TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Dolphins vs. Panthers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Panthersof Dolphins, Panthers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,525,104
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,592,555

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,525,104 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 443 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xed88…f3c4backed Dolphins53c873,248$459,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459,621.488344.6%37 W · 46 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Panthers47c664,008$312,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351,924.1341851.9%217 W · 201 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Panthers48c186,485$90,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96,324.4712352.8%65 W · 58 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2131…aaf2backed Dolphins52c107,144$55,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,643.351936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Dolphins48c73,508$35,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,547.3647738.6%184 W · 293 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0549…c052backed Panthers49c50,762$24,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,888.765855.2%32 W · 26 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Panthers26c40,137$10,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,774.3430043.7%131 W · 169 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Panthers49c35,000$17,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,85020634.5%71 W · 135 L-0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Panthers47c25,000$11,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,25014450%72 W · 72 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Dolphins52c23,082$12,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,002.8210566.7%70 W · 35 L+12.6wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+19.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Panthers48c20,481$9,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,649.8714349%70 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Panthers51c16,392$8,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,955.8661148.6%297 W · 314 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Panthers51c14,685$7,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,236.222548.4%109 W · 116 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Dolphins69c13,485$9,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,350.5441947.3%198 W · 221 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Panthers47c12,265$5,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,482.741248.5%200 W · 212 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfcc…441bbacked Panthers49c11,363$5,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,795.273138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-29.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Panthers47c10,540$4,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,581.0530743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb61…6d7bbacked Panthers28c10,087$2,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,262.561050%5 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+48.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Dolphins53c8,736$4,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,626.1419235.4%68 W · 124 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-35%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Panthers39c8,711$3,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,320.5331848.1%153 W · 165 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Panthers47c8,500$3,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,50583147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3672…edbdbacked Dolphins69c8,156$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,6004250%21 W · 21 L-5.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-23.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5646…3819backed Panthers48c7,966$3,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,142.427035.7%25 W · 45 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Dolphins50c7,943$3,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,961.2564747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Panthers48c7,332$3,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,779.0944652.9%236 W · 210 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Panthers26c7,227$1,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,329.8214147.5%67 W · 74 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x309f…9282backed Panthers39c6,410$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,910.267557.3%43 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Dolphins51c5,957$3,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,059.9629356%164 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x75e0…fe50backed Panthers45c5,950$2,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,277.810960.6%66 W · 43 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x698f…ae41backed Dolphins14c5,907$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.142454.2%13 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+82.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Dolphins72c5,904$4,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,259.4722950.2%115 W · 114 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x383d…a9f2backed Dolphins51c5,515$2,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,828.766349.2%31 W · 32 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Panthers48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6002556%14 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+31.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Dolphins52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6003452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Dolphins50c4,631$2,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,302.253348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb066…eb55backed Panthers48c4,400$2,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,288250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0431…6088backed Panthers48c4,292$2,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,231.622142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Dolphins73c4,000$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,90036246.7%169 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a32…6d7ebacked Dolphins49c4,000$1,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9554551.1%23 W · 22 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ef2…f473backed Dolphins52c3,900$2,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,027.844628.3%13 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-36%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0432…1660backed Panthers26c3,800$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,804.325540%22 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Dolphins51c3,777$1,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,926.3934349.3%169 W · 174 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4b1…a75ebacked Dolphins53c3,774$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0005527.3%15 W · 40 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-38.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x991a…2411backed Dolphins52c3,225$1,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6772227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-43.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Dolphins51c3,175$1,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,619.2732050.9%163 W · 157 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Panthers48c3,000$1,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,572.0620646.1%95 W · 111 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf92…4bfdbacked Panthers49c3,000$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5406124.6%15 W · 46 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-43.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xae76…dce5backed Dolphins50c2,976$1,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,488.2327339.2%107 W · 166 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Dolphins28c2,851$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.693948.7%19 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Panthers48c2,685$1,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.7324054.6%131 W · 109 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64f4…a953backed Dolphins53c2,521$1,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,336.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb36…9545backed Dolphins49c2,500$1,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2357644.7%34 W · 42 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ecd…a578backed Dolphins52c2,285$1,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,188.114940.8%20 W · 29 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Dolphins56c2,065$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.6627644.2%122 W · 154 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Dolphins54c2,048$1,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,115.6831056.8%176 W · 134 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd24f…849ebacked Panthers49c2,031$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.823458.8%20 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Panthers48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04018435.9%66 W · 118 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Dolphins37c2,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74012138.8%47 W · 74 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0adb…7693backed Dolphins16c2,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3204131.7%13 W · 28 L+5.9wins+0.14per pick17cpaid+86.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Dolphins44c1,920$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.1250242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x637a…6d23backed Dolphins53c1,900$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0072458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7816…ce35backed Panthers37c1,880$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.597963.3%50 W · 29 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x64f4…33bdbacked Dolphins53c1,879$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.8730%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Dolphins2c1,680$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.31486.8%10 W · 138 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick2cpaid+296.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ec2…69fdbacked Dolphins66c1,607$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,064.3111755.6%65 W · 52 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Panthers49c1,597$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.7731854.7%174 W · 144 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Dolphins1c1,577$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.934311.6%7 W · 424 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-82.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Dolphins51c1,500$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.9919543.6%85 W · 110 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd62b…86d0backed Dolphins52c1,413$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7356050%30 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x474b…a13cbacked Dolphins12c1,400$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.582114.3%3 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-65%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Dolphins34c1,395$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.3620026%52 W · 148 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf6…513abacked Dolphins49c1,390$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.646648.5%32 W · 34 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aae…d563backed Dolphins74c1,351$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002965.5%19 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Dolphins52c1,346$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70024053.8%129 W · 111 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa408…e305backed Panthers56c1,226$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.566550.8%33 W · 32 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x46e4…51debacked Dolphins66c1,219$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d85…228ebacked Panthers49c1,204$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.083056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb68…c4fcbacked Panthers49c1,196$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x540c…a634backed Dolphins52c1,135$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5905549.1%27 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa67…1457backed Dolphins52c1,127$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Dolphins48c1,067$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.6268446.1%315 W · 369 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x92c6…4722backed Panthers50c1,057$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.42528%7 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fbf…3155backed Dolphins18c1,048$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.742623.1%6 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-48.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xccdb…d579backed Dolphins53c1,045$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe212…d5f4backed Dolphins73c1,025$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.976850%34 W · 34 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Panthers48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5206459.4%38 W · 26 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+38.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x87de…75dbbacked Dolphins53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick61cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Dolphins52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52028556.5%161 W · 124 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Dolphins48c1,000$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4763145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95f6…0b51backed Panthers48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5201241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Panthers27c1,000$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73023937.7%90 W · 149 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed Panthers27c964.59$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.152821.4%6 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e85…5e37backed Dolphins52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ef5…325ebacked Dolphins52c961.06$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.7511154.1%60 W · 51 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c7d…423fbacked Dolphins52c938.08$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.814337.8%54 W · 89 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73e3…fb81backed Dolphins53c900$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked Dolphins73c874$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.027851.3%40 W · 38 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Dolphins52c863.35$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.9214951%76 W · 73 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x28b1…5a3fbacked Panthers48c833.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.339359.1%55 W · 38 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Panthers48c822.26$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.5824551%125 W · 120 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.