NBA · resolved market
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the Western Conference?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68bdc51aa666e6326931871e2c8f950cd4dd2cb5751c5b05bd8cf820f572a73b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,085,721
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,707,215
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,085,721 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 355 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Yes | 23c | 402,257$93,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93,128.95 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked No | 76c | 227,581$173,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,166.72 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 20c | 86,514$16,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,927.58 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 5c | 80,274$4,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,399.36 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb41b…95b2backed No | 75c | 66,000$49,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,302 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4a…4a6ebacked No | 75c | 66,000$49,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,302 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa68…d87cbacked Yes | 25c | 65,994$16,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,300.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x748b…b8b8backed Yes | 3c | 51,000$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed Yes | 17c | 45,134$7,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,875.61 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x883e…31dfbacked Yes | 9c | 42,258$3,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,757.99 | 49 | 10.2%5 W · 44 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb014…b3fabacked Yes | 8c | 29,588$2,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,433 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed No | 78c | 27,754$21,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,003.96 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Yes | 24c | 20,248$4,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,821.34 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 5c | 20,000$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.13 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Yes | 25c | 19,703$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee1f…9cedbacked Yes | 2c | 17,941$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.05 | 122 | 29.5%36 W · 86 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 10c | 16,063$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.91 | 98 | 4.1%4 W · 94 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Yes | 23c | 15,610$3,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,594.96 | 131 | 33.6%44 W · 87 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Yes | 10c | 15,166$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.51 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 20c | 14,995$2,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,934.85 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 23c | 13,667$3,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,166.5 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x390d…350bbacked Yes | 2c | 12,501$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.02 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 8c | 12,000$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.23 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb540…b343backed Yes | 10c | 11,888$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.37 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Yes | 30c | 11,291$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Yes | 12c | 11,101$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.57 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…5968backed Yes | 24c | 10,353$2,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,462.38 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…ae33backed Yes | 28c | 10,000$2,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,770 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Yes | 3c | 10,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Yes | 17c | 9,369$1,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,603.16 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…15f1backed Yes | 7c | 9,357$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.42 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed No | 75c | 8,848$6,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,194.58 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Yes | 24c | 8,500$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +39%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 17c | 8,195$1,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430.89 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -73%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed Yes | 5c | 6,668$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.71 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…9460backed Yes | 5c | 6,337$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.48 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 9c | 6,126$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.04 | 88 | 23.9%21 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed No | 76c | 5,894$4,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.91 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb3…aca2backed Yes | 6c | 5,829$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +181.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdafc…dbadbacked Yes | 3c | 5,747$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Yes | 20c | 5,577$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.63 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…2cc4backed Yes | 25c | 5,346$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.93 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed08…381cbacked Yes | 15c | 5,251$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.67 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…9996backed Yes | 0c | 5,200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc5…21b6backed Yes | 12c | 5,104$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 25cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f77…a9a9backed Yes | 25c | 5,034$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.6 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd339…d3a1backed Yes | 21c | 4,863$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Yes | 17c | 4,793$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.42 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…caefbacked Yes | 14c | 4,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.1 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…cd72backed Yes | 4c | 4,215$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.66 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9beb…3069backed Yes | 3c | 3,956$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 5c | 3,900$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.03 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 16c | 3,739$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.02 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 1c | 3,711$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.03 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff20…2efcbacked Yes | 3c | 3,426$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4279…05cabacked Yes | 19c | 3,396$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.75 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f4…5228backed Yes | 13c | 3,350$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +182.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…2584backed Yes | 3c | 3,000$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +164.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 21c | 2,991$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.81 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 11c | 2,987$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.72 | 79 | 5.1%4 W · 75 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…d717backed Yes | 2c | 2,841$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Yes | 22c | 2,837$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.27 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8848…895fbacked Yes | 3c | 2,640$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…59abbacked Yes | 21c | 2,600$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.9 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +15.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…bd4dbacked Yes | 3c | 2,365$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Yes | 15c | 2,327$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349 | 173 | 56.6%98 W · 75 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked Yes | 25c | 2,246$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.01 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Yes | 26c | 2,156$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.49 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 7c | 2,109$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.89 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x713f…22ccbacked Yes | 2c | 2,011$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.17 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e47…ecf7backed Yes | 12c | 2,000$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 68 | 20.6%14 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c6…7520backed Yes | 6c | 2,000$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d12…caa9backed Yes | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.96 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 16c | 1,988$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.69 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed Yes | 15c | 1,917$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.74 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 75c | 1,800$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Yes | 1c | 1,776$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 258 | 36.8%95 W · 163 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 5c | 1,500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes | 3c | 1,500$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 102 | 26.5%27 W · 75 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd3…2a3cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,468$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 87 | 14.9%13 W · 74 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0530…d8febacked Yes | 25c | 1,404$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…cd0bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,388$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked No | 74c | 1,377$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.33 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2efb…4c54backed Yes | 4c | 1,350$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.88 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb633…0dd5backed Yes | 7c | 1,345$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb962…33d8backed Yes | 2c | 1,309$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ed…e60abacked Yes | 7c | 1,255$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.32 | 153 | 16.3%25 W · 128 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2534…41c9backed Yes | 24c | 1,200$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.96 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6678…d4b6backed Yes | 19c | 1,196$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.7 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14dd…13eebacked Yes | 4c | 1,175$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 48 | 2.1%1 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -67%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a7…2f90backed Yes | 2c | 1,125$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 22c | 1,045$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.18 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x903b…489abacked Yes | 3c | 1,019$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc280…de71backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 11.1%4 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.38 | 306 | 41.8%128 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefbb…65e8backed Yes | 1c | 999.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 56 | 3.6%2 W · 54 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -94.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…045fbacked Yes | 2c | 942.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 31c | 915$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.57 | 625 | 39.4%246 W · 379 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c96…f26abacked Yes | 28c | 868.71$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x610d…188bbacked Yes | 7c | 823.72$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 186 | 28%52 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the Western Conference?this page
- Will the Dallas Mavericks win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Denver Nuggets win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Golden State Warriors win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Houston Rockets win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the LA Clippers win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?Yes won
- Will the Phoenix Suns win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Sacramento Kings win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Utah Jazz win the Western Conference?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.