TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the Western Conference?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,085,721
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,707,215

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,085,721 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 355 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4259…936fbacked Yes23c402,257$93,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93,128.958333.7%28 W · 55 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-29.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked No76c227,581$173,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54,166.7247848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes20c86,514$16,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,927.5828341.7%118 W · 165 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes5c80,274$4,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,399.3622750.2%114 W · 113 L+24.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+6.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb41b…95b2backed No75c66,000$49,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,3022100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b4a…4a6ebacked No75c66,000$49,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,3021100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa68…d87cbacked Yes25c65,994$16,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,300.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x748b…b8b8backed Yes3c51,000$1,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,58110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3413…5204backed Yes17c45,134$7,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,875.61219.5%2 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick20cpaid-84.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x883e…31dfbacked Yes9c42,258$3,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,757.994910.2%5 W · 44 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb014…b3fabacked Yes8c29,588$2,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4331216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-72.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed No78c27,754$21,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,003.9612649.2%62 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Yes24c20,248$4,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,821.3420248%97 W · 105 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes5c20,000$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.131,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe47c…3afabacked Yes25c19,703$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00023342.9%100 W · 133 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee1f…9cedbacked Yes2c17,941$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.0512229.5%36 W · 86 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes10c16,063$1,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,624.91984.1%4 W · 94 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-61.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Yes23c15,610$3,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,594.9613133.6%44 W · 87 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45d9…f84bbacked Yes10c15,166$1,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,566.514942.9%21 W · 28 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes20c14,995$2,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,934.852,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes23c13,667$3,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,166.535942.1%151 W · 208 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x390d…350bbacked Yes2c12,501$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.022010%2 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick10cpaid-81.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes8c12,000$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.2314434%49 W · 95 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb540…b343backed Yes10c11,888$1,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,195.37395.1%2 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick10cpaid-79.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Yes30c11,291$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4004531.1%14 W · 31 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick35cpaid+1.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Yes12c11,101$1,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,346.5796447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2214…5968backed Yes24c10,353$2,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,462.386549.2%32 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef5c…ae33backed Yes28c10,000$2,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7705628.6%16 W · 40 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+104.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…0772backed Yes3c10,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011741.9%49 W · 68 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x889e…09e0backed Yes17c9,369$1,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,603.1610926.6%29 W · 80 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6236…15f1backed Yes7c9,357$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.42922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick15cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c9…2c23backed No75c8,848$6,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,194.581369.2%9 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa41c…fadebacked Yes24c8,500$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0404252.4%22 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+39%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd347…5205backed Yes17c8,195$1,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,430.89812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick19cpaid-73%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fdc…3ad2backed Yes5c6,668$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.71190%0 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xc82e…9460backed Yes5c6,337$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.4817044.1%75 W · 95 L-0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8af…325ebacked Yes9c6,126$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.048823.9%21 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xae36…8fb5backed No76c5,894$4,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.9110357.3%59 W · 44 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfcb3…aca2backed Yes6c5,829$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3261118.2%2 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick19cpaid+181.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdafc…dbadbacked Yes3c5,747$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1709131.9%29 W · 62 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-28.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ef2…f473backed Yes20c5,577$1,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.635736.8%21 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd33a…2cc4backed Yes25c5,346$1,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,344.933441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed08…381cbacked Yes15c5,251$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.6770%0 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x67a5…9996backed Yes0c5,200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.45121.6%11 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+76.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc5…21b6backed Yes12c5,104$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick25cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f77…a9a9backed Yes25c5,034$1,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,268.61020%2 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-66.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd339…d3a1backed Yes21c4,863$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.41442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x524c…64c8backed Yes17c4,793$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.423020%6 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-42.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4344…caefbacked Yes14c4,500$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.13148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x213e…cd72backed Yes4c4,215$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.661020%2 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-58.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9beb…3069backed Yes3c3,956$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes5c3,900$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.0361740.7%251 W · 366 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes16c3,739$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.021,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fad…1480backed Yes1c3,711$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.034517.8%8 W · 37 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-75.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff20…2efcbacked Yes3c3,426$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4279…05cabacked Yes19c3,396$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.753855.3%21 W · 17 L+4.9wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+37.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa2f4…5228backed Yes13c3,350$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.15633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick12cpaid+182.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf25b…2584backed Yes3c3,000$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+164.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes21c2,991$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.812,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes11c2,987$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.72795.1%4 W · 75 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick8cpaid-55.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbac1…d717backed Yes2c2,841$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5580%0 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed Yes22c2,837$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.2711144.1%49 W · 62 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8848…895fbacked Yes3c2,640$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2942…59abbacked Yes21c2,600$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.918044.4%80 W · 100 L+15.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+36.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5c3b…bd4dbacked Yes3c2,365$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked Yes15c2,327$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34917356.6%98 W · 75 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…3b8bbacked Yes25c2,246$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.011822.2%4 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-51.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Yes26c2,156$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.491,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed Yes7c2,109$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.895230.8%16 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-36.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x713f…22ccbacked Yes2c2,011$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.171145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e47…ecf7backed Yes12c2,000$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2386820.6%14 W · 54 L-0.2wins0.00per pick21cpaid-30.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4c6…7520backed Yes6c2,000$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick12cpaid-53.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d12…caa9backed Yes26c2,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.9650%0 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes16c1,988$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.691,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa02f…e4b1backed Yes15c1,917$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.742714.8%4 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-70.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No75c1,800$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4502,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Yes1c1,776$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4125836.8%95 W · 163 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a61…af24backed Yes5c1,500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756026.7%16 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes3c1,500$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.510226.5%27 W · 75 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bd3…2a3cbacked Yes3c1,468$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408714.9%13 W · 74 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0530…d8febacked Yes25c1,404$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.02450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf524…cd0bbacked Yes2c1,388$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.064037.5%15 W · 25 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick45cpaid+14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x10fb…c66cbacked No74c1,377$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.339747.4%46 W · 51 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2efb…4c54backed Yes4c1,350$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.88130%0 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb633…0dd5backed Yes7c1,345$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002821.4%6 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick33cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb962…33d8backed Yes2c1,309$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91ed…e60abacked Yes7c1,255$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.3215316.3%25 W · 128 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-43.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2534…41c9backed Yes24c1,200$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.964520%9 W · 36 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick13cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6678…d4b6backed Yes19c1,196$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.77233.3%24 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14dd…13eebacked Yes4c1,175$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47482.1%1 W · 47 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-67%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1a7…2f90backed Yes2c1,125$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes22c1,045$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.1818536.8%68 W · 117 L-11.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x903b…489abacked Yes3c1,019$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc280…de71backed Yes3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303611.1%4 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-71.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Yes15c1,000$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.3830641.8%128 W · 178 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefbb…65e8backed Yes1c999.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14563.6%2 W · 54 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-94.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7baa…045fbacked Yes2c942.15$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.67348.8%3 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-66.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes31c915$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.5762539.4%246 W · 379 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c96…f26abacked Yes28c868.71$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.17425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-45.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x610d…188bbacked Yes7c823.72$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6118628%52 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.