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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Sacred Heart Pioneers vs. Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sacred Heart Pioneersof Sacred Heart Pioneers, Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,495
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,639

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,495 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers45c5,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2505944.1%26 W · 33 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Sacred Heart Pioneers55c2,991$1,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,345.9574649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Sacred Heart Pioneers55c1,806$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.78749.4%43 W · 44 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers39c1,789$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.656443.8%28 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers47c922.34$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.7255749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers44c616.07$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.071,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Sacred Heart Pioneers58c593.08$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.975,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers63c379.2$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.413,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers61c295.42$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.6923158.9%136 W · 95 L+23.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Sacred Heart Pioneers52c250$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12040147.6%191 W · 210 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers56c247$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.6812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Sacred Heart Pioneers55c244.61$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.6179448.9%388 W · 406 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Sacred Heart Pioneers48c243.95$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.853,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb6…25eabacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers49c203.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9622640.7%92 W · 134 L-14.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2862…b2ddbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010939.4%43 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9829444.6%131 W · 163 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Sacred Heart Pioneers55c198$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.11,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7209…b3c1backed Sacred Heart Pioneers51c194.36$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.36475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+36.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Sacred Heart Pioneers55c179.36$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.7117650.6%89 W · 87 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers50c165.36$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.684,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa469…e73fbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20137.7%1 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick23cpaid-89.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d91…58f8backed Sacred Heart Pioneers56c117.43$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.673100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+81.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd8c4…8781backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers54c94$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Sacred Heart Pioneers57c58$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9434947.9%167 W · 182 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Sacred Heart Pioneers56c54.54$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2419055.3%105 W · 85 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers44c40.12$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6565825.7%169 W · 489 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb46…5d1bbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.221866.7%12 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcda3…e313backed Sacred Heart Pioneers51c37.25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.251190.9%10 W · 1 L+4.2wins+0.38per pick53cpaid+107.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9742…8559backed Sacred Heart Pioneers54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a05…0329backed Sacred Heart Pioneers40c35.34$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.052630.8%8 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe91c…e9a2backed Sacred Heart Pioneers52c34.5$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.562100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+87.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ef4…a780backed Sacred Heart Pioneers59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa848…68fcbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers67c29.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202646.2%12 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-31.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers46c28.17$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.965,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbc16…8505backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers49c26.55$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.011855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85f3…8da0backed Sacred Heart Pioneers51c26.55$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.011855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.