TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Giants vs. Saints

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Saintsof Giants, Saints
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,461,002
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,474,313

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,461,002 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 553 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xed88…f3c4backed Giants45c858,159$385,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385,821.688344.6%37 W · 46 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Saints55c670,814$368,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302,216.9322548.4%109 W · 116 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Giants44c247,298$107,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107,626.1247738.6%184 W · 293 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ff2…dbbdbacked Giants45c200,000$90,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90,0003767.6%25 W · 12 L+5.7wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+32.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Giants44c106,228$46,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,656.6641851.9%217 W · 201 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Saints55c68,422$37,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,797.614351%73 W · 70 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Saints55c59,025$32,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,561.224652%128 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5646…3819backed Giants46c55,609$25,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,303.987035.7%25 W · 45 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Saints55c45,017$24,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,257.7324551%125 W · 120 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Saints55c43,722$24,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,674.953348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked Saints55c39,629$21,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,953.5111649.1%57 W · 59 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Saints53c38,560$20,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,935.5361148.6%297 W · 314 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9249…4f16backed Saints54c32,000$17,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,759.9517647.7%84 W · 92 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Saints56c28,000$15,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,32014450%72 W · 72 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x81b1…0f83backed Giants50c27,780$13,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,842.41225%3 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-53.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Saints59c26,633$15,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,863.3944652.9%236 W · 210 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9af…6371backed Giants47c21,277$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0002920.7%6 W · 23 L-8.5wins-0.29per pick50cpaid-57.6%equal weight33-0.16 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Saints53c17,101$9,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,098.6531848.1%153 W · 165 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Giants47c15,108$7,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,073.330743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Saints55c15,000$8,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,75035848.6%174 W · 184 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed Saints51c14,748$7,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,230.1517348%83 W · 90 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Saints52c14,301$7,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,864.531240.7%127 W · 185 L-22.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e98…1f51backed Saints54c12,000$6,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,519.953652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Saints55c11,427$6,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,14210462.5%65 W · 39 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+45.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Saints50c10,440$5,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,261.2619235.4%68 W · 124 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-35%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Saints55c10,185$5,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,583.9412352.8%65 W · 58 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Giants52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,20010552.4%55 W · 50 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Saints56c10,000$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,4004143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Saints47c9,787$4,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,151.6134349.3%169 W · 174 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x669a…dd31backed Giants46c9,070$4,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,150475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+53.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Saints54c8,999$4,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,139.6251352.2%268 W · 245 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc3e…37efbacked Giants25c8,773$2,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.237736.4%28 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Saints35c8,363$2,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,433.5268446.1%315 W · 369 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Saints49c8,230$4,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,172.7710566.7%70 W · 35 L+12.6wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+19.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Saints51c8,017$4,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,911.2630043.7%131 W · 169 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ff5…5155backed Giants46c7,991$3,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,676.03560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+91.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f5…fe12backed Giants46c7,959$3,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,623.751428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Saints34c7,585$2,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,009.6841947.3%198 W · 221 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x983b…cac5backed Giants46c7,500$3,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,45010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Saints48c7,227$3,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,757.9717648.9%86 W · 90 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Saints54c6,502$3,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,991.2641248.5%200 W · 212 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec2…69fdbacked Giants57c6,357$3,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,617.2211755.6%65 W · 52 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Saints41c6,200$2,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,64811252.7%59 W · 53 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Saints55c6,191$3,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,781.131056.8%176 W · 134 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2be4…01adbacked Giants10c6,093$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.242937.9%11 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-30.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3672…edbdbacked Giants67c5,734$3,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,831.224250%21 W · 21 L-5.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-23.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Saints56c5,461$3,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,394.8754451.7%281 W · 263 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x242e…ee63backed Saints56c5,401$3,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,376.551353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Saints47c5,327$2,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,808.9916254.9%89 W · 73 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Saints55c5,300$2,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,401.620661.2%126 W · 80 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Giants45c5,035$2,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,258.9132050.9%163 W · 157 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb1e…88d5backed Saints53c5,020$2,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,359.45560%33 W · 22 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked Saints54c5,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,299.998343.4%36 W · 47 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed Giants45c5,000$2,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,229.9917144.4%76 W · 95 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Giants45c5,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,249.9914342%60 W · 83 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x058b…1cd1backed Saints56c4,505$2,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,999.042941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Saints55c4,500$2,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,02518435.9%66 W · 118 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Saints55c4,500$2,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0258845.5%40 W · 48 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfcc…441bbacked Giants45c4,444$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-29.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x99c4…0c89backed Giants30c4,436$1,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,352.19744.3%43 W · 54 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa408…e305backed Saints58c4,345$2,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,803.836550.8%33 W · 32 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Giants54c4,157$2,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,226.663948.7%19 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Saints55c4,106$2,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,861.4437350.9%190 W · 183 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Saints55c4,005$2,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,802.212680.8%21 W · 5 L+5.5wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+37.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Giants45c4,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80083147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1085…ff63backed Saints55c3,785$2,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,699.043100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+109.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc457…56a7backed Giants46c3,780$1,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,738.820%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Saints55c3,754$2,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,689.2122950.2%115 W · 114 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a48…8562backed Giants46c3,673$1,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,691.181540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Saints54c3,483$1,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,587.198648.8%42 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Saints52c3,296$1,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,586.4460049.3%296 W · 304 L+21.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a14…e79fbacked Saints49c3,111$1,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,586.6757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Saints55c3,044$1,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.751,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Giants45c3,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35029356%164 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf390…79efbacked Giants41c3,000$1,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2152347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Giants22c2,965$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.264247.6%20 W · 22 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0432…1660backed Saints43c2,893$1,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.775540%22 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Saints55c2,864$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,288.839754.4%216 W · 181 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Saints35c2,776$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,805.7664747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Giants1c2,730$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.621486.8%10 W · 138 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick2cpaid+296.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x698f…ae41backed Giants20c2,715$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.462454.2%13 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+82.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ed0…b051backed Giants14c2,642$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.744161%25 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c7d…423fbacked Giants48c2,433$1,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,171.7814337.8%54 W · 89 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Saints53c2,410$1,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.7431854.7%174 W · 144 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ecd…a578backed Giants46c2,400$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1044940.8%20 W · 29 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x10bf…c877backed Giants47c2,343$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1012832.1%9 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Giants47c2,231$1,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,051.250242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3134…1b18backed Giants45c2,222$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009152.7%48 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Giants45c2,028$917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916.8214951%76 W · 73 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4aae…d563backed Giants50c2,015$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002965.5%19 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Saints54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9206459.4%38 W · 26 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+38.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Saints52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96011446.5%53 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ad…be8cbacked Saints57c1,975$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.241163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+26.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Saints46c1,914$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.0920026%52 W · 148 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Saints55c1,818$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.1816344.8%73 W · 90 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1021…e648backed Giants51c1,764$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.85742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Saints50c1,664$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.077657.9%44 W · 32 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+134.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0944…6771backed Saints52c1,595$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.697150.7%36 W · 35 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb406…4964backed Saints50c1,556$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.143050%15 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Giants1c1,554$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.324311.6%7 W · 424 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-82.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.