$8,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,293.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f74…684ebacked Yes | 0c | 1,720,421$6,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,881.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeed…b28dbacked Yes | 0c | 1,691,261$6,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,765.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee5…4308backed Yes | 0c | 1,149,280$4,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,597.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd429…e757backed Yes | 0c | 1,120,548$4,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,482.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x486b…3434backed Yes | 0c | 870,210$3,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,480.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec7…a0aebacked Yes | 0c | 841,203$3,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,364.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 210,763$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.72 | 197 | 8.6%17 W · 180 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e7…a343backed Yes | 0c | 164,221$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.45 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefbb…65e8backed Yes | 0c | 152,490$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.47 | 56 | 3.6%2 W · 54 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -94.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Yes | 0c | 49,623$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.4 | 258 | 36.8%95 W · 163 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7764…dc84backed Yes | 0c | 47,997$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.99 | 57 | 7%4 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes | 0c | 46,162$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.79 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 35,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 46 | 2.2%1 W · 45 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 33,423$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.75 | 213 | 0.5%1 W · 212 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27a…2d43backed Yes | 0c | 29,019$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf34…c675backed Yes | 0c | 24,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb183…bbcebacked Yes | 1c | 18,042$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…c036backed Yes | 0c | 17,000$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 73 | 0%0 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab8…e24bbacked Yes | 0c | 15,500$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1b…2adbbacked Yes | 0c | 15,480$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191c…4eccbacked Yes | 0c | 15,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f67…bb73backed Yes | 0c | 13,988$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x342a…13cdbacked Yes | 1c | 13,524$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…74cdbacked Yes | 0c | 13,250$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x271f…decdbacked Yes | 0c | 12,884$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5b…318cbacked Yes | 0c | 12,750$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada3…5ff8backed Yes | 0c | 11,250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 11,100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 155 | 0%0 W · 155 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc1…2a5bbacked Yes | 0c | 11,000$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1f…0a86backed Yes | 0c | 10,897$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6448…0968backed Yes | 1c | 10,846$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb36…b508backed Yes | 0c | 10,750$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb364…dcacbacked Yes | 0c | 10,724$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ad…9e50backed Yes | 0c | 10,431$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa40a…5828backed Yes | 0c | 10,250$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ef…6799backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…84febacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad02…ef76backed Yes | 0c | 9,750$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35db…71a6backed Yes | 0c | 9,500$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…df67backed Yes | 0c | 9,119$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbe…959cbacked Yes | 0c | 9,000$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b1…a593backed Yes | 0c | 9,000$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0e…1557backed Yes | 0c | 9,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27a…6a8abacked Yes | 0c | 8,938$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b8…ee01backed Yes | 0c | 8,800$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes | 0c | 8,550$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…0f0cbacked Yes | 0c | 8,250$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5608…156ebacked Yes | 0c | 8,250$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b62…2d30backed Yes | 0c | 8,250$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c0…1505backed Yes | 0c | 8,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca5e…5e1ebacked Yes | 0c | 8,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9658…7405backed Yes | 0c | 8,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5e…dc48backed Yes | 0c | 8,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd5…2f4ebacked Yes | 0c | 7,863$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b3…a900backed Yes | 0c | 7,807$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b1…96b5backed Yes | 0c | 7,744$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5568…ec20backed Yes | 0c | 7,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…1f38backed Yes | 0c | 7,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…2682backed Yes | 0c | 7,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf368…9262backed Yes | 0c | 7,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79d8…5b84backed Yes | 0c | 7,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa15e…1632backed Yes | 0c | 7,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe66…8106backed Yes | 0c | 7,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…fae4backed Yes | 0c | 7,344$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd618…0b39backed Yes | 0c | 7,119$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…6d04backed Yes | 0c | 7,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeaf…476ebacked Yes | 0c | 7,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4376…f028backed Yes | 1c | 7,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…14debacked Yes | 0c | 7,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01fc…94fcbacked Yes | 0c | 6,685$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865c…ea31backed Yes | 0c | 6,667$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2051…ce7ebacked Yes | 0c | 6,626$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…8036backed Yes | 0c | 6,514$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf70a…0a2dbacked Yes | 0c | 6,500$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9dd…ab3abacked Yes | 0c | 6,500$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34c6…dbb6backed Yes | 1c | 6,404$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b42…fa90backed Yes | 1c | 6,289$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0804…8efcbacked Yes | 0c | 6,250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ef…ad4cbacked Yes | 0c | 6,250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…a791backed Yes | 0c | 6,225$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf65b…66f1backed Yes | 0c | 6,186$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…8114backed Yes | 0c | 6,047$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f66…8bf9backed Yes | 1c | 6,028$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa2…6a2bbacked Yes | 0c | 6,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0932…6f1ebacked Yes | 0c | 6,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00b…f702backed Yes | 0c | 6,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe841…0ce0backed Yes | 0c | 6,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa141…8ebabacked Yes | 0c | 5,500$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacda…ffdfbacked Yes | 0c | 5,500$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…d351backed Yes | 0c | 5,500$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…1043backed Yes | 0c | 5,251$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe003…c8febacked Yes | 0c | 5,250$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed57…aabcbacked Yes | 0c | 5,250$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf52f…e9b4backed Yes | 0c | 5,250$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the Western Conference?this page
- Will the Dallas Mavericks win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Denver Nuggets win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Golden State Warriors win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Houston Rockets win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the LA Clippers win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?Yes won
- Will the Phoenix Suns win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Sacramento Kings win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Utah Jazz win the Western Conference?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.